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Tuesday, October 27, 2026

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@ParadisLabs 1 click

Paradis on X

A lot of green in AI land today from $NBIS +11.2% to $CRDO +10.8%. Over the past few weeks, financing has been the main pressure point but it seems like we've made some solid progress this week. - $META raised $97.5B, with $60B of that coming through an ATM starting in January. - $SPCX signed a $40B deal for GPU equipment. - $AVGO set up a $63B SPV to fund custom chips for Anthropic, who also eased some fears with their S-1. Feels like the rapid de-grossing over the last few weeks has mostly run its course, however according to JPM, volumes still remain light. Interestingly, GS say that there's evidence today of "increased offense being played across the AI complex". While this is still minimal, it's a notable uptick vs. the past few weeks where risk was near zero. I wonder whether the market decides to pay attention to the upcoming hurdles, or whether it keeps riding the wall of worry higher. I personally still land on some short-term choppiness when you consider how bruised investors have gotten since July + hurdles in the next few days (hyperscaler earnings, FOMC, midterms).

Investor Letters

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Are Neoclouds Dead?

Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…

NBIS $42B
Daniel Romero 9 clicks

Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis

Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…

RDDT $18B
Hated Moats 6 clicks

The Data Center Bridge

Small- and mid-cap data center stocks trade as one despite sharply different funding bridges: 12 of 15 cover fixed costs on signed…

IREN $9.9B
CV's Substack 16 clicks
NCNO · long

Ncino INC

NCino is a commercial-lending system of record for banks and credit unions, trading at roughly 3x enterprise value to sales.

NCNO $2.4B
Value Investors Club 3 clicks

MercadoLibre: Valuation Model

MercadoLibre’s sum-of-the-parts model values commerce and payments on FCFF, credit on equity returns, producing a $1,980 base-case target…

MELI $86B
Hated Moats

U-Haul Bought at the Top

U-Haul’s pandemic-era fleet purchases at inflated prices now drive higher depreciation and disposal losses as truck and van prices…

UHAL $12B
scuttleblurb 2 clicks

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