Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner 32h ago 12 clicks

36h ago NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

38h ago APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 61 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man 31h ago 2 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

@BarbarianCap 32h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Silgan to Combine With Trivium Packaging in $3.4 Billion Deal $SLGN https://t.co/XWQSkZuUO5

@BarbarianCap 32h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap 32h ago 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@StableBread 32h ago

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

@BarbarianCap 32h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

Tradeweb to Buy Trumid For About $1.97 Billion $TW https://t.co/41iZw4PowI

@BarbarianCap 32h ago

Barbarian Capital on X

CoreWeave’s Business Is Sound Despite Debt Fears, JPMorgan Says $CRWV https://t.co/DKA8ZpjnGb

@BarbarianCap 32h ago 5 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Avis Wipeout Erases Last Vestige of 600% Short Squeeze Rally $CAR https://t.co/5YhPTjmIi0

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow 43h ago 18 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $379M

Anthony Cataldo 45h ago 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research 45h ago 16 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global 47h ago 32 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $362M

Substack von Philipp 47h ago 9 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 13 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.3BIOVA $6.7B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 18 15 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 5 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 22 clicks

Cerebras Systems: Beaten To A Pulp On Irrational Fears (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras, a wafer-scale AI chipmaker, is forecast to nearly 10x sales by 2028 as capacity expands, while its shares have fallen on capacity…

CBRS $28B

Stone Fox Capital Oct 18 10 clicks

INTU · long

Intuit INC

Intuit, down 60% year to date, is the Nasdaq 100’s worst performer, ahead of declines at Workday and Adobe.

INTU $88B

Value Investors Club Jun 30 1 click

Brad Jacobs and the QXO Thesis

QXO applies Brad Jacobs’s consolidation playbook to fragmented building materials, anchored by its TopBuild acquisition and a strategy of…

QXO $11BXPO $22B

Bearstone Sep 16 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LII

Dell’s AI-server demand and Microchip’s data-center components lead updates on Cirrus Logic and STMicroelectronics, alongside a weekly…

CRUS $5.4BSTM $41B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 16 1 click

Forget Drones: Ondas Is Building An Autonomous Warfare Ecosystem

Ondas Holdings, ONDS, grew Q2 2026 revenue 1,235% to $83.7 million after acquisitions and is integrating drone and autonomous warfare…

ONDS $3.5B

Analysis Fundamental Sep 16 1 click

Ethos' Biggest Distributor by Head Count Ranked It Last on Stage

Ethos relies on three carriers for 88% of revenue as TruStage payment failures triggered policy lapses and Family First Life publicly…

LIFE $2.5B

Hunterbrook Sep 15 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo, Rigetti And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Ares Capital, Grab, Lenovo and Rigetti.

ARCC $14BGRAB $12B

The Undercovered Dozen Sep 15

Li Lu Bought Crocs. Follow the Free Cash Flow (CROX)

Crocs drew Li Lu’s investment after generating $660 million of 2025 free cash flow, despite the HEYDUDE write-off, tariff pressure and…

CROX $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 15 5 clicks

Sanmina: AI Rack Manufacturing Is Rewriting The Earnings Base

Sanmina’s ZT Systems acquisition expands its AI rack manufacturing footprint, making repeatable production, margins and cash conversion…

SANM $10B

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 15

No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot

Medtronic’s MiniMed split-off gives odd-lot MDT holders priority on a 7% discounted exchange, but a 4.5939-share cap has begun reducing the…

MMED $5.1B

Rod’s Ruminations Sep 14 4 clicks

One Hour Analysis: ($LILAP) Liberty Latin America's 9% Preferred. What is John Malone Up To This Time?

Liberty Latin America’s LILAP 9% cumulative preferred yields 10.8%, backed by Cable & Wireless cash flow and $48.9 million of insider…

LILA $1.5B

Investing 501 Sep 14

Monday, October 19, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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