October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Vistance Networks' $5 distribution leaves year-end 2026 cash and receivables near 60% of market value, while the core trades at 2.75x EV/EBITDA.
$CPAC is +16% since the SSI write-up, and the key tender-price ambiguity is finally resolved. ~$13/ADR now looks like a solid floor. With much of that already priced in, the remaining upside is mostly valuation/overbid optionality. Full pitch on SSI👇 https://t.co/J8Amvtfqou
If you liked $FTAI at $209, you’re going to love it $186… https://t.co/J40mboCyG8
Rayonier’s $1.86B debt costs 2.29% after swaps and Farm Credit patronage refunds, giving its four million timber acres a cheap fixed-rate funding edge through 2028-29.
$ACMR https://t.co/gzKlQTn1pF
@SovietInvestor ok well $RYN sells for $1,800 per acre...
A fun trade I've had in is arbing convertible preferreds. Long $PCGPRX short $PCG, long $QXOPRB short $QXO. Trading below the convertible price while pocketing a nice dividend with cheap financing.
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…
Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.
Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.
Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…
Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.
Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…
Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…
Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.
SRTA · long Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.
Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…
Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…
Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…
Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…
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