Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast 46h ago 84 clicks

39h ago NVDA $5.2T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 3 clicks

45h ago COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 17 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures 36h ago 2 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@orrdavid @merrillmatter To be fair, I asked you *a lot* of questions - $SPCX was far from the hardest! In response, you were fully transparent and didn’t dodge any of my questions. You were great. I can’t wait to share the full cleaned up transcript of our discussion, likely in early November.

@LaughingH20Cap 36h ago 5 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@bufetmastermind @secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty maybe i don't. I'd appreciate if you could explain. they had said 50% FCF margin on $1B in sales. $LQDA is still going to get to $1B in sales. Its just going to take longer. Tell me why 50% FCF margins are not in play. Bonus points if you can tell why they won't reduce costs

@HaydenCapital 38h ago 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Is Tiktok Shop slowing? J&T Express just reported SE Asia parcel volumes, and are flat for the year at ~31M per day for the last few qtrs. They're guiding to 50-55% full year growth, implying Q4 holiday season only ramps to 33-37M parcels. Evidence Shopee's VIP & logistics investments are working? $SE $1519.HK

@hkuppy 38h ago 1 click

Kuppy on X

I’m sure that $CRWV is money good on funding its gazillions of chip purchase orders, as long as someone funds $CRWV…🤭🤭 https://t.co/TOnS6iGurC

@BrokenMoats 40h ago 3 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Hottest trade in the past month.....retail stocks Seems odd with rates and oil and diesel moves over the same time frame. And these are not bounces from being oversold these are double digit moves in most cases to new highs while dpz struggled on their print this week, stocks like DKS collapsed around the time this trade started. Bifurcation in retail in recent weeks that seems to be favoring low quality. Something to watch for a reversal soon $KSS $FIGS $URBN $SHOP

@BlueDuckCap 40h ago 5 clicks

BDC on X

It's been 189 days since @evanspiegel had a confirmed sale. The longest sales void ever, per what we can discern from filings. He's in a blackout window now. If the sales do not resume post Q3 window opening then that would seem bullish. We would love an insider buy, too. Evan buys stock here we would think $SNAP is +10% on that day. At least. Not advice. Just pointing out the cadence of form 4's and lack of historical insider buying.

@ACapitalLP 40h ago 3 clicks

A Capital on X

$KYIV https://t.co/bGd6IJ4Xl0

@DeepSailCapital 41h ago 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

$DJT Downside still 100% from here https://t.co/6YIEeHfC3e

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $660B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 22 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $731B

C Jessen Oct 14 35 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $359B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 27 clicks

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

Equity Eagle Oct 14 7 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $86BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 12 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 11 clicks

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

ASML $660B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 14 7 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $156B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 6 clicks

BKV · long

Bkv CORP

BKV Corp, public for less than two years, is an underfollowed natural-gas producer pursuing early-stage projects and a transition.

BKV $2.6B

Value Investors Club Jun 18 1 click

[Market Memo] Qualcomm/Amazon, Apple C2 Modem, Credo uLED 30M Claim, Cerebras I/O Conspiracy Theory

Qualcomm's Amazon coherent-lite DSP work may carry lower margins as Apple’s C2 modem cuts Qualcomm’s iPhone share; Credo’s 30-meter uLED…

QCOM $187BAAPL $5T

Irrational Analysis Sep 14 3 clicks

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 14, 2026

The week of September 14 features the FOMC decision, retail sales and housing data after the S&P 500 fell 0.8%.

GOOGL $4.3T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 13 3 clicks

Owning the Seven PM Slot

Netflix is using AI visual effects and dubbing to cut production costs, expand global distribution and reinforce its recommendation-driven…

NFLX $511B

Bearhold Research Sep 13 1 click

Long Live the Short King: Why 4-hi HBM Wins

Nvidia’s Rubin Ultra cuts HBM capacity to 192GB per GPU as 8-hi and future 4-hi stacks improve bandwidth economics and ease wafer…

NVDA $5.2T

SemiAnalysis Sep 13

A compounding Toll Bridge at a 7x multiple, 4% dividend yield, 31 year average concession life, 12% of shares bought back, 12% current authorization with secular trends. Founder CEO

PINFRA's nonvoting PINFRAL shares trade 27.2% below voting stock despite identical economics, while its toll-road concessions average 31…

PUODY $6.7B

Calvin Blissett Sep 13

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Booking Holdings trades at 19x earnings, its lowest since 2022, after a 20% annual decline, with the thesis resting on durable online…

BKNG $126B

Capitalist Letters Sep 13 5 clicks

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

Oak Bloke’s 2026 picks have returned 37% in GBP, with AltynGold, Geiger Counter, Silvercorp and China-focused trusts still rated buys…

SVM $2.1B

The Oak Bloke Sep 13 3 clicks

Stocks on My Radar - Consumer Edition

Crocs’ core brand surpassed $1 billion in quarterly revenue, while HEYDUDE weakness, tariffs and 2025 impairments weigh on shares trading…

CROX $6BCALY $2.5B

Flyover Stocks Sep 13 4 clicks

Adobe, Oracle, and Druckenmiller (NOTW#107)

Adobe’s RPO and ARR growth continue to decelerate, while Oracle’s AI cloud capex economics face a supply-normalization test.

ADBE $98BORCL $403B

Best Anchor Stocks Sep 12 3 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Kuppy on X

Broken Moats on X

BDC on X

A Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

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