Friday, October 16, 2026

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

SA Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

SA Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

SA Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AEM · long

Agnico Eagle Mines LTD

Single Stock Spotlight #12: X Marks the Spot

Xerox is pitched as a cash-generating managed-decline value play, with debt, activist interest and short interest setting up a potential…

You can’t sell the picks and doubt the miners

Amazon’s AWS grew 37% year over year, with $496 billion of backlog and plans to double power capacity by 2027, challenging doubts about…

Meta's "True" ROIC, and Some Notes from Meta and Alphabet's 10-Qs

Meta’s adjusted LTM ROIC is in the mid-50s after excluding $80 billion of construction in progress; that capacity will lower returns as AI…

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

Microsoft: Control Your Destiny

Microsoft’s cloud business grew from a $12 billion FY16 run rate to about $237 billion by FY26, while AI-era CapEx may exceed $200 billion…

BAT: Two Steps Forward, Many Steps Back

British American Tobacco’s H1 growth came largely from U.S. modern oral products and inventory benefits, while weakening regulation, rising…

WD #352: Situational Awareness, Warsh, ICE/MKTX, Overvalued EM Currencies

ICE's purchase of MarketAxess spotlights takeout risk for value stocks, while the Situational Awareness blow-up, Kevin Warsh's FOMC presser…

META 2Q26 Earnings Update

Meta's Q2 advertising revenue rose 27% to $59.4 billion, while costs climbed 55%, cutting operating margin to 31%.

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…