Thursday, November 5, 2026

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)

UBER $147B

SA Luca Socci Nov 5 4 clicks

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure

Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…

DAL $57B

SA Motti Sapir Nov 5

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…

BCO · long

Brinks CO

Brink’s $6.6 billion cash-and-stock acquisition of NCR Atleos underpins the long case, citing strategic and financial rationale.

ServiceTitan ($TTAN): The IPO Hangover Has Only Just Begun

ServiceTitan faces slowing growth, a rich valuation, accounting concerns, executive turnover and stock sales by management and legacy…

Between the Vectors: Decoding MongoDB’s Acquisition Math and Executive Exodus

MongoDB’s acquisition math and executive departures.

Short CNM

Core & Main faces a short thesis centered on the risks in its roll-up strategy.

Single Stock Spotlight #5: Core Natural Resources (CNR)

Core Natural Resources (CNR) trades at 6 times normalized free cash flow, with export thermal coal exposure positioned for LNG disruption…

Doubling Down on Iran and OXY

Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…

TIC Solutions: Thesis Check

TIC Solutions' NV5 merger lifted consulting and geospatial growth and margins, while its 52%-of-revenue inspection unit stayed flat after…

Shift4 Payments: A Fintech Compounder Trading Like a Melting Ice Cube

Shift4 Payments earns 50 to 60 basis points on SkyTab volume while acquiring merchant networks, driving 39% annual GRLNF growth since 2021…

Pershing Square U.S. and Pershing Square Inc. Dual Listings

Pershing Square plans dual IPOs of PSUS and management company PSI, granting 20 PSI shares for every 100 PSUS shares to counter closed-end…

Single Stock Spotlight #4: Global Payments (GPN)

Global Payments trades below 6 times adjusted earnings and about 7 times free cash flow amid Worldpay, competition and debt concerns.