Another Haircut with Avy the Barber
SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.
Thursday, October 29, 2026
Back to today
From X
BDC on X
Yes. Minority specs investors get in line. 7k patents. No puck. Who wants to do the sotp for $snap when they get the $5B (at least) mark on Specs? Is 2.5x ebitda cheap? https://t.co/Y3kEu8rObr
Barbarian Capital on X
General Mills Profit, Sales Slip as Turnaround Continues $GIS https://t.co/hCadtnVNZ8
Barbarian Capital on X
Cracker Barrel Targets Sales Growth as New CEO Keeps Strategy Intact $CBRL https://t.co/kyqbCDcQSK
Barbarian Capital on X
Grail’s Multi-Cancer Blood Test Gets FDA Committee Vote for Premarket Approval $GRAL https://t.co/bdcNEQtgT5
Barbarian Capital on X
Activist Starboard Urges Construction Company to Explore Sale $KNF https://t.co/SaDmClimTV
Barbarian Capital on X
Barry Diller Withdraws Bid for MGM Resorts $MGM https://t.co/2iXlXJ49gY
Barbarian Capital on X
$CROX is the footwear for historic moments https://t.co/BWIcDcD92J
junkbondinvestor on X
Update on Loparex, the loan Blue Owl marked from 88 to 5 cents in just 8 months. The restructuring is now set. $OWL's entire ~$160mm 2L gets wiped out for a small piece of equity. Monarch and General Atlantic take control after buying the 1L at distressed prices earlier this year. Looks like the 5 cent mark in June was close to right. The question was always why it was 88 six months earlier...
Investor Letters
All letters- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q3 2026 OCTV $5.7BCALY $2.8B
- East 72 Period to 30 September 2026 BOIVF $12BAVOL $8.1B
- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $15BHONA $50B
- Fairtree Asset Management Q3 2026 SSL $11B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $553MGDOT $703M
- Moon Capital Management third quarter 2026 TME $15BUNVGY $31B
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.2BHGV $3B
- Sustainable Growth Advisers Quarter 3 2026 COO $12BNKE $57B
Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point
Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.
Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here
Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…
Bang For The Buck 1 click
Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map
Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…
[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI
Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…
This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal
Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.
Kratos: Strong Organic Growth And Production Ramp-Ups Support A Buy Rating
Kratos posted Q2 FY2026 revenue growth of 30.5% to $458.8 million as unmanned systems, propulsion and defense-electronics production ramps…
Arizona Equity Research 
Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…
Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View
Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…
CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth
CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker
Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…
Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive
Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…
The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More
Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…
Narek Hovhannisyan 1 click
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…
Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality
Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…
Albert Anthony 2 clicks
EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating
EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…
Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
My Last GFL Update - Hopefully
GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…
Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing
Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…
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Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
