October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
@stoic_point $EVLV what you think the company actually earns LTM and NTM on a per share basis? Assuming SBC is a real expense, and replacing and growing their units as real costs.
@stockoholics Exactly! And this was before the potential of a competing offer from that New Zealand billionaire $MAT https://t.co/nPw29yiWae
@taobanker Man try $CCLD
If the $PPLI deal breaks, $MGM trades up, right?
@Cameron_Invest Thank you! I appreciate rebuttals always it tests conviction. I did do well as $BMBL is 5% of portfolio but I would not call that extreme conviction. I'm grateful for the luck
Bumble is in "advanced talks" to go private at ~$1bn...for context, peak valuation after the IPO was about $14bn Didn't realize they refi'd their debt this April at S+800 (issued at 94)! If this deal takes the loan out at par, those lenders made ~12% in six months (20%+ IRR). Where do you think new debt on this would price? $BMBL
What do we think happens to the spread between $MIAX and $CBOE? 🤔 https://t.co/aICHy2FZqD
$BMBL. It seems gushing FCF and atrocious sentiment can work… https://t.co/4VQoqp2FPK
RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…
ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…
Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…
Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…
Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.
Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…
Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.
Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…
Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.
ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…
Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…
Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…
SRTA · long Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.
ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…
Apple HomeView raises questions about demand for expensive Apple devices built around subpar AI.
Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…
Apple is leaning on partner integration for the smart home, while Amazon faces strategic choices around AI agents.
Nvidia’s investor meeting features CFO Colette Kress and IR and Strategic Finance VP Toshiya Hari.
AMD CEO Lisa Su says demand for AI inference and CPUs continues to rise as computing capacity becomes more valuable.
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