Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and services growth decelerated.
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
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From X
Brian McGough on X
$REAL CEO gets an A+ for executing on the model. But a D- for communicating on last night's call. The reality is that supply growth -- THE KEY to GMV/Cash Flow -- is ACCELERATING. Stock getting tagged today in a Quad4 tape on a sloppy guide. But this story 100% on track.
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down.
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
Brian McGough on X
Nice blowup today on Best Idea Short $ONEW. But this name should literally be down 40%+ on these horrible numbers. Stock has been a nice 50% gain short side. But Crime Dog wants more...
Brian McGough on X
And in other news, John Donahoe got paid $29MILLION for all that value he created last year as CEO of $NKE.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster.
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Brian McGough on X
Only ONE Firm has a 'Short' on $HELE today... Those $140 price targets are going to have to come down by well over $100...Just sayin...
Investor Letters
All letters- Broyhill Asset Management third quarter 2026 CACI $13BHONA $50B
- Fairtree Asset Management Q3 2026 SSL $9.7B
- Alluvial Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 BSVN $553MFTLF $75M
- Moon Capital Management third quarter 2026 TME $15BSPOT $129B
- 1 Main Capital third quarter 2026 BFIT $2.2BHGV $3.3B
- Sustainable Growth Advisers Quarter 3 2026 COO $12BCRM $187B
- Matrix Asset Advisors 3rd Quarter 2026 NKE $60BUBER $147B
- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 DNBBF $50BMUFG $243B
ORCL Update
Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…
Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings
Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…
Cerebras ($CBRS): A Neocloud Masquerading as a Chipmaker
Cerebras relies on OpenAI for almost all of its $25 billion backlog while renting AI capacity, raising questions over its semiconductor…
Daktronics (DAKT): Dominant Leader | Deep Dive
Daktronics, the leader in U.S. sports video boards, targets 10-12% EBIT margins after shifting production to China and Mexico and exiting…
Danaher’s robotics era
Danaher’s new CEO paired a Q3 beat and raised EPS outlook with a 2027 4%-5% organic-growth starting point, while pitching AI-enabled…
The Cigna Group: Client Retention Matters, But Contract Profitability Matters More
Cigna faces PBM margin pressure as employer fee demands and Signature transition costs outweigh specialty-drug growth, limiting profit…
Narek Hovhannisyan 1 click
Enova International (ENVA): Leading US Online lender with excellent track record
Enova’s Q3 2026 revenue exceeded $1 billion as originations rose 31%, while its failed Grasshopper Bank bid drove a 23% one-day stock…
Vertiv (NYSE: VRT) Stock Rating: Accumulate, $329 Price Target After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Vertiv beat Q3 revenue guidance by $460 million, grew organic sales 55%, and raised full-year revenue guidance by $650 million to a $14.65…
Xenia Hotels: A Buy Ahead Of Q3 Results, Betting On Continued Portfolio Quality
Xenia Hotels & Resorts pairs luxury hotel assets, brand affiliations and planned renovations with investment-grade credit and covered…
Albert Anthony 2 clicks
Innodata responds, Amkor surges, Mega Tech spending on tap
Innodata shares fell 25% to $44.74 after India Today reported 550 job cuts in India.
EQT Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review - Distribute Rating
EQT moved to Distribute at $56.29 after Q3 revenue fell 9.6%; a 44% trailing free-cash-flow margin signals cycle risk despite lower debt…
My Last GFL Update - Hopefully
GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…
Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing
Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…
Novartis (NYSE: NVS) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Novartis grew Q3 sales 4% to $14.5bn and raised profit guidance, but pipeline failures triggered a $1.9bn impairment as net debt reached…
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
Boeing (NYSE: BA) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Boeing posted $24.2 billion in Q3 revenue and $1.5 billion in operating cash flow, but commercial aircraft lost $697 million as production…
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Are Neoclouds Dead?
Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…
Quantinuum: A Quantum Leader At A Reasonable Value
Quantinuum’s trapped-ion quantum platform supports a $2 billion 2030 revenue estimate and $135 fair value, backed by $2.1 billion cash and…
Fundamental Options 5 clicks
Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis
Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…
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