Saturday, October 17, 2026

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper interconnect businesses.

SMTC $16B

CV's Substack 37h ago 11 clicks

42h ago COHR $52B

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

P Equity Research 13 clicks

Oct 16 CRWV $34B

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 21 clicks

From X

@junkbondinvest 42h ago 10 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

$CRWV has ~$10bn of unsecured HY notes, all yielding 14-15%. There’s also another ~$11bn of converts. That’s ~$21bn of unsecured claims, sitting behind the secured debt that funds the GPUs. Here's the latest market pricing on the HY notes (converts excluded): https://t.co/vVxKgKVCRc

@ACapitalLP 43h ago 5 clicks

A Capital on X

The asset base is too large and diversified to ever underwrite loan by loan. The thesis is that the private credit apocalypse is exaggerated, $OWL became the poster child given its reliance on the HNW channel, and the market is assigning far too little value to its non-credit assets and durable fee-generating franchise.

@gnoble79 46h ago 4 clicks

George Noble on X

@FrenchV33921 Already there with $CRWV and $IREN IS $NBIS worse?

@calvinblissett 47h ago 14 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@sidecarcap This is exactly what I think is happening with $SLM $KSPI and maybe $YB. $KNSL too

@ACapitalLP 47h ago 2 clicks

A Capital on X

@Pembrokestcap But isn’t $OWL reputation, and by extension their ability to raise capital, permanently impaired? Who cares if they own valuable GP stakes and real estate businesses that never tapped the high-net-worth channel? Isn’t the entire franchise structurally compromised?

@finphysnerd 47h ago 2 clicks

Myles on X

Shorts that aren't actually that overvalued (a 10+15% grower trading at 30x earnings can be overvalued, but still easily trade to 40-50x). Sizing is very important. Stuff like $CBA, $WDFC, $WMT, $WING have been some of my biggest winners this year with no catalyst.

@ACapitalLP Oct 17 2 clicks

A Capital on X

My favorite part of this $OWL article… What possible value could investment bankers see in a full or partial sale of the business that the public market is apparently missing? https://t.co/5rjY1IZQv1 https://t.co/yWPrLNBD21

@leevalueroach Oct 17 10 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Wall Street finally started to see the GameStop $GME transformation. Dan Ives just made a comment on the company. Wait until other sheep start piling into the story. https://t.co/PsHMLM94Tv

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $64B

LA Capital Oct 16 6 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 16 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 11 clicks

GE Vernova: AI's Next Bottleneck Is Electricity

GE Vernova’s 116 GW gas-turbine backlog and $5 billion in early-2026 data-center orders target AI-driven electricity demand, though its…

GEV $251B

Todd Feldman Oct 16 3 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 52 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 12 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

CME perpetual-futures activity is tested against more than 240,000 CFTC data points on open interest and dealer positioning.

CME $103B

First Strike Research Sep 3 17 clicks

Selling Where They Ain’t

Dollar General’s Q2 FY26 comparable sales rose 3.5%, beating Walmart U.S.

DG $29BWMT $910B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 3 1 click

Netflix: A Second Monetization Cycle Is Just Getting Started

Netflix targets $51–51.4 billion of 2026 revenue, $3 billion of advertising revenue and $12.5 billion of free cash flow as its second…

NFLX $511B

The Curious Analyst Sep 3 2 clicks

Bi-Weekly Portfolio update - End-August [15th to 31st August]

The portfolio allocates 75% to IBKR trading and 25% to an untouched Trading212 account, which holds SKHY, Micron and TSMC.

MU $1TTSM $2.3T

Glocal Investor Sep 3

LULU · long

Lululemon Athletica INC

Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.

LULU $11B

Value Investors Club Jun 5

Chevron Stock Is A Bargain Amid Venezuela Deal

Chevron committed $7 billion to expand Venezuelan output as record U.S. production and elevated oil prices lifted Q2 earnings.

CVX $444B

Bay Area Ideas Sep 2 3 clicks

(Public) US Crude Oil Production Is Showing A Lot Of Weakness

US crude oil output fell from an adjusted 14.317 million b/d in April to roughly 13.5 million b/d in May and June, signaling a shale…

XOM $725B

HFI Research Sep 2

AVGO US - Do Nothing Pending The Close On Thursday 3 September - Q3 FY10/26 Earnings Review.

Broadcom reported $29.6 billion Q3 revenue, up 86%, with AI semiconductor sales up 221% to $16.7 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $34.8…

AVGO $1.6T

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 2 1 click

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 2 5 clicks

IREN's Customers Are Starting To Fund The Build

IREN’s AI contracts now include customer prepayments covering 45% to 55% of GPU CapEx, while three-year pricing has risen 125% since…

IREN $12B

Quantryon Capital Sep 2 5 clicks

Saturday, October 17, 2026

junkbondinvestor on X

A Capital on X

George Noble on X

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A Capital on X

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