Saturday, October 31, 2026

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet 2027 debt maturities.

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 3 clicks

Oct 31 LITE $62B

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

P Equity Research 1 click

Oct 31 VRRM $505M

Verra veerer

The Oak Bloke 2 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Oct 31 2 clicks

David Orr on X

Even in that case, the stock could do well for many years because earnings growth drives the return. But since it's now crowded, the risk:reward is completely different. $SFM sold more than it would have if it was uncrowded. If hypothetically it was extremey uncrowded, it might not have sold too hard at all. Normally I avoid crowded stocks like that, but that one seemed lower risk ... whoops!

@partners_road Oct 31 1 click

RiverRoadPartners on X

2 wks into Q3 earnings, at least 4 semis flagged back-end constraints ($TXN, $ALGM, $PI, $NXPI), 2 noted customer push outs ($ALGM, $TER), $INTC noted higher memory prices caused demand destruction in PC’s & $LRCX couldn’t guide for upside b/c of a specialty component shortage.

@orrdavid Oct 31 1 click

David Orr on X

@JackFarley96 When $NVDA finally has its big double miss, $SOXX probably drops 25% in a day or two.

@calvinblissett Oct 31

Calvin Blissett on X

$TZOO. Something happened after I posted this. For the second time someone intelligent reached out sharing their thoughts and insists. They were one of the only people to speak to the CEO in the past year. I’d never looked too deeply but it’s been on Joel Greenblatt magic formula for years now. They underwent a significant business model change. I can attest to the value proposition personally because recently I traveled somewhere where they posted a very popular (very good value) deal. AI is not as much of a threat as it may seem and actually is more likely to be a tailwind which I explain. The business model grew through 2008 so I’m not overly concerned about recession risk, and their reports show that 74% of their affluent travel loving customer base would cut travel last. I think the stock can 4x. It reminds me of $BMBL sentiment and accounting wise. Writeup tommrow

@leevalueroach Oct 31 1 click

Lee Roach on X

I went to five different GameStop $GME stores today. Each store got Halloween Pokemon cards and if you came in and said trick-or-treat you got a free pack. All were out of inventory by the mid-morning. One store associate said Pokemon is still insanely hot and all of the cards were taken by adults and not a single kid got one. Wall Street is sleeping on the GameStop turnaround.

@blondesnmoney Oct 31 3 clicks

Cluseau Investments on X

How life feels once you go 85% $RSP 15% $BOXX and check your brokerage account once a month https://t.co/MeMabOtTMX

@TidefallCapital Oct 31 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

@DrewCohenMoney Not short but $APP is reliant on Apple and Google yet also competes with them with high margin ads. App has already been investigated by the SEC and state attorneys, the platforms could take some trivial data misstep & shut it down in the name of privacy and steal the economics.

@leevalueroach Oct 31 1 click

Lee Roach on X

@rubicon59 Would love to chat on $APP and various other DSPs. DM if you are open to it.

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $16B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 4 clicks

SoFi Technologies: Nobody Saw This Coming

SoFi raised its 2026 guidance after a blowout Q3 and issued a strong 2027 outlook, with revenue projected to reach $5 billion by Q4 2030.

SOFI $22B

Riyado Sofian Oct 31

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 3 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $88B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 3 clicks

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $84B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $67B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23BADT $7.2B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $26B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Tango: Upgrading 'Buy' Based On ESMO 2026 Vopimetostat PDAC Data And Pathway Advancement Clarity

Tango Therapeutics reported an 82% response rate and 88% nine-month PFS for vopimetostat plus RASONQUE in RAS-mutant pancreatic cancer,…

TNGX $3.9B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 30 2 clicks

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

LITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

PTRN · short

Pattern Group INC

Pattern Group is a fragile consumer business targeted on the short side.

PTRN $3B

Value Investors Club Jul 15 3 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #15: Rocket Companies (RKT)

Rocket Companies combines Redfin, Rocket Mortgage and Mr. Cooper into an end-to-end homeownership platform, adding mortgage servicing fees…

RKT $36B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 25 4 clicks

(Public) Mach Natural Resources - A Buying Opportunity

Mach Natural Resources' Q2 distributable cash fell to $60.1 million as development spending rose, prompting a distribution cut; its units…

MNR $1.8B

HFI Research Sep 25 2 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.1B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 5 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $6.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 6 clicks

Alsea: Durable Growth at 5.4x EBITDA (Ticker: ALSEA)

Alsea, Mexico’s Starbucks, Domino’s and Burger King franchise operator, trades at 5.4x EBITDA while funding remodels, Mexican expansion and…

ALSSF $2.2B

Emerging Moats Research Sep 25 2 clicks

IEH Corporation: Research Note

IEH booked $3.6 million in mobile-defibrillator connector orders, lifting its medical revenue outlook and diversifying beyond aerospace and…

IEHC $72M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 24 7 clicks

Ciena & Fabrinet: The Road Ahead for Optics

Ciena and Fabrinet benefit as AI clusters require high-speed optics within and between data centers, through networking systems and…

FN $12BCIEN $50B

Aurelion Research Sep 24 3 clicks

Honeywell: Post-Spin Growth Story Is Just Getting Started

Honeywell is refocusing on automation after its Aerospace and Advanced Materials spinoffs, with a 1.1x book-to-bill ratio, raised guidance…

HON $69B

Gen Alpha Sep 24 1 click

Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success

Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.

FWONK $23B

Open Insights Sep 24 4 clicks

Saturday, October 31, 2026

David Orr on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

David Orr on X

Calvin Blissett on X

Lee Roach on X

Cluseau Investments on X

Trevor Scott on X

Lee Roach on X

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