Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $556M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 21 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Sep 13

Deep Sail Capital on X

@SixSigmaCapital It’s kind of the standard AI stack, Chips than Memory than Optics. But a layer deeper is the question if inference is the biggest theme, than does everyone making their own custom silicon become more mainstream? In that case $MRVL probably is highest beta play there.

@orrdavid Sep 13 1 click

David Orr on X

When I read that a PM got a $50 million bonus for joining some pod shop, does anyone know what that means exactly? Like are they front loading some percent of future earnings etc? Or is it more like $50 million + $30 million/year from there so long as they do well? Also, does anyone know if this is all generally taxed as ordinary income? And finally, what options does that PM have for reinvesting his own money. $VOO etf is probably fine, but I'm guessing no active trading of any kind in their personal account?

@majgeoinvesting Sep 13

Maj Soueidan on X

My Q&A with @mascarosergi is finally ready. “For now, I’ll be calling these chats: Investor Notebook… Over the last few weeks, I’ve been doing a good deal of communicating with Sergi. So many of his X posts talk about stocks I own, like $OCC & $SCIA.” https://t.co/OMLyMQTtQc https://t.co/aEKRUefiVm

@DevinLaSarre Sep 13 1 click

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out. Imperial Brands: On the Table $IMBBY $LOG $MO $PM $BTI $STG $HAYPP https://t.co/3r40Fd1sOv

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@BarbarianCap Sep 12

Barbarian Capital on X

How PayPal’s CEO Is Planning to Go It Alone and Fix the Payments Giant $PYPL https://t.co/o18iIv2hgc

@partners_road Sep 12

RiverRoadPartners on X

Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $329B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 31 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 15 clicks

Palantir Is Not C3.Ai, But C3.Ai Wrote Its Watch List - Downgrade Palantir To Hold, Sell C3.Ai

Palantir is cut to Hold after a 35% multiple-driven rally, while C3.ai is rated Sell on stalled revenue, expensive valuation and weak…

PLTR $482B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 14 11 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $156B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 9 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials

ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…

AMAT $329B

The Technology Letter Oct 13 9 clicks

SRTA · long

Strata Critical Medical INC

Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.

SRTA $382M

Value Investors Club Jul 16 3 clicks

Expert Call | Corning

Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…

GLW $115B

P Equity Research Oct 13 38 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 8 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $571M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 5 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Altria: The Rally Looks Ahead Of Underlying Earnings Growth

Altria’s EPS gains rely on tax refunds and discount brands while Marlboro growth lags.

MO $125B

Vishal Jadaun Oct 13 2 clicks

Expectations going higher for Everpure, DigitalOcean

Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 12 7 clicks

Vicor Update, Part Two

Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…

VICR $10B

CV's Substack Oct 12 5 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

David Orr on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Devin LaSarre on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Fierce_beast on X

Barbarian Capital on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

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