Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $377B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

Oct 16 GLOO $298M

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Guardian Research 17 clicks

Oct 16 BMBL $783M

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 11 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 Oct 16 3 clicks

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd Oct 16 1 click

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@finphysnerd Oct 16 3 clicks

Myles on X

Had a 2.7% up day today, which is my best day since starting to manage money last year. Back to all time highs courtesy of $SITC, plus everything else lining up nicely today. Feels good after an absolute grind of a month.

@KEDM_COM Oct 16 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

@hkuppy Oct 16 2 clicks

Kuppy on X

Back in 2002, I remember that you could go on eBay and buy new $CSCO equipment, still in the box, for 10c on the dollar from internet startups that were getting liquidated. I figure that GPUs trade at similar levels in 2 years… https://t.co/aqj1LlBRV0

@aleabitoreddit Oct 16 3 clicks

Serenity on X

Just some words of emotional support for your SK Hynix, $SNDK, $MU fanclub. $DELL CEO on memory, suggested: "It's a 4 year problem because there's just not enough supply" Factories take about 4 years to build, meaning new production would emerge 2029 or 2030. and that semiconductor shortages could worsen in 2027 stating: "I do think it gets worse next year in terms of demand and supply". I think it's strange we're getting unprecedented forward visibility with memory... as $GOOGL and richest hyperscalers seek LTAs into 2035. And a major sector crash as well over durability/financing concerns.

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 43 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 53 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $7.9B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 25 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 14 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 13 clicks

NEXPF · long

Nexi SpA

Nexi, continental Europe’s largest merchant acquirer, is presented as a long investment using normalized EPS and EBIT that exclude…

NEXPF $5.7B

Value Investors Club May 29

Portfolio Update February 2026

Constellation Software and Roper Technologies became 13% and 16% holdings after an AI-driven software selloff, while Ashtead and Kraft…

ROP $38B

D Invests Mar 2

Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance

AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.

AER $23B

Bristlemoon Capital Mar 2 1 click

Hydreight Technologies Inc. (NURS.V)

Hydreight Technologies (NURS.V) is a digital-health business with growing revenue, partners and customers, positioned as an acquisition…

HYDTF $182M

Byron Street Research Mar 2

Sleep Well Portfolio (Feb 2026) - Software AI risk Assessed

Sleep Well Portfolio cuts SPS Commerce after assessing AI risk across 12 software holdings, finding deterministic, rule-based data…

SPSC $3.1B

Sleep Well Investments Mar 2

Alta Fox XPEL Presentation

XPEL targets 26% EBIT margins by FY28 after its 2022-2025 investment cycle, with Alta Fox projecting roughly doubled EPS from FY25.

XPEL $1.2B

Research - Alta Fox Capital Mar 1

APi Group: How the story has evolved and what's next

APi Group hit its 13/60/80 targets in 2025, reporting $7.9 billion revenue, 13.2% EBITDA margin and 80% free-cash-flow conversion, then set…

APG $17B

Kairos Research Feb 26

Coffee Money From the CaSaaStrophe: DCBO and YEXT Odd-Lot Tenders

Docebo and Yext odd-lot tenders prioritize holders under 100 shares; DCBO offers $20.40 per share, though Canadian deemed-dividend…

DCBO $703MYEXT $688M

Rod’s Ruminations Feb 26

2025 Bilbel Capital Annual Letter

Bilbel Capital’s 2025 letter details CareCloud’s $16.5M Medsphere acquisition, targeting $35–40M EBITDA in 2026, and recounts losses from…

CCLD $79M

Bilbel's Substack Feb 25 2 clicks

Wealthfront Corporation - NASDAQ:WLTH

Wealthfront, a $93 billion automated investing platform, trades at 6-7x EV/FCF after falling over 40% since its December 2025 IPO.

WLTH $1.8B

Obscure Stocks Feb 23

Friday, October 16, 2026

George Noble on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

Myles on X

KEDM.com on X

Kuppy on X

Serenity on X

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