Sunday, November 1, 2026

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.

CLMT $4.3B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 2 clicks

Nov 1 MO $130B

Altria: Dutiful

Invariant 2 clicks

Nov 1 CRWD $267B

Sleep Well Portfolio (Oct 2026) - SWI#25 and #26 Adding Exposure to AI.

Sleep Well Investments 7 clicks

From X

@hkuppy Oct 14 2 clicks

Kuppy on X

Been tough this year when you refuse to mindlessly speculate on the AI Mania… Those trade schools ($LINC and $UTI) have really hurt. However, I have added real size the whole way down, and they’re now one of our largest exposures. This was offset by solid performance in refiners ($MPC and $VLO) which I have now harvested. The rest of the book was mostly a wash…

@AsifSuria Oct 14

Asif Suria on X

Buffett trying to make sure they don't turn off those AOL servers. $BSP $BRK.B https://t.co/dCxyARdRhP

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 14 6 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Spoke with an expert about $LEN the other day He told me that Lennar focuses so much on entry level homes that it's got a "here goes the neighborhood" effect Other builders won't build in the same MPC/area This could potentially cut them off from sites in the future

@pitdesi Oct 14

Sheel Mohnot on X

Berkshire now has a $1.3B position in Bending Spoons. Stock is up 38% (to $52) on news that Berkshire bought $330M via private placement at $33/share $BSP https://t.co/oGfvtwcdED

@valuedontlie Oct 14 2 clicks

Colin King on X

August write-up on Cal Maine $CALM now available to freebie accounts on VIC... Good overview of the situation... at ~$60-65/sh it looks like an asymmetric bet with a 4-6 quarter time horizon https://t.co/60U009ZX53

@negligible_cap Oct 14 3 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria (has a $100 price target and a neutral rating on $CRWV ) says “the equity value is going to be zero” on a podcast released today A bit conflicting there Gil https://t.co/aKJmqVZlZ5

@negligible_cap Oct 14

Negligible Capital on X

D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria (has a $100 price target and a neutral rating on $CRWV ) says “the equity value is going to be zero” on a podcast released today A bit conflicting there Gil https://t.co/ZLEqfmpE8i

@irbezek Oct 14 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

Happy 5-year anniversary to those who celebrate. $UPST https://t.co/zK4vPVEjjZ https://t.co/Xog81EWEvl

Portfolio Update October 2026

Portfolio returned over 15% in October, lifting cumulative gains to 103.5%, while adding 3i Group and increasing Floor & Decor and…

TGOPF $33BTSCO $18B

D Invests Nov 1 3 clicks

Agnico Eagle: Soaring Above The Peer Group

Agnico Eagle expects low-end 2026 guidance despite Barnat setbacks, while Hope Bay, Upper Beaver and Odyssey support production above 4…

AEM $84B

Taylor Dart Nov 1 3 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…

LITE $62BCOHR $47B

P Equity Research Oct 31 1 click

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $20B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $22B

Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $88B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $465B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $270B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

T · short

At&t INC

AT&T’s stalled deleveraging and share repurchase case has prompted a bearish turn on the telecom stock.

T $144B

Value Investors Club Aug 3

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $108B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $101B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.7B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.2B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

Sunday, November 1, 2026

Kuppy on X

Asif Suria on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Sheel Mohnot on X

Colin King on X

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

Ian Bezek on X

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