Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap
Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.
Friday, October 30, 2026
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Ian Bezek on X
@taobanker $U up every day, $APP down every day, $RBLX demolished. Things as they should be.
Ian Bezek on X
@2suns2moons @bold_perception $CIB dividend up from $2.25/year in 2022 to more than $6/share now. Covers a lot of living expenses. If you relocate to another country, good to own some stuff there so you have an economic stake if its conditions improve...
Deep Sail Capital on X
$MRNA - Who wants to hold this over the weekend after the week it had and potential secondary overhang?
KEDM.com on X
Synchrony Financial $SYF popped a new buyback to the tune of $6.5bn, roughly 24% of its market cap. This one has been and remains a true share cannibal. https://t.co/c4cbOsC4jk
Trevor Scott on X
$APP price now under when Muddy Waters released a short report on the stock last year. https://t.co/U3w8oUnomI https://t.co/SS1Mp9vjRi
Farmer on X
All that complexity and blow-up risk to clone $SPY's returns in a bull market? https://t.co/kYImPyU49M
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Deutsche Bank $DB freed from consent order in 2010s FX scandal https://t.co/BsHGBheaWK
Trevor Scott on X
$DECK back at multi year low valuations but concern is the classic value trap risk that margins and ROC are at cyclical peaks. Growth has really fallen off too from 15-18% in 2023-2025 to just 7% in 2026. https://t.co/jvT5HnDjnH
Investor Letters
All letters- Artisan Partners Q3 2026 HDLMY $35BIQV $43B
- Sound Shore Management third quarter of 2026 BP $125BLUV $21B
- Curreen Capital July–September 2026 SMERY $110B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 AMZN $2.9TGLW $101B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BCABGY $15B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $13BGOOGL $3.4T
- Fairtree Asset Management Q3 2026 SSL $11B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 TLN $17B
SNY Earnings Review
Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.
SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain
SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…
Adam Schadt 2 clicks
Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts
Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.
Amazon 3Q’26: Trillion Dollar Talks
Amazon projects AWS growth above 40% through 2028 while funding a $220 billion capex plan with rising debt and an $80 billion equipment…
TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)
Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.
Alphabet's Post-Earnings Selloff Is The Best Buying Opportunity In Years
Alphabet's Google Cloud operating income more than tripled to $11.1 billion, while EPS fell 26% on a $2.76 billion SpaceX paper loss.
Rick Orford 5 clicks
Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39% to $46B as capex drove negative FCF; Lilly raised 2026 guidance to $91-92B on GLP-1 volume growth.
Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.
Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…
Alphabet: Don’t Search for a Straight Line in Innovation
Alphabet’s Q3 2026 cloud growth stayed strong while Search revenue growth slowed to 12%, with higher AI capital spending driving negative…
Applied Materials: A 51% Growth Quarter At 23x Forward Earnings
Applied Materials posted 51% growth while trading near 23 times forward earnings; memory spending and fab construction support orders, but…
Capital Minded 1 click
Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review
Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…
XOM Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating - No Paywall.
ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue rose 33% to $113.2 billion as refining earned $9.1 billion, surpassing upstream; the company set 2027 buybacks at…
AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…
What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules
Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…
Amazon - Q3 2026 Earnings Brief & Return
Amazon’s AWS revenue grew 39.3% to $46 billion, backed by a $578 billion backlog, while 2026 capex targets $220 billion and estimated…
SAP · long Sap Se
SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.
Another Haircut with Avy the Barber
SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.
Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside
Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…
Bloody Thursday: Defending Alphabet, now Amazon and Intel in the penalty box
Alphabet, Amazon and Intel face market pressure as the big three cloud giants reaffirm AI spending plans.
Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’
Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.
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