Friday, November 6, 2026

The Midterms Have Changed the AI Narrative: S&P Down 4.4%, Nasdaq Down 5.5% | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman links a Democratic midterm sweep and CoreWeave concerns to an AI narrative shift as the S&P 500 fell 4.4% and Nasdaq 5.5%.

CRWV $27B

Steve Eisman Nov 6 5 clicks

Nov 6 OVV $17B

Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout

Bison Insights 3 clicks

Nov 6 RIG $5.8B

(Idea) Transocean - Near-Term Results Obscure A Brighter Future

HFI Research 4 clicks

From X

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 29

Brian McGough on X

Great day to be short $BOOT and $CROX. On Boot, the CEO leaving is a massive tell. If he believed his bull narrative, then he'd get paid more by doubling the store base than he would at ROST. I get to TAIL earnings power here of about $3.50 -- the Street is double that. If I'm right, this will be a $30-$40 stock. Still plenty of downside...

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 16

Brian McGough on X

Any way you slice it, $ULTA just talked down 2025. Looks like another flat year. But upping unit growth for '26 and beyond? Makes no sense. Berkshire bought this too early. We're still short.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 6 1 click

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo

@catechwilliams Sep 23 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

@HedgeyeRetail Sep 19

Brian McGough on X

This is what we said on $NKE earlier this year... 4. How Donahoe still has a job is a mystery. All the company has to do is say what we think is reality – that on (or BEFORE) April 2025 when Donahoe is required to step down (when he turns 65), that the company will bring back Mark Parker, Eric Sprunk or Elliott Hill to be CEO or interim CEO while the company reaccelerates the business model. Donahoe is a #fail, and his era of rule needs to come to an end – fast. As CEO of Nike, the man is incompetent. Yes, I (McGough) know that this statement will get me uninvited to the analyst meeting this fall. But I don't care. It needs to be said out loud.

@catechwilliams Aug 28

catechwilliams on X

$NX Just acquired peer Tyman. >3x leverage, never done a deal before, commodity business, customers all cutting numbers w deteriorating resi remodel activity ($AMWD yesterday, $MBC, $OC, $JELD). Stock is trading at close to 14x EPS. Seen this movie before. Earnings next week.

@HedgeyeRetail Aug 15

Brian McGough on X

My team has the stones to tell me "the deck we prepared on $PLNT is the best work we've EVER done." I rarely hear that degree of confidence from anyone. You be the judge...presentation TOMORROW, 8/16. Deets below. https://t.co/u5qz3Xcdl4

Axon 3Q26 Business Update

Axon cut full-year guidance after delayed federal Dedrone contracts slowed 3Q revenue growth to 28%, while software and services grew 43%.

AXON $31B

Speedwell Memos Nov 6 4 clicks

Axon 3Q26 Update: Revenue Breaks Below 30%, Runway Reaffirmed

Axon’s 3Q26 revenue growth fell to 28% after delayed federal Dedrone contracts, while software grew 43% and its $1.2 billion Skydio…

AXON $31B

Speedwell Research Nov 6 4 clicks

Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) Stock Rating: Stop After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Datadog beat Q3 revenue guidance by $52 million, but guided Q4 revenue flat as its largest AI-native customer reduced usage after renewing.

DDOG $79B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR): Q3 2026 Earnings

Alpha Metallurgical posted a third consecutive quarterly loss as High Vol A coal margins fell to $14 a ton, while director Kenneth Courtis…

HCC $4.3B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 6 3 clicks

A clear solution to the “problem”

Shift4’s Q3 met guidance, but organic growth is decelerating, management credibility is weakening and leverage reduction remains too slow.

FOUR $3.4B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 6 2 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More

Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.

NNN $8.1BWY $16B

The Undercovered Dozen Nov 6 2 clicks

Cloudflare (NET) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cloudflare’s Q3 revenue rose 39% to $782.5 million, its fastest growth in nearly four years, while a $67.9 million GAAP operating loss and…

NET $97B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 1 click

Dynatrace (NYSE: DT) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY3/27 Earnings (No Paywall)

Dynatrace reported 17% Q2 revenue growth but flat new ARR and lower profit and free-cash-flow guidance, following its $816 million Arize…

DT $13B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Reddit Stock $RDDT : The Human Internet Just Got 29% Cheaper

Reddit fell 29% after warning that Google search traffic was declining, despite Q3 revenue rising 53%; the bull case rests on communities,…

RDDT $18B

Substack von Philipp Nov 6 4 clicks

Rocket Lab: Less Euphoria, Still Too Much Perfection Priced In Ahead Of Q3

Rocket Lab faces Neutron delays, Iridium acquisition dilution and cash burn despite expected 66% Q3 revenue growth, leaving RKLB priced for…

RKLB $28B

Bernard Zambonin Nov 6 1 click

Marvell Buys Lumentum: MRVL Initiated at Buy, $258 PT

Marvell’s Lumentum acquisition targets optical networking demand as AI data centers shift from copper to lasers, expanding its hyperscaler…

LITE $48B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 6 2 clicks

Blue Owl Capital: Book Value Is Rising Under A Default-Wave Price

Blue Owl Capital's NAV rose to $14.32 as buybacks and portfolio marks improved, while OBDC trades at a 25% discount despite a 0.33%…

OWL $17B

Tim Travis Nov 6 1 click

AAP · long

Advance Auto Parts INC

Advance Auto Parts, AAP, is presented as a long idea following prior write-ups at $48.81 per share in January 2025.

AAP $2.9B

Value Investors Club Aug 8 1 click

TransMedics Group Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026

TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.

TMDX $3.1B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Nov 5 5 clicks

JFrog soars, Innodata’s robotics, Quantum duopoly

JFrog jumped 35% to $100.44 after another beat-and-raise quarter, joining the TL20 Special Situations group.

FROG $9.4B

The Technology Letter Nov 5 2 clicks

Uber 3Q'26: Eats vs DoorDash, and the AV Math

Uber Delivery generated an estimated $0.66 EBITDA after SBC per order in 3Q26, versus DoorDash's $0.80, while autonomous vehicles shape…

DASH $86B

MBI Deep Dives Nov 5 5 clicks

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

MELI $77B

Cassandra Unchained Nov 5 2 clicks

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

TWST $8B

Hunterbrook Nov 5 4 clicks

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

VSH $3.6B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 5 3 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

LEA $5.6BAN $6.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Nov 5 5 clicks

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Friday, November 6, 2026

Brian McGough on X

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