Tuesday, October 13, 2026

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce distributable cash flow.

SBDXF $497M

Cannibal Stocks 47h ago 6 clicks

Oct 13 PKE $592M

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Monte Independent Investment Research 4 clicks

Oct 13 CARG $2.6B

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

Substack von Philipp 8 clicks