Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 4 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $48B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 2 clicks

Oct 31 VRRM $333M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Aug 26

Negligible Capital on X

*PALO ALTO'S ARORA EXPLORED ACQUIRING DATADOG: INFORMATION $DDOG currently a $80B company "Palo Alto Networks CEO Nikesh Arora has never shied away from deals, acquiring more than 40 companies in the eight years since he took the helm of the world’s biggest standalone cybersecurity firm. But over the past 18 months, Arora’s appetite for acquisitions has reached a new fever pitch as he expanded the company’s products to handle new AI threats as well as capture more revenue from existing customers. For instance, he explored acquiring Datadog, which sells software that helps businesses identify security threats and monitor how cloud applications perform, and Okta, which helps companies ensure workers have access to the right systems, according to two people with knowledge of the situation."

@negligible_cap Aug 26

Negligible Capital on X

$NKE is on track for its worst year since Michael Jordan's 1993 retirement. Ugly is an understatement https://t.co/Ydy9dPU1jY

@stockgutter Aug 26 2 clicks

SG on X

@DeepSailCapital $FFAI deserves consideration for that title. Pivot from EV to crypto to web3 to AI to humanoid robots to.....

@stockgutter Aug 26 3 clicks

SG on X

$STRL Sterling Infrastructure is struggling to find a bottom after filling the gap. I suspect soon but price will dictate. https://t.co/jaF1khaC03

@partners_road Aug 26

RiverRoadPartners on X

Similar to what we’ve seen happen at $WMT HQ, $T has found a way to cap/hold flat AI spend; a router sends each task to the cheapest model that can do the job, & open weight models that are now good enough for most of the work. Hearing this more & more as I speak to companies.

@AsifSuria Aug 26

Asif Suria on X

@mihaljevic @Stephen1426397 Agreed on Under Armour $UA $UAA and possibly $LULU because of competition from Vuori and Alo. Really surprised that you also consider $ONON passé. I thought they were the in thing along with Hoka.

@finphysnerd Aug 26

Myles on X

A lot of software stocks looking like juicy shorts again after this bounce. $XRO.ax makes no sense to my mind at the current valuation. $ASAN up 40% in 3 months despite being unprofitable and a likely AI victim. $BL is super expensive still for low growth. To name a few.

@finphysnerd Aug 25

Myles on X

The $EUR.ax merger arb has a huge spread and is a pain in the ass to hedge. An interesting idea you can do here is buy October or November $7.5 puts, which hedge you for a small return for $CRML below $7.5, but still leave solid upside if it squeezes (which I think it might to

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $17B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 5 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 4 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $90B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 4 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $423B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 4 clicks

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $285B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $114B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $52B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 5 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $24BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $25B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.6B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

PSN · long

Parsons CORP

Parsons generates roughly half of its $6.4 billion revenue from Federal Solutions, serving defense and intelligence customers.

PSN $5.3B

Value Investors Club Aug 2

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Applied Materials: A 51% Growth Quarter At 23x Forward Earnings

Applied Materials posted 51% growth while trading near 23 times forward earnings; memory spending and fab construction support orders, but…

AMAT $260B

Capital Minded Oct 30 1 click

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $117BLITE $48B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Smart Fit: Global Fitness Ambitions (Ticker: SMFT3)

Smart Fit, Brazil’s SMFT3, is expanding its low-cost gym network across Latin America, with corporate-wellness platform TotalPass adding to…

ESMR $1.9M

Emerging Moats Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $21B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Miami International: Q3 Growth And Operating Leverage Impress (Rating Upgrade)

Miami International Holdings posted 20% Q3 revenue growth and 47% EBITDA growth as options volumes, market-share gains and operating…

MIAX $3.4B

Seeking Profits Oct 29 4 clicks

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…

INTC $287B

Irrational Analysis Oct 29 2 clicks

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Intel's Q3 revenue rose 21% to $16.5 billion, led by 78% data-center and AI growth, but Q4 guidance of $15.5 billion trailed consensus.

INTC $287B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 4 clicks

Bloody Thursday: Defending Alphabet, now Amazon and Intel in the penalty box

Alphabet, Amazon and Intel face market pressure as the big three cloud giants reaffirm AI spending plans.

INTC $287B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 1 click

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Saturday, October 31, 2026

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

SG on X

SG on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

Asif Suria on X

Myles on X

Myles on X

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