Thursday, October 22, 2026

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

SA PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

Weyerhaeuser Company: Timberland Assets Offer Long-Term Upside At A Discount

Weyerhaeuser’s $23.07 sum-of-the-parts valuation rests on discounted timberlands, while its 4.3% dividend needs stronger free cash flow and…

WY $14B

SA Atlas Diary Oct 22 7 clicks

IMXI · short

International Money Expr INC

International Money Express is shorted on the market pricing an 80-85% chance that Western Union closes its roughly $500 million…

Sixty Dollars or Nothing

Chiron granted seven executives 195,610 options at a $60 strike, 63% above the market price and above its published valuation range.

Research & Analysis: Applied Aerospace & Defense (NYSE: AADX) q2’26 Earnings Update

Applied Aerospace & Defense reported Q2 revenue growth of 47% to $167 million and $1.13 billion in backlog, supported by missile production…

Trading Post 9/4/2026

Lululemon reported a 9% global comparable-sales decline, 20% lower leggings sales and mid-single-digit operating-margin guidance, with…

Oklo Inc.: The AI Power Trade Is Getting More Tangible

Oklo’s Q2 progress includes Groves’ first criticality and Aurora agreements, while equity dilution cut its price target to $88 despite a $3…

OKLO $4.9B

SA The Curious Analyst Sep 4 1 click

Kraken Robotics: Doubling Down (Ticker: KRKN.F)

Kraken Robotics’ C$615 million Covelya acquisition roughly doubles its underwater defense content as mine-warfare risks drive naval…

Summit Therapeutics: The High Stakes Of Translating China Clinical Data To The U.S.

Summit Therapeutics needs HARMONi-3 and Western-subgroup data to validate China-based ivonescimab results, while $690.7 million in Q2 cash…

SMMT $12B

SA Stephen Ayers Sep 3 8 clicks

Short Thoughts - Cassandra in Flames?

Tailored Brands’ bankruptcy erased an asset-backed small-cap thesis, while lululemon has become the portfolio’s largest and most…

Build a Bear Workshop

Build-A-Bear Workshop, the toy retailer.

Portfolio Update August 2026

Portfolio update: Honeywell Aerospace was added after a 20% post-earnings drop, while vertical software remains over 35% of holdings amid…