Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Meta 3Q26 Business Update: Not Just an Ads Business?

Meta’s 3Q26 Family of Apps revenue rose 26% as Muse reached 10 million users, testing AI-agent shopping that Walmart permits while Amazon blocks.

META $1.8T

Speedwell Research 38h ago 10 clicks

45h ago BMBL $783M

Bumble is being taken private

Modern Value Investing 8 clicks

46h ago GLOO $291M

GLOO, part two

Guardian Research 4 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Oct 1

Lee Roach on X

Good god $WY is getting low here. My guess is rates keep going up and assets like this trade down as people pour into yields. But eventually these become a load the boat up buy. Massive inflation hedges and owning large swaths of land creates multigenerational wealth. https://t.co/KvWmv9gBog

@calvinblissett Oct 1

Calvin Blissett on X

@JordanBoekel I have skimmed over $FINV, $LX made good money in $YUMC, looked at $PDD. I think management is even more important given regulatory risk and China and that is partly why I like $YB

@convequity Oct 1 3 clicks

Convequity on X

Renting AI capacity protects Microsoft ($MSFT) if the AI buildout busts. It leaves Microsoft exposed if compute gets scarce. On Q2 2026 data, Microsoft's implicit and off-balance-sheet infrastructure commitments were 17 times its headline borrowings according to our AI Bubble Barometer. 1. Microsoft signs a multi-year deal to rent capacity. The partner, a specialist AI cloud such as $IREN or Nebius ($NBIS), typically raises the capital, builds the site, buys the chips and owns the assets. 2. Construction risk, the risk that the GPUs lose value, and most of the financing sit with that partner and its lenders. 3. Microsoft swaps capital spending today for rental payments later. Compare Alphabet ($GOOGL) at 10.2 times. Almost all of its off-book commitments are purchase orders, $811bn of them, for chips and equipment Google will own. We read Microsoft's choice as less than full confidence in the buildout, and Google's as the opposite. In our view the market underweights the risk that compute gets scarce. The partners own any capacity beyond their Microsoft contracts and can sell it to whoever pays more. Microsoft would then have to wait or pay up, as it owns fewer of the data centres and chips it uses. That means higher compute costs and tighter margins. On our reading, Microsoft wins if AI demand falls short, because its partners carry most of the asset risk. If compute gets scarce, Microsoft loses, because renting gives it less control of supply, and Google wins because it will own the chips it ordered.

@P_Remarks Oct 1

Prepared Remarks on X

First $Orcl insider buy of >$1m since 2022 $3.5m from board member Stephen Rusckowski https://t.co/cmll9Lko4p

@BlueDuckCap Oct 1 1 click

BDC on X

I think $MCD has a better shot of finding a bottom near these levels than $NKE does. People still need to eat. MCD, while not healthy, is still a popular go-to for relatively cheap food (I know its not as cheap as it once was - but its all relative). And MCD still has durable unit growth to point to. Don't think they have brand issues nearly as severe as Nike does. Not advice. Just my 2c.

@BlueDuckCap Oct 1

BDC on X

I don't see an easy turnaround at $nke. Social media has lowered the barriers to entry on athleisure. I get ads all the time from no name upstarts with cool stuff in my Instagram feed. Clearly Nike is losing share in China. Hard to see what turns that around. Most abstract but maybe most important is that the brand no longer resonates as high quality and certainly doesn't seem "cool" at least from what I can tell. 20x on declining EPS. Not sure what turns it.

@stockgutter Oct 1

SG on X

$SEV shot-chaser 8k this morning boasts of slashing capital needs to $115m S-3 this afternoon says raising up to $250m anyways I'm naked short calls https://t.co/bnw9wOqULl

@BrokenMoats Oct 1 1 click

Broken Moats on X

At current rates and capital being consumed by AI, cant see the appetite from PE to pencil this out, let alone get the financing in place. There are only two other restaurant chains larger by market cap and that is $MCD which would be over 30% over their current market cap. And would be almost 50% of the other, $SBUX. So no, and markets not buying it either

Netflix Q3 Earnings Update

Netflix Q3 earnings update revises the thesis and rating.

NFLX $511B

Rebound Capital Oct 21 20 clicks

Sagimet Biosciences: The U.S. Acne Trial Is A Replication Exercise, Not A Discovery Bet

Sagimet Biosciences' denifanstat enters a fully funded U.S. acne registration trial after Phase 3 results, with SGMT trading below cash and…

SGMT $695M

Equity Eagle Oct 21 3 clicks

CoreWeave: It’s Not Dying, Not Anytime Soon

CoreWeave is compared with Amazon's early public years, when investors expected bankruptcy amid losses and dependence on outside capital.

