Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 AMZN $2.9T

Amazon.com Inc (AMZN) Earnings Update: Q3 2026

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 7 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $62B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 1 click

From X

@orrdavid Oct 31 2 clicks

David Orr on X

Even in that case, the stock could do well for many years because earnings growth drives the return. But since it's now crowded, the risk:reward is completely different. $SFM sold more than it would have if it was uncrowded. If hypothetically it was extremey uncrowded, it might not have sold too hard at all. Normally I avoid crowded stocks like that, but that one seemed lower risk ... whoops!

@partners_road Oct 31 1 click

RiverRoadPartners on X

2 wks into Q3 earnings, at least 4 semis flagged back-end constraints ($TXN, $ALGM, $PI, $NXPI), 2 noted customer push outs ($ALGM, $TER), $INTC noted higher memory prices caused demand destruction in PC’s & $LRCX couldn’t guide for upside b/c of a specialty component shortage.

@TidefallCapital Oct 31 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@LSigurd feels like $nvda will just bail it out

@orrdavid Oct 31 1 click

David Orr on X

@JackFarley96 When $NVDA finally has its big double miss, $SOXX probably drops 25% in a day or two.

@calvinblissett Oct 31

Calvin Blissett on X

$TZOO. Something happened after I posted this. For the second time someone intelligent reached out sharing their thoughts and insists. They were one of the only people to speak to the CEO in the past year. I’d never looked too deeply but it’s been on Joel Greenblatt magic formula for years now. They underwent a significant business model change. I can attest to the value proposition personally because recently I traveled somewhere where they posted a very popular (very good value) deal. AI is not as much of a threat as it may seem and actually is more likely to be a tailwind which I explain. The business model grew through 2008 so I’m not overly concerned about recession risk, and their reports show that 74% of their affluent travel loving customer base would cut travel last. I think the stock can 4x. It reminds me of $BMBL sentiment and accounting wise. Writeup tommrow

@leevalueroach Oct 31 1 click

Lee Roach on X

I went to five different GameStop $GME stores today. Each store got Halloween Pokemon cards and if you came in and said trick-or-treat you got a free pack. All were out of inventory by the mid-morning. One store associate said Pokemon is still insanely hot and all of the cards were taken by adults and not a single kid got one. Wall Street is sleeping on the GameStop turnaround.

@blondesnmoney Oct 31 3 clicks

Cluseau Investments on X

How life feels once you go 85% $RSP 15% $BOXX and check your brokerage account once a month https://t.co/MeMabOtTMX

@TidefallCapital Oct 31 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@DrewCohenMoney Not short but $APP is reliant on Apple and Google yet also competes with them with high margin ads. App has already been investigated by the SEC and state attorneys, the platforms could take some trivial data misstep & shut it down in the name of privacy and steal the economics.

Verra veerer

Verra Mobility’s Avis termination threatens 2027 earnings, while Government Solutions profit rose 25% and implied fourth-quarter guidance…

VRRM $404M

The Oak Bloke Oct 31 2 clicks

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $20B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

Microsoft's AI Boom Has A Cost

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48% as AI monetization accelerated, but doubled CapEx, largely for CPUs and GPUs, reduced quarterly free cash flow…

MSFT $3.9T

Yiannis Zourmpanos Oct 31 2 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.9T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 5 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $90B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $423B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $285B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $114B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $729B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

RGLD · long

Royal Gold INC

Royal Gold, a $19 billion precious-metals royalty and streaming company, benefits from mine production without operating mines directly.

RGLD $19B

Value Investors Club May 29 2 clicks

Everspin Technologies: Memory Error

Everspin Technologies, a $900 million MRAM maker, has surged 300% in weeks as AI speculation blurs distinctions among memory chips.

MRAM $318M

Kerrisdale Capital May 19

Quick Value #315 - Zoetis (ZTS)

Zoetis trades at about 11x 2026 earnings after falling more than 60% from its peak, as disappointing launches and safety issues pressure…

ZTS $33B

Value Don't Lie May 18

Weekend Digest #344: Colombia Election, CAAP New Dividend, May Buy & Hold Purchases

Colombian election risks for Grupo Aval, CAAP's near-doubled Q1 EPS and new dividend, and May buy-and-hold purchases.

CAAP $3.9BAVAL $5.1B

Ian’s Insider Corner May 18

Inter, Nu, MercadoLibre Earnings & Outlook + LatAm Political Considerations

Inter, Nu and MercadoLibre reported 38%, 53% and 51% revenue growth, respectively, as Latin American political and macro risks drove a…

INTR $1.7BNU $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner May 17

ROAS to Riches

Entravision’s Smadex AdTech segment grew Q1 2026 revenue 204% and generated over $34 million of EBIT, becoming 78% of sales and the core…

EVC $638M

The Mikro Kap May 17 3 clicks

DoorDash: Undervalued Giant With 2x Potential!

DoorDash is framed as an undervalued giant with potential to double.

DASH $86B

Capitalist Letters May 17

Quality Trap or Buying Opportunities? IBP and MTD Updates

Installed Building Products and Mettler-Toledo, down 38% and 32%, test whether lower valuations reflect deteriorating moats or cyclical…

IBP $5.7BMTD $34B

Flyover Stocks May 16

Transocean / Valaris Merger: DOJ's Second Request, Is it a Bust?

Transocean's acquisition of Valaris faces a DOJ second request, putting the offshore-drilling merger's antitrust approval and closing…

RIG $6.6BVAL $6.3B

Open Insights May 15

Compass Pathways: Deep Dive Analysis

Compass Pathways plans a Q4 2026 NDA submission for COMP360, a synthetic psilocybin treatment for resistant depression, backed by $466…

CMPS $1.2B

Hated Moats May 15 1 click

Saturday, October 31, 2026

David Orr on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

Trevor Scott on X

David Orr on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Lee Roach on X

Cluseau Investments on X

Trevor Scott on X

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