Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Nov 3 MRK $371B

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Nov 3 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

Doubled up on Softbank. Down 10% when the US AI stocks are only down a few. Shorted some $ARM to offset it. One of these moves is wrong.

@aleabitoreddit Nov 3 1 click

Serenity on X

The rhetoric on X and from Elon leans overwhelmingly apocalyptic on Democrats winning. It's a mini bubble here, but I think people forget AI is bipartisan national security priority, and that $NVDA's historic rally + AI buildout acceleration happened under the Biden admin. Anyone can extrapolate a politician's negative view on AI to doompost indexes or that " $CRWV is going to go down". But in all reality, even with a Democratic governor, we'll likely just see some headwinds to individual developers, and incentives like "clean-energy tax credits" moving to other areas in AI like solar manufacturing. Rather than any market-wide doomsday scenario that the opposing party likes to portray. Even Bitcoin/Ethereum performed better under the negatively perceived regulation of Gary Gensler. Just like any major event, everyone looks at the worst case scenario like helium disruption shutting down Samsung, $TSM, and the memory trade... Then markets move on few weeks later.

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

I reckon a portfolio of short $WMT, $KO (safety trade), $TSLA, $SPCX, $DJT, $UMAC, $GEO (Trump trade) long $SPY probably beats most things over the next 3 months.

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

CVS Will Break Off Its Namesake Pharmacies $CVS https://t.co/MYacYG8iRD

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

"revenue rose to $19.95 billion, up from $5.02 billion a year prior" Super Micro Computer Revenue Surges on AI Infrastructure Demand $SMCI https://t.co/EZJhYAospA

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals’ Injuries Case $MMM https://t.co/PcrK3KhEJT

@finphysnerd Nov 3 1 click

Myles on X

3 10% or larger falls in $QQQ this year and still up 11% YTD. This is why this year has felt so exhausting. No consistent theme or narrative. Sentiment getting whipsawed everywhere. Huge factor rotations. I hope things settle down a bit post midterms. https://t.co/4ztHVmzqYd

@John_Hempton Nov 3

John_Hempton on X

@LucrativeLuApe No ladder attacks. My biggest long is $REGN and I have had a few good days. (Position is >100m.)

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $62BMRVL $150B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIV

Intel maintained after its post-earnings sell-off, with AI inference CPU demand and foundry customer announcements expected to drive a…

INTC $287B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

Ignore The Noise And Buy Western Digital

Western Digital's Q1 2027 revenue rose 55% to $4.38 billion as hyperscaler demand lifted non-GAAP EPS 161% to $4.64.

WDC $104B

The Curious Analyst Nov 3 1 click

Stellar results lift shares of AMD, Arista

AMD and Arista beat consensus on quarterly results and outlook, lifting shares and easing AI-growth concerns.

ANET $226B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?

Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Apple and Palantir are powerful businesses, maybe not great returns from here

Apple and Palantir reported very strong earnings, but their stocks may deliver weak returns from current levels.

PLTR $429B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 2 clicks

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.

FTAI $20B

CV's Substack Nov 2 5 clicks

Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense

Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…

GRAB $14BUBER $147B

Wavelength Research Nov 2 2 clicks

APi Group: How the story has evolved and what's next

APi Group hit its 13/60/80 targets in 2025, reporting $7.9 billion revenue, 13.2% EBITDA margin and 80% free-cash-flow conversion, then set…

APG $17B

Kairos Research Feb 26 1 click

Mispriced Domino’s Mention Contract: Kalshi Traders Haven’t Ordered This Yet!

Domino’s Q4 2025 Kalshi contract prices “craveable” at 37%, while First Strike’s transcript model assigns 68.4% before social-sentiment…

DPZ $11B

First Strike Research Feb 22

Copart: 2Q26 Business Recap

Copart’s fiscal Q2 2026 revenue fell 4% and U.S. insurance units dropped 11%, as underinsured drivers and carrier volumes weighed while IAA…

CPRT $30B

Speedwell Memos Feb 21

Grab Holdings ($GRAB) - Addressing the key risks to holding the stock

Grab’s main holding risks are competition, sustainable profitability and valuation, with entrenched ride-hailing and delivery positions…

GRAB $14B

Inglenook Growth Feb 20

The Skills AI Can’t Replace

Duolingo is presented as an AI-resilient opportunity after SaaS stocks sold off on fears that coding tools will compress software moats,…

TEAM $48B

Modern Value Investing Feb 15

Airbnb 4Q25: Business Update

Airbnb’s fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% to $2.8 billion and GBV 16%, while product improvements and AI spending target booking conversion…

ABNB $99B

Speedwell Memos Feb 14 2 clicks

Adobe Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Adobe trades at 14x free cash flow after a 60% decline despite growth, with AI, its business-model transition and creative-software…

ADBE $96B

Speedwell Memos Feb 12

Carvana, DriveTime, Hindenburg and Gotham City

Carvana’s DriveTime disclosures do not prove loan-loss shifting, but related-party dealings and gains on loan sales remain central concerns.

CVNA $86B

Brevarthan Research Feb 9

FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game

FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…

NVO $181B

Modern Value Investing Feb 8

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

ADBE $96B

Bristlemoon Capital Feb 6

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Myles on X

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Myles on X

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