Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Nov 3 MRK $371B

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Nov 3 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit Nov 3 1 click

Serenity on X

The rhetoric on X and from Elon leans overwhelmingly apocalyptic on Democrats winning. It's a mini bubble here, but I think people forget AI is bipartisan national security priority, and that $NVDA's historic rally + AI buildout acceleration happened under the Biden admin. Anyone can extrapolate a politician's negative view on AI to doompost indexes or that " $CRWV is going to go down". But in all reality, even with a Democratic governor, we'll likely just see some headwinds to individual developers, and incentives like "clean-energy tax credits" moving to other areas in AI like solar manufacturing. Rather than any market-wide doomsday scenario that the opposing party likes to portray. Even Bitcoin/Ethereum performed better under the negatively perceived regulation of Gary Gensler. Just like any major event, everyone looks at the worst case scenario like helium disruption shutting down Samsung, $TSM, and the memory trade... Then markets move on few weeks later.

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

I reckon a portfolio of short $WMT, $KO (safety trade), $TSLA, $SPCX, $DJT, $UMAC, $GEO (Trump trade) long $SPY probably beats most things over the next 3 months.

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

CVS Will Break Off Its Namesake Pharmacies $CVS https://t.co/MYacYG8iRD

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

"revenue rose to $19.95 billion, up from $5.02 billion a year prior" Super Micro Computer Revenue Surges on AI Infrastructure Demand $SMCI https://t.co/EZJhYAospA

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals’ Injuries Case $MMM https://t.co/PcrK3KhEJT

@finphysnerd Nov 3 1 click

Myles on X

3 10% or larger falls in $QQQ this year and still up 11% YTD. This is why this year has felt so exhausting. No consistent theme or narrative. Sentiment getting whipsawed everywhere. Huge factor rotations. I hope things settle down a bit post midterms. https://t.co/4ztHVmzqYd

@John_Hempton Nov 3

John_Hempton on X

@LucrativeLuApe No ladder attacks. My biggest long is $REGN and I have had a few good days. (Position is >100m.)

@ACapitalLP Nov 3

A Capital on X

My favorite part of the monthly HF return tables is the inevitable unsophisticated retail investor coming out of the woodwork to explain why Millennium’s returns are pathetic. Kid made 80% YOLO’ing $ASTS calls on Robinhood, has absolutely no idea how a multistrat operates, but genuinely believes Izzy Englander should fire 300 PMs and let him run the whole book from his iPhone...

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $48BMRVL $117B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

MRVL $117BLITE $48B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $6.6BVAL $6.3B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 3 2 clicks

Enterprise Products Partners Pulled 2027 Into 2026 - Energy Transfer Didn't

Enterprise Products Partners has pulled growth spending into 2026, while Energy Transfer’s contracted projects offer clearer EBITDA growth…

EPD $81BET $70B

The Alpha Analyst Nov 3 5 clicks

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)

BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…

BXDC $2.1B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 3 5 clicks

Veeva Systems: AI Is The Icing, Not The Cake

Veeva Systems' Commercial Solutions returned to 13% subscription growth, while R&D and Quality grew 19.3%, with Falcon AI agents and…

VEEV $49B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez Nov 3

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIV

Intel maintained after its post-earnings sell-off, with AI inference CPU demand and foundry customer announcements expected to drive a…

INTC $287B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

MRVL $117BLITE $48B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

Stellar results lift shares of AMD, Arista

AMD and Arista beat consensus on quarterly results and outlook, lifting shares and easing AI-growth concerns.

ANET $226B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

PRYMY · short

Prysmian Spa

Prysmian (PRYMY) is presented as a short position.

PRYMY $35B

Value Investors Club May 8 1 click

The Office REIT That Wants to Die (And Pay You on the Way Out)

Net Lease Office Properties has returned $19.39 per share while liquidating W.P.

WPC $15B

Orphan REITs Mar 11

FactSet’s Take-Private Rumours

FactSet is drawing Thoma Bravo and Hellman & Friedman take-private interest, with its subscription retention, cash generation and modest…

FDS $12B

Global Outperformers Mar 11

Visa Inc update

Visa and Mastercard meet 15% five-year IRR targets at 25x and 26x 2026 earnings, while American Express needs a wider margin for…

AXP $218B

Global Outperformers Mar 11

We Dramatically Improved our Machine Learning Model to Price Kalshi Earnings Contracts. It Went 11/13.

A two-layer machine-learning model correctly called 11 of 13 CrowdStrike earnings-word contracts on Kalshi, using historical transcripts…

CRWD $248B

First Strike Research Mar 7

Sea Limited (SE) Q4'25 - Shopee in Focus, 11 Reasons To Keep Investing

Sea Limited generated about $3.5 billion in free cash flow as Shopee invests in Southeast Asian and Brazilian growth despite lower 2027…

SE $49B

Sleep Well Investments Mar 6

Low-Entropy Businesses: Why Some Companies Quietly Endure (Part II)

OMA, Diageo and Alpine railways show how fixed concessions, enduring rituals and irreplaceable geography can create durable operating…

OMAB $5.2B

Ezra's Notes Mar 3

Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner

Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…

KSPI $18B

Cluseau Research Mar 2 2 clicks

Portfolio Update February 2026

Constellation Software and Roper Technologies became 13% and 16% holdings after an AI-driven software selloff, while Ashtead and Kraft…

ROP $47B

D Invests Mar 2

Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance

AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.

AER $26B

Bristlemoon Capital Mar 2 1 click

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Serenity on X

Myles on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

John_Hempton on X

A Capital on X

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