Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $16B

CV's Substack 14h ago 8 clicks

19h ago COHR $52B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 10 clicks

45h ago CRWV $34B

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 16 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Oct 15 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Gamestop's $GME’s eBay stake is now worth $5.3B at $122.75, up $886M on a $4.4B cost. $379M of that gain is unbooked since Aug 1 and hits Q3 GAAP earnings. ebay alone is a $0.47 per share positive impact. Consensus is ~$0.20. Consensus is ignoring the massive demand for Pokemon cards, Magic the Gathering, GTA 6, Zelda, etc. Sell side analysts continue to prove they need to be hooked up to a ventilator to breathe.

@negligible_cap Oct 15 2 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

$DELL down 20% in the last 2 days. If things get any worse we might have a Scott’s Tots situation on our hands https://t.co/GWR20XOft9

@junkbondinvest Oct 15 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Six Flags' stock is trading at its LOWEST level since the GFC...and its bonds are yielding as much as 13%. We're approaching $CRWV territory This is all on the back of the fatal coaster accident in Georgia in what was an already fragile situation. Don’t forget, legacy Six Flags filed for bankruptcy during the last financial crisis in 2009 My thoughts on how this situation could play out, what the docs allow, and cross cap stack rel val $FUN https://t.co/iIISfHsXSg

@negligible_cap Oct 15 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

$CRWV CDS spreads hit new highs today, pricing in over a 60% chance of default within the next 5 years per bbg https://t.co/ABpSnUk8az

@AsifSuria Oct 15

Asif Suria on X

For a minute today, I was excited that Mattel $MAT was up today because of the potential acquisition by Authentic Brands or the toy company Zuru. But then I looked over at Hasbro $HAS and it was also up nearly 4%. Feels like everything non-AI is up 4% to 5% today. Part of my Mattel article from last night:

@stockgutter Oct 15

SG on X

Reminder: $KSPI has nothing to do with KOSPI https://t.co/E9XdtsYHS5

@valuedontlie Oct 15

Colin King on X

$GME up 50% since this post as insiders scoop up shares hand over fist https://t.co/uKFkMe6jep https://t.co/peHc0ImMzs

@AsifSuria Oct 15

Asif Suria on X

@RAMCOCAPITAL That is exactly where I landed! I can see how this would appeal to Buffett even if Greg couldn't get his head around it. Although like the $SNOW IPO, maybe it was someone else who made the decision.

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $64B

LA Capital 44h ago 3 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 47h ago 5 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 47h ago 11 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 47h ago 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 11 clicks

GE Vernova: AI's Next Bottleneck Is Electricity

GE Vernova’s 116 GW gas-turbine backlog and $5 billion in early-2026 data-center orders target AI-driven electricity demand, though its…

GEV $251B

Todd Feldman Oct 16 2 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 12 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 25 clicks

LLY · long

LILLY (ELI) & CO

Eli Lilly trades at 33 times this year’s earnings and 26 times next year’s, versus roughly 12 times for big pharma peers.

LLY $1.2T

Value Investors Club Jul 18 2 clicks

Kraft Heinz: The Boring 2027 Long That Doesn't Need A Rich Multiple

Kraft Heinz expects brand investment and productivity gains to restore sales growth and protect 2027 margins against 4-5% cost inflation.

KHC $28B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 15 1 click

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 11 clicks

Berkshire B: Holding, Developing Headwinds Have Yet To Reflect In Stock Price, In My View

Berkshire Hathaway trades at 1.46 times book as reinsurance pricing pressure, softer P&C, concentrated equities and cash weigh on its…

BRK.A $1.1T

Pearl Gray Equity and Research Oct 15 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $208B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 27 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

TSMC reported excellent Q3 results, guided Q4 revenue growth higher and saw its shares slip despite strong AI-driven earnings momentum.

TSM $2.3T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 15 9 clicks

Why Broadcom Is My Largest Stock Holding Today

AVGO $1.6T

Fundamental Options Oct 15 3 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SBUX $109BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Nvidia’s Ian Buck says CUDA’s software ecosystem, GPU flexibility and annual Vera Rubin upgrades lower token costs as agentic AI pushes…

NVDA $5.2T

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 14 5 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

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