Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 85 clicks

Oct 13 CARG $2.6B

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

Substack von Philipp 9 clicks

Oct 12 LYFT $6.5B

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

The Monetary Matters Network 7 clicks

From X

@valuedontlie Sep 3

Colin King on X

Another consumer staples dividend cut... $CPB reducing dividend by 36% (CAG cut theirs in half) https://t.co/VVVvo0Gh8k

@evantindell Sep 3

Evan Tindell on X

Dang I missed this one -- Nielsen CEO $NIQ almost bottom ticked it at $9 https://t.co/Zh7pIvOHua

@Adam_Wyden Sep 3

Adam D. Wyden on X

Looks like Benchmark / StoneX agrees with our analysis. Not $VVV. Our SOTP on 2027 numbers gets us to nearly 40.00. Too cheap. $DRVN https://t.co/cA9wdjgNE1

@ActAccordingly Sep 3 5 clicks

PAA Research on X

@StockJabber @hntrbrkmedia I saw your email on for-profit education names that could be exposed to AI. We have written extensively on the bear case for $LOPE $CVSA $STRA $PRDO and others. AI is only ONE OF MANY ISSUES the industry now faces, in my view.

@leevalueroach Sep 3 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Me buying $HOG at $18 because Wall Street said it was going to zero. https://t.co/nGdqlBiwY2

@negligible_cap Sep 3

Negligible Capital on X

*CPB: SNACK CONSUMPTION TRENDS NOT WHERE THEY NEED TO BE *CPB: 1Q FY27 GOING TO BE A VERY CHALLENGING QUARTER FOR SNACKS Ozempic is wild. $CPB down 10% on the day, and down over 60% since the 2023 high https://t.co/JR6WmAFjCt

@valuedontlie Sep 3

Colin King on X

@kab604 $CALM is excellent at managing a (very) cyclical business

@kab604 Sep 3 1 click

kab60 on X

IF YOU ALLOCATE CAPITAL PROCYCLICALLY, YOU SHOULDN'T RUN A YUUUUGELY CYCLICAL BUSINESS $BLDR - Can anyone name a good (counter-cyclical) mngmt team that isn't named Lundin? https://t.co/yHn2kFBkuP

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $6B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 9 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $2.4B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Jumping On The Robotics Train: Initiating Buy On Cognex

Cognex expects 15% revenue growth this year as its RealSense acquisition expands machine-vision exposure to robotic perception, logistics,…

CGNX $9.6B

Fountainhead Oct 12 2 clicks

Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE

Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…

GLBE $6.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 12 6 clicks

Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation

Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…

PENG $3.5B

Investor Overview Oct 12 5 clicks

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…

FNMA $4.2B

Cassandra Unchained Oct 11 5 clicks

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3B

Capitalist Letters Oct 11 7 clicks

Glaukos: Steep Premium For New Therapies And Growth

Glaukos is expanding from glaucoma devices into sustained drug delivery and corneal cross-linking, but GKOS's premium valuation leaves…

GKOS $9.8B

Myriam Alvarez Oct 11 4 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 3 clicks

PTRN · short

Pattern Group INC

Pattern Group is a fragile consumer business targeted on the short side.

PTRN $3B

Value Investors Club Jul 15 3 clicks

Wix: The Market Sees The Threat, Not The Opportunity

Wix’s Base44 vibe-coding tool reached $100 million ARR in a year as AI disruption fears obscure expanding services, customer lock-in and…

WIX $3B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Oct 11 1 click

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 6 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

GEO $4.1BUAA $2.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

Thursday Tailwinds #10: 8 Oct 2026

US aluminium tariffs, European glass automation and Foraco’s constrained drilling fleet create multi-year pricing tailwinds, with Century…

CENX $3.4B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 8 2 clicks

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

MRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

Golar LNG q2’26 Operational Update

Golar LNG ordered a $2.45 billion fourth FLNG vessel, targeting 3.5MTPA of capacity and $400 million in annual EBITDA under a 20-year…

GLNG $4.7B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 8

Maase: The Math And The Valuation Don't Add Up To Me

Maase, a $5B AI infrastructure company with sub-$50M annualized revenue and persistent losses, faces governance concerns over super-voting…

MAAS $5.1B

Wolf Report Oct 8 1 click

I Finally Proved That the Market Is Not Efficient

Bread Financial’s 10-year Signet card deal transfers an estimated $526.5 million in NPV to Signet and $1 billion in payments, while BFH…

BFH $3.8BSIG $4.1B

Shallow Dives Oct 7 5 clicks

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…

BROS $5.2B

PETITION Oct 7 3 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Colin King on X

Evan Tindell on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

PAA Research on X

Lee Roach on X

Negligible Capital on X

Colin King on X

kab60 on X

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