CRWV $34B

Capitalist Letters Oct 21 41 clicks

Berkshire Put Bending Spoons On My Radar

Bending Spoons has spent about $10 billion on software acquisitions, including pending Miro, while Q2 organic growth was 3% and all…

BSP $29B

Jack Bowman Oct 21 10 clicks

Eli Lilly And Co. (LLY)

Eli Lilly's Mounjaro and Zepbound drove 2025 revenue to $65.2 billion as the drugmaker expands AI partnerships with Nvidia, Isomorphic…

LLY $1.2T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 21 25 clicks

Gladstone Investment: High Dividend Increases And NAV Gains, But Very Risky

Gladstone Investment's 50% equity portfolio drove NAV and dividend gains, but five holdings make up 44.5% of fair value and heighten Level…

GAIN $588M

Stephen Nemo Oct 21 4 clicks

Why I sold OB pick for 26 SVM

Silvercorp’s falling Ying grades, prolonged GC suspension, El Domo execution risk and Chaarat funding needs weaken its valuation despite…

SVM $2B

The Oak Bloke Oct 21 27 clicks

Use of AI is boosting Snowflake’s revenue while mortal companies may take longer

Snowflake says internal AI use is lifting revenue and profit, while customers show early implementation success.

SNOW $111B

The Technology Letter Oct 20 11 clicks

Netflix Earnings, Business or Franchise, Disney’s Deal

Netflix’s earnings raise questions about whether its growth profile still merits a franchise valuation, alongside discussion of Disney’s…

NFLX $511BDIS $193B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 20 8 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Three

Vicor’s $66.6 million in AI power-delivery royalties generated about $50 million of operating profit, eclipsing its module business as…

VICR $9.7B

CV's Substack Oct 20 28 clicks

DOMO · long

Domo INC

Domo is valued as an NOL shell, with the long case tied to the timing and value of its NOL realization.

DOMO

Value Investors Club Jul 23 11 clicks

Onto Innovation: Fall Buyers Rewarded With 2027 Growth

Onto Innovation's metrology, advanced-packaging and x-ray tools are expected to lift revenue and margins through 2027 as Dragonfly G5 and…

ONTO $11B

Off His Game Oct 20 2 clicks

Carecloud News

CareCloud may attract a private-equity buyer after its Q3 call, with acquiring enough shares the main obstacle to a take-private deal.

CCLD $74M

Calvin Blissett Oct 20 10 clicks

From Fat to Follicles - Is Hair Loss the Next Blockbuster?

Novo Nordisk has only floated hair loss, while Veradermics’ Phase 3 oral minoxidil data lead a field of licensing and takeover candidates.

NVO $176BMANE $5.3B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 41 clicks

Is Microsoft Over-Earning on OpenAI?

Microsoft booked $24.1 billion from OpenAI in FY2026, nearly a quarter of Azure revenue, raising questions over finite, high-margin…

MSFT $3.9T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 20 21 clicks

RTX Corporation (NYSE: RTX) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Update - Accumulate, Record $340bn Backlog, Zones And Stop Inside

RTX reported 11% sales growth to $25.0 billion, raised 2026 guidance and reached a record $340 billion backlog, while free cash flow fell…

RTX $259B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 9 clicks

Heico Corporation

HEICO sells FAA-approved aircraft replacement parts at 30% to 50% discounts to OEMs, gaining customers as restrictive aftermarket contracts…

HEI $42B

D Invests Oct 20 13 clicks

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Update - Accumulate, Record Backlog, Zones And Stop Inside

Northrop Grumman posted 7% Q3 sales growth to $11.1 billion, lifted profit guidance and reached a record $109.6 billion backlog, led by…

NOC $73B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 4 clicks

Disney: Century-Old Franchises at 14x Forward Earnings

Disney trades at 14x FY27 consensus EPS of $7.50 as parks, merchandise and streaming rebuild its franchise flywheel.

DIS $193B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 20 10 clicks

[scuttleslops] AMZN, MTCH, SPOT, Open vs. closed models

Amazon’s fulfillment network and customer-review base limit autonomous AI shopping agents, whose referrals generate under 0.5% of major…

AMZN $2.8T

scuttleblurb Oct 20 11 clicks

Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Lee Roach on X

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