Sunday, November 1, 2026

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3 results.

CLMT $3.8B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 4 clicks

Nov 1 MO $130B

Altria: Dutiful

Invariant 3 clicks

Nov 1 CRWD $248B

Sleep Well Portfolio (Oct 2026) - SWI#25 and #26 Adding Exposure to AI.

Sleep Well Investments 8 clicks

From X

@AltaFoxCapital Nov 6 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

Good quarter from $NATL and thesis on track. -The ATMaaS business continues to outperform... 37% y/y growth in Q3... and it's on track to be 40%+ in Q4, well ahead of our expectations -SSB delivered >50% incremental EBITDA margins in Q3, fueling 21% EBITDA growth for the segment

@FriendlyBearSA Oct 31 1 click

The Friendly Bear on X

$BFAM this is quickly becoming Kindercare...a part time day care business with plenty of hair...at a massive premium valuation https://t.co/Qyl0hbcakL https://t.co/lcYfNKtUaI

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 30

Brian McGough on X

This $FND print is a VERY weak quality beat. Revs missed, with an increasingly negative exit rate for the quarter, which carried into 4Q. Pre-opening expenses lower, opex barely grew at an inflationary rate, and a lower tax rate accounted for all the upside.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 29

Brian McGough on X

$BOOT just took up its unit growth goal from 900 stores to 1,200. This is a joke. The company needs to cap units at 500. It's building a fleet of long-lived assets for a transitory fashion trend. Management at $BOOT is delusional... CEO left for good reason.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 29

Brian McGough on X

These $CVNA numbers suggest profitability is unraveling. Units looked good, in line w alt data...revenue accel, but massive EBITDA deceleration. Something ain't right here...

@HaydenCapital Oct 21

Fred Liu on X

Forrest's latest memo echoes his recent podcast interview - belief that the AI platform-shift has created a window of opportunity. For Sea Ltd $SE to be a $1TN company, if they play their cards right. https://t.co/s9IiqSfd4w https://t.co/Q5AEMfnl7P https://t.co/EYgD8uK51z

@HedgeyeRetail Sep 30

Brian McGough on X

Monster print out of $NKE -- spot on with our estimate and nearly double the Street. Revenue and Gross Profit both ahead. The company is clearly filling the channel by returning to wholesale. Now it needs to EARN that space back with better product. Punchline is that people are underestimating the recovery EPS power, and this print proved that, in part. Stock is 'expensive', I get it. But will look cheaper over $100 as earnings and cash flow recover.

@HedgeyeRetail Sep 25

Brian McGough on X

$BBWI at $26 might just offer the best upside/downside skew in all of retail across durations. The only one buying the stock today is the company, which is telling you something...

Portfolio Update October 2026

Portfolio returned over 15% in October, lifting cumulative gains to 103.5%, while adding 3i Group and increasing Floor & Decor and…

TGOPF $36BTSCO $19B

D Invests Nov 1 4 clicks

Agnico Eagle: Soaring Above The Peer Group

Agnico Eagle expects low-end 2026 guidance despite Barnat setbacks, while Hope Bay, Upper Beaver and Odyssey support production above 4…

AEM $93B

Taylor Dart Nov 1 3 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 4 clicks

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…

LITE $48BCOHR $41B

P Equity Research Oct 31 2 clicks

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $17B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 5 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $21B

Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 4 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $90B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 4 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $423B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 4 clicks

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $285B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

T · short

At&t INC

AT&T’s stalled deleveraging and share repurchase case has prompted a bearish turn on the telecom stock.

T $149B

Value Investors Club Aug 3

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $114B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $52B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $24BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $25B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.6B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $117BLITE $48B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $21B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.4B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

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Sunday, November 1, 2026

Connor Haley on X

The Friendly Bear on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

Fred Liu on X

Brian McGough on X

Brian McGough on X

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