October 2026 Random Ramblings
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.
Par example, $NN is a lottery ticket, there is no way it doesn’t get “positioned” again into the high teens around the next major catalyst… https://t.co/cqKmEmBS31
@GoodHouseCap Maybe the bigger question is.... if PCI went bankrupt so suddenly.... what about the other competitors? Maybe $PBI doesn't need to acquire anyone. It's increasingly becoming a "K" business. Those with scale are killing it and those without are (or soon will be) bankrupt.
@GoodHouseCap Yes and will almost purely be incremental profit. $PBI has all the fixed costs and plenty of capacity - the incremental variable costs to take on the volume will be miniscule.
@DeepSailCapital $ASAN has been caught up in the software bounce despite being a pretty obvious AI loser and having none of the qualities that make the other software companies good.
$CORZ < $16 🤔
Huge overnight news for #E15 / $ALTO $GPRE in a vote that HAD to be approved before midnight and made it by seconds.... year-round E15 (from NO E15) will now begin in CA beginning 1/1/2027!! This is 600M+ gallons of ethanol demand that will lead to very strong 2027 crush margins while also significantly increasing the value of $ALTO's western ethanol plants. The bill approved E10 vapor recovery systems for E15 use: https://t.co/7gr7rtBX7t
@Zerosumgame33 Manav calling $CLMT $DAR $ADM $BG "peers" is crazy to me. Other than all touching ag, they are very different businesses with very different drivers.
$GPRO acquired at $1.14. Was a $98. Founder lead with super voting rights. Woodman's hubris lost him billions. @evanspiegel don't make the same mistake. $snap
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…
Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.
Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.
Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…
Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.
Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…
Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…
SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…
BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…
Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.
SRTA · long Strata Critical Medical, SRTA, supplies organ-transport products tied to U.S. transplant growth.
GitLab targets a 2027 inflection as agentic AI, software sovereignty demand and GitHub reliability issues lift win rates, first orders and…
CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…
Everpure and DigitalOcean face rising expectations as their stock prices shape Monday’s views.
Vicor uses ITC exclusion-order cases to license power-module patents, with published royalty multipliers rising from 1.0x before filing to…
Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times…
Nebius’s 1 GW annual active-capacity target from 2027 is realistic, according to a former product manager, with greenfield data centers…
Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…
Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…
Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…
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