Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Nov 3 MRK $371B

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Nov 3 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit Nov 3 1 click

Serenity on X

The rhetoric on X and from Elon leans overwhelmingly apocalyptic on Democrats winning. It's a mini bubble here, but I think people forget AI is bipartisan national security priority, and that $NVDA's historic rally + AI buildout acceleration happened under the Biden admin. Anyone can extrapolate a politician's negative view on AI to doompost indexes or that " $CRWV is going to go down". But in all reality, even with a Democratic governor, we'll likely just see some headwinds to individual developers, and incentives like "clean-energy tax credits" moving to other areas in AI like solar manufacturing. Rather than any market-wide doomsday scenario that the opposing party likes to portray. Even Bitcoin/Ethereum performed better under the negatively perceived regulation of Gary Gensler. Just like any major event, everyone looks at the worst case scenario like helium disruption shutting down Samsung, $TSM, and the memory trade... Then markets move on few weeks later.

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

I reckon a portfolio of short $WMT, $KO (safety trade), $TSLA, $SPCX, $DJT, $UMAC, $GEO (Trump trade) long $SPY probably beats most things over the next 3 months.

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

CVS Will Break Off Its Namesake Pharmacies $CVS https://t.co/MYacYG8iRD

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

"revenue rose to $19.95 billion, up from $5.02 billion a year prior" Super Micro Computer Revenue Surges on AI Infrastructure Demand $SMCI https://t.co/EZJhYAospA

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals’ Injuries Case $MMM https://t.co/PcrK3KhEJT

@finphysnerd Nov 3 1 click

Myles on X

3 10% or larger falls in $QQQ this year and still up 11% YTD. This is why this year has felt so exhausting. No consistent theme or narrative. Sentiment getting whipsawed everywhere. Huge factor rotations. I hope things settle down a bit post midterms. https://t.co/4ztHVmzqYd

@John_Hempton Nov 3

John_Hempton on X

@LucrativeLuApe No ladder attacks. My biggest long is $REGN and I have had a few good days. (Position is >100m.)

@ACapitalLP Nov 3

A Capital on X

My favorite part of the monthly HF return tables is the inevitable unsophisticated retail investor coming out of the woodwork to explain why Millennium’s returns are pathetic. Kid made 80% YOLO’ing $ASTS calls on Robinhood, has absolutely no idea how a multistrat operates, but genuinely believes Izzy Englander should fire 300 PMs and let him run the whole book from his iPhone...

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $62BMRVL $150B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIV

Intel maintained after its post-earnings sell-off, with AI inference CPU demand and foundry customer announcements expected to drive a…

INTC $287B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

Ignore The Noise And Buy Western Digital

Western Digital's Q1 2027 revenue rose 55% to $4.38 billion as hyperscaler demand lifted non-GAAP EPS 161% to $4.64.

WDC $104B

The Curious Analyst Nov 3 1 click

Stellar results lift shares of AMD, Arista

AMD and Arista beat consensus on quarterly results and outlook, lifting shares and easing AI-growth concerns.

ANET $226B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?

Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Apple and Palantir are powerful businesses, maybe not great returns from here

Apple and Palantir reported very strong earnings, but their stocks may deliver weak returns from current levels.

PLTR $429B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 2 clicks

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.

FTAI $20B

CV's Substack Nov 2 5 clicks

Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense

Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…

GRAB $14BUBER $147B

Wavelength Research Nov 2 2 clicks

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

EVVTY $16B

Speedwell Memos Feb 6 1 click

How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar

A Kalshi contract on whether Starbucks would mention “condiment bar” on its earnings call rose from 30 cents to $1 after the term went…

SBUX $119B

First Strike Research Jan 29

Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg

Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…

RYAAY $30B

310 Value’s Newsletter Jan 28 4 clicks

LVMH: 4Q25 Business Recap

LVMH’s 2025 revenue fell 5% and operating profit 9% amid forex and luxury weakness, while Fashion & Leather Goods improved in the second…

LVMUY $232B

Speedwell Memos Jan 28 2 clicks

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…

FCNCA $26B

Base Hit Investing Jan 25

Can AI Read the Market?

Gemini’s chart-only analysis favors Nutrien, soybeans, nickel and sugar, while rating Constellation Software a sideline despite its 40%…

NTR $33B

AmsterdamStocks Jan 25

Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Condiment Bar

Kalshi’s 76% contract price for Starbucks saying “condiment bar” on its next earnings call exceeds a transcript-based estimate of 31.6%.

SBUX $119B

First Strike Research Jan 22

Affirm (AFRM): Buy Now, Cry Later

Affirm, a $25 billion buy now, pay later lender, faces a short thesis comparing its model with failed subprime monoline finance companies.

AFRM $25B

Kerrisdale Capital Jan 21

FTAI Power and QXO's next aquistion

FTAI Power plans to convert CFM56 jet engines into 25 MW gas turbines for data centers, targeting 100 annual units and $750 million to $1…

FTAI $20BQXO $12B

Kairos Research Jan 20 1 click

Coupang Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)

Coupang’s former strategy VP discusses Taiwan expansion, 1P-versus-3P economics, margins and competitive risks as CPNG trades 35% below its…

CPNG $27B

Speedwell Memos Jan 20 1 click

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Serenity on X

Myles on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

John_Hempton on X

A Capital on X

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