Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $377B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 20 clicks

Oct 15 CRWV $34B

Is The Market Turning The Page?

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 51 clicks

Oct 15 TBBB $6.8B

PesoRama: Research Flash

Atrium Research - Equity Research 7 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 Oct 16 2 clicks

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd Oct 16 1 click

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@KEDM_COM Oct 16 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

@hkuppy Oct 16 1 click

Kuppy on X

Back in 2002, I remember that you could go on eBay and buy new $CSCO equipment, still in the box, for 10c on the dollar from internet startups that were getting liquidated. I figure that GPUs trade at similar levels in 2 years… https://t.co/aqj1LlBRV0

@aleabitoreddit Oct 16 3 clicks

Serenity on X

Just some words of emotional support for your SK Hynix, $SNDK, $MU fanclub. $DELL CEO on memory, suggested: "It's a 4 year problem because there's just not enough supply" Factories take about 4 years to build, meaning new production would emerge 2029 or 2030. and that semiconductor shortages could worsen in 2027 stating: "I do think it gets worse next year in terms of demand and supply". I think it's strange we're getting unprecedented forward visibility with memory... as $GOOGL and richest hyperscalers seek LTAs into 2035. And a major sector crash as well over durability/financing concerns.

@ACapitalLP Oct 16 1 click

A Capital on X

@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 18 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 26 clicks

Brookfield Asset Management: What If The AI Boom Backfires?

Brookfield Asset Management's fee revenue rose 16.2% and distributable earnings 15.8%, but its 18% five-year target relies on AI-led growth…

BAM $72B

Daniel Schönberger Oct 15 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $208B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

AVAV $6.2B

Melissa Tucker Oct 15 7 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.2BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 40 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 14 6 clicks

COCO · short

Vita Coco Company INC

Vita Coco, COCO, is pitched short after a 45% monthly rally, arguing investors are overextrapolating coconut water category growth.

COCO $3.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 2 1 click

ZhongAn Online (6060.HK): The Insurtech Everyone Gave Up On

ZhongAn Online trades at 0.57 times book after five profitable underwriting years, with a 95.8% combined ratio and ZA Bank’s first…

ZZHGF $2B

Substack von Philipp Aug 15

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.7B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

The AI Compute Squeeze

CoreWeave and Nebius cite AI compute shortages and higher-priced GPU renewals, but older-chip utilization and depreciation vary across…

CRWV $34BNBIS $56B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 14 9 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Q2'26 - Execution wobble, Forecast question mark

Cellebrite cut 2026 ARR guidance by $15 million, replaced its CEO and saw shares fall 30% as elongated sales cycles raise execution…

CLBT $2.8B

Sleep Well Investments Aug 14

Nintendo: Churning Recovery (Ticker: NTDOY)

Nintendo’s Switch 2 sold 23 million units in its first year, but software delays, memory-chip costs and yen weakness drove NTDOY from $25…

NTDOY $60B

Emerging Moats Research Aug 14

Coherent Q4 FY26 Earnings

Coherent’s Q4 FY26 results prompt claims that poor 6-inch InP laser yields are limiting margins versus Lumentum in co-packaged optics.

COHR $52BLITE $77B

Irrational Analysis Aug 14

Research & Analysis: Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT)

Riot Platforms has 241MW of contracted data center capacity, including a 191MW, 20-year $9.8 billion frontier AI lab deal, as it shifts…

RIOT $5.7B

Monte Independent Investment Research Aug 13 1 click

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $6.3BKSS $2.5B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 10 clicks

BREAKING: Nebius Told Investors Vineland Data Center Was "On Track" Days After Undisclosed Stop Orders

Nebius told investors its Vineland data center was on track days after officials halted unpermitted Bloom Energy fuel-cell and LNG-tank…

NBIS $56B

Hunterbrook Aug 13

Friday, October 16, 2026

George Noble on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

KEDM.com on X

Kuppy on X

Serenity on X

A Capital on X

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