Friday, October 16, 2026

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

Oct 16 GLOO $298M

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Guardian Research 17 clicks

Oct 16 BMBL $783M

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 11 clicks

From X

@gnoble79 Oct 16 3 clicks

George Noble on X

@richardsmith $IREN could be a zero.

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

$PM crazy intraday moves (incl new intraday ATH both days) July 28 Oct 15 $COST $KO $BUD $MO $MDLZ similar on these two days; earnings day-like moves https://t.co/jVyJ8a4Tkp

@BarbarianCap Oct 16 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

E.l.f. Beauty CFO Mandy Fields on consumers, pricing and building a foundation in cosmetics $ELF https://t.co/VYtj1rP3T7

@finphysnerd Oct 16 1 click

Myles on X

Continuing to add Biotech long short exposure aggressively here. Just longing anything smart people/funds are long and shorting anything with high short interest that's a bit squeezy as a basket, plus shorting some $XBI. Nearing 10% gross exposure.

@finphysnerd Oct 16 3 clicks

Myles on X

Had a 2.7% up day today, which is my best day since starting to manage money last year. Back to all time highs courtesy of $SITC, plus everything else lining up nicely today. Feels good after an absolute grind of a month.

@KEDM_COM Oct 16 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

A company that is not having a good time is the recent spin-off, Honeywell Aerospace $HONA, which is still not recovering from the poor set of results. A reminder that these guys are targeting 6-8% organic growth through 2030, with EBIT and FCF growing faster than revenue. The business combines leading OEM positions with a large aftermarket franchise, including the #1 position in APUs (~65% share) and the #2 position in avionics. Cheaper than its peers, but for a reason? That's why it's interesting to see the first insider buying shares on the open market.

@ACapitalLP Oct 16 1 click

A Capital on X

@edge_of_power Sounds like cope. Smart money says $CIFR is a 🍩

@leevalueroach Oct 16 12 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Target has been completely liquidated of every single Pokemon card and they put up this sign. I’m standing and watching this area and there have been dozens of grown me. Come into your look for Pokemon cards. Market sleeping on GameStop $GME with their entire thumb up their ass. https://t.co/9iA5sovJ8Q

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary Oct 16 3 clicks

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp Oct 16 43 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford Oct 16 5 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 52 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 14 clicks

Park Aerospace: The Q2'27 Sell-Off Misreads a Sole-Source Defense Supplier

Park Aerospace’s 11% Q2’27 sell-off overlooks sole-source PAC-3 rocket-motor materials and A320neo engine composites, with missile capacity…

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 15 12 clicks

SPSC · long

Sps Commerce INC

SPS Commerce, SPSC, runs a network software platform that lets retailers, suppliers and 3PLs exchange supply-chain and trading information.

SPSC $3.1B

Value Investors Club Jun 8

Everyone Bought the Shovels

Element Solutions sells consumable chipmaking chemistry, with a $75 target from $44 based on an AI-driven semiconductor-materials rerating.

ESI $8.7B

Mispriced Assets Jun 15

The Cheapest Toll Road in the AI Economy?

A U.S. last-mile telecom network trades at 3.9x trailing earnings and 5.7x TEV/EBITDA, with AI traffic growth, capex normalization, merger…

CHTR $13B

Modern Value Investing Jun 14

ASR: Sureste Airports Soaring To 50%+ Upside, Market Is Missing The New Assets

Sureste Airports’ 20-airport Motiva acquisition and U.S. concessions are set to lift EBITDA, while shares trade at 7x forward EBITDA.

ASR $6.5B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 14

Under The Hood - Rollins ($ROL)

Rollins ($ROL) pairs automatically renewing pest-control contracts with route density and family-business acquisitions, producing 24…

ROL $15B

Bearhold Research Jun 14

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.3B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

Braemar Hotels & Resorts: Internalizing Management

Braemar Hotels & Resorts is internalizing its management.

BHR $95M

Clark Street Value Jun 12 6 clicks

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Centro Norte: World Cup Inflection? (Ticker: OMAB)

Grupo OMAB trades at 9 times EV/EBITDA after an 11% YTD decline, as Monterrey international traffic fell 2.9%; expansion, price hikes and…

OMAB $4.4B

Emerging Moats Research Jun 12

Adobe

Adobe’s bear case is that generative AI breaks new-user habit formation, leaving its professional base sticky but aging as growth slows and…

ADBE $98B

Bearstone Jun 9

Single Stock Spotlight #9: Fiserv (FISV)

Fiserv trades below 7 times 2026 earnings after a 60% decline, as new management resets guidance and seeks to stabilize its banking…

FISV $25B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Jun 9

Friday, October 16, 2026

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Barbarian Capital on X

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