TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Back to today 
From X
junkbondinvestor on X
HY bonds losers from last week. Some familiar faces. $FMC $JBLU $UNIT $FUN $CRWV https://t.co/MvkKq0lssG
Hunterbrook on X
Crews at a data center construction site in Georgia unearthed incendiary white phosphorus late last year. Police sent in a bomb squad. The site: a former Army dump near Atlanta, where Digital Realty ($DLR) is building a $3 billion data center campus. https://t.co/BSLbwjk7cE
junkbondinvestor on X
$CRWV has ~$10bn of unsecured HY notes, all yielding 14-15%. There’s also another ~$11bn of converts. That’s ~$21bn of unsecured claims, sitting behind the secured debt that funds the GPUs. Here's the latest market pricing on the HY notes (converts excluded): https://t.co/vVxKgKVCRc
A Capital on X
The asset base is too large and diversified to ever underwrite loan by loan. The thesis is that the private credit apocalypse is exaggerated, $OWL became the poster child given its reliance on the HNW channel, and the market is assigning far too little value to its non-credit assets and durable fee-generating franchise.
George Noble on X
@FrenchV33921 Already there with $CRWV and $IREN IS $NBIS worse?
Calvin Blissett on X
@sidecarcap This is exactly what I think is happening with $SLM $KSPI and maybe $YB. $KNSL too
A Capital on X
@Pembrokestcap But isn’t $OWL reputation, and by extension their ability to raise capital, permanently impaired? Who cares if they own valuable GP stakes and real estate businesses that never tapped the high-net-worth channel? Isn’t the entire franchise structurally compromised?
A Capital on X
My favorite part of this $OWL article… What possible value could investment bankers see in a full or partial sale of the business that the public market is apparently missing? https://t.co/5rjY1IZQv1 https://t.co/yWPrLNBD21
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds October 2026 LFABF $13BNSIS-B $29B
- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities 3Q 2026 NET $97B
- Palm Harbour Capital third quarter 2026 BOIVF $12BVARRY $15B
- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $32BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 LUV $21BQXO $12B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 HXGBY $29BMTB $32B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BCABGY $15B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $15BHONA $50B
Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap
Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…
Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me
Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…
Dustin Quasney 2 clicks
Marvellous Value Destruction
Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…
Nebius: Headlines Look Good But Debt Markets Signal Caution (Rating Downgrade)
Nebius faces refinancing and dilution risks from short-term borrowing and heavy GPU infrastructure spending despite higher rental prices…
Hunting Alphas 2 clicks
Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?
Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.
FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two
FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.
DoorDash 3Q’26: Buying the Big Basket
DoorDash’s 3Q orders rose 28% as it announced a $17 billion Instacart acquisition, expanding its grocery basket strategy after buying…
Kinross: Back On The Sale Rack (Rating Upgrade)
Kinross faces a roughly 6% 2026 guidance miss after lower Round Mountain and La Coipa output, while costs rose 20% year over year.
Taylor Dart 1 click
[scuttleslops] RDDT, AI and cybersecurity, AMZN, MU, META, BLDR, RYAN
Reddit’s Google referrals fell by more than 1 million a week as AI search expands, prompting a logged-in-user push to protect ad yield and…
Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once Again
Global Payments rose 18% on a reported CD&R and GTCR take-private bid, while estimated control value is $45-$60 versus a $96.84 share price.
BNTX Earnings Review
BioNTech's Q3 revenue beat consensus on €613 million of BMS partnership revenue, while COVID vaccine sales fell 35% and net cash totaled…
ON Semiconductor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Onsemi's Q3 revenue rose 11% to $1.72 billion, driven by 175% AI data-center growth, while automotive revenue fell 1% and net debt dropped…
Enterprise Products Partners Pulled 2027 Into 2026 - Energy Transfer Didn't
Enterprise Products Partners has pulled growth spending into 2026, while Energy Transfer’s contracted projects offer clearer EBITDA growth…
BSP · short Bending Spoons Spa
Bending Spoons is a software and digital-assets holding company that has completed more than 50 acquisitions since 2013.
BMRN Earnings Review
BioMarin’s Q3 revenue rose 32% to $1.02 billion after the Amicus acquisition, while lower 2026 guidance and $2.8 billion of net debt…
Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense
Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…
Wavelength Research 2 clicks
Sleep Well Portfolio (Oct 2026) - SWI#25 and #26 Adding Exposure to AI.
Sleep Well Portfolio adds two AI infrastructure suppliers and trims CrowdStrike at a 140x free-cash-flow valuation and $270 billion market…
Portfolio Update October 2026
Portfolio returned over 15% in October, lifting cumulative gains to 103.5%, while adding 3i Group and increasing Floor & Decor and…
Agnico Eagle: Soaring Above The Peer Group
Agnico Eagle expects low-end 2026 guidance despite Barnat setbacks, while Hope Bay, Upper Beaver and Odyssey support production above 4…
Taylor Dart 3 clicks
Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints
AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…
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