Thursday, October 22, 2026

Mosaic: Cash from Potash Now, a Recovery in Phosphates Later

Mosaic’s potash business generated $930 million after capital spending and closure cash in 2025, while phosphate operations consumed $207…

Mosaic, Part One: The Story

Mosaic’s history traces the 2004 Cargill-IMC merger and the phosphate and potash mines that shaped NYSE: MOS.

Mosaic, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Mosaic, NYSE: MOS, is the subject of a second audio program for professional investors analyzing fertilizer producers.

Unicycive (UNCY):

Unicycive’s oxylanthanum carbonate NDA earned a March 25, 2027 PDUFA date after two manufacturing-related rejections, with no FDA clinical…

Thursday Tailwinds #12: Oct 22, 2026

PJM's 6,831 MW capacity shortfall is driving nuclear uprates, with Google contracting 890 MW from 11 operating reactors.

4 Boring Non-AI Stocks Trading at Attractive Valuations

Rollins, North America’s largest pest-control provider, gets 75–80% of revenue from recurring contracts but has fallen about 45% year to…

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Lithia Motors (LAD)

Group 1 Automotive and Lithia Motors divide two longtime value investors: David Abrams switched to Lithia in 2018, while Greg Alexander…

Diageo: Gen Z Is Drinking Again, And They Want Cocktails

DEO $52B

SA PropNotes Oct 22 7 clicks

Atour Lifestyle ($ATAT): The Hotel Chain That Is Secretly a (Sleep) DTC E-Commerce Brand

Atour Lifestyle combines an asset-light Chinese hotel franchise network with Atour Planet sleep-product sales, using guest rooms as product…

Weyerhaeuser Company: Timberland Assets Offer Long-Term Upside At A Discount

Weyerhaeuser’s $23.07 sum-of-the-parts valuation rests on discounted timberlands, while its 4.3% dividend needs stronger free cash flow and…

WY $14B

SA Atlas Diary Oct 22 8 clicks

HWKN · short

Hawkins INC

Hawkins (HWKN) faces margin pressure as cost increases and municipal budget constraints weigh on its water-chemical distribution business.

NLOP - I'm Buying Again

NLOP’s selloff after a weak KBR property sale has created a high-potential IRR entry point.

Market Leader in a Growing Industry Trading at 6x EBIT

Stride operates 89 virtual and blended public K-12 schools in 31 states and trades at 6x EBIT after an operational setback.

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…

Programmatic DSPs

Entravision’s Smadex AdTech unit generated 104% revenue growth and 378% EBIT growth, becoming the main upside driver after Meta ended its…

Can AI Read the Market?

Gemini’s chart-only analysis favors Nutrien, soybeans, nickel and sugar, while rating Constellation Software a sideline despite its 40%…

Affirm (AFRM): Buy Now, Cry Later

Affirm, a $25 billion buy now, pay later lender, faces a short thesis comparing its model with failed subprime monoline finance companies.

FTAI Power and QXO's next aquistion

FTAI Power plans to convert CFM56 jet engines into 25 MW gas turbines for data centers, targeting 100 annual units and $750 million to $1…

Coupang Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)

Coupang’s former strategy VP discusses Taiwan expansion, 1P-versus-3P economics, margins and competitive risks as CPNG trades 35% below its…

LandBridge: It’s the Pore Space Stupid!

LandBridge’s produced-water pore-space royalties, 69% of Q3 2025 revenue, offer durable value beyond its volatile Permian data-center…