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Thursday, October 29, 2026

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Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

I have consistently talked about buying $CUBE in the past year and highlighted their incredible NYC/NNJ portfolio It accounts for 1/4 of the company's NOI, up 5.5% in Q3 on a YOY basis. Moves the needle. Overall NOI up 2.1% YOY High barrier, no rent regs like housing, truly a great asset NOI declines mostly in Sunbelt high supply markets Story is as old as time Bought at a rough 6.7% cap about a year ago at $36 ish now $41.08 plus about $2.12 in dividends since Not too shabby for a 20% one year return for buying a high quality SS with low leverage
Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” CUBE $9.9B
@convequity 1 click

Convequity on X

We wouldn’t be surprised to see GPU rental revenue reach $100bn per gigawatt a year. Nebius ($NBIS) has already reported a short-term deal in the $40m–$50m per MW annualised range. That is $40bn–$50bn per GW. Likewise for Space $SPCX and others while $CRWV sold its long term capacity too early at low prices. Use 660,000 Blackwell GPUs as a simplified 1GW case. With every GPU-hour rented: • $50bn a year = $8.65 per GPU-hour. • $100bn a year = $17.30 per GPU-hour. DeepSeek reports $38 of API revenue per GPU-hour at off-peak prices for a V4.1 Flash cluster. Peak tariffs are double. Serving the same workload at those prices would imply $76 per GPU-hour. For an inference provider that can reproduce those economics on rented hardware, a move from $5–$6 rent to $9 can still be affordable. Even roughly $18 need not make the service uneconomic. Suppose another provider achieves 70% of that $38–$76 revenue benchmark across its rented GPU-hours. That gives $26.60–$53.20 of revenue per hour. After $18 of GPU rent, $8.60–$35.20 remains for other costs and profit. The condition is matching DeepSeek’s serving efficiency on the rented hardware and sustaining paid demand at those token prices. Releasing the inference code does not guarantee either. For operators that can do this, we think there is room to keep bidding up scarce GPU capacity, even at twice today’s roughly $9 hourly rate.

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CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B
Speedwell Memos 3 clicks
USO · short

United States Oil Fund Lp

United States Oil Fund faces a short case tied to a long-Brent, short-WTI trade as Strait of Hormuz closure risk disrupts oil markets.

USO $990M
Value Investors Club 2 clicks

(MGGA) Make Guns Great Again

Ruger trades at a $468 million enterprise value, about 7 times normalized free cash flow, with $101 million cash and no debt as gun demand…

RGR $721M
XIX Value

Boston Omaha Corporation ($BOC)

Boston Omaha trades at $13.31 versus a $23-$30 intrinsic-value estimate, with billboard, broadband, hangar and surety businesses valued at…

BOC $406M
Calvin Blissett

Crane Co.

Crane Co. sells sole-source aerospace and process-control components, with 40% aftermarket revenue and margin expansion following its 2023…

CR $12B
Kairos Research

GAMCO Investors, Inc. - GAMI

GAMCO Investors trades OTC at a $550 million market cap, with $150 million in excess cash and a 5.2-5.7x operating-income valuation despite…

GAMI $542M
Exploring with Alluvial Capital

RH - the Universe Intervenes?

RH’s debt-funded luxury expansion faces weakening demand, deeper member discounts and a balance sheet strained by $2.4 billion of net debt.

RH $2.5B
Brevarthan Research 1 click

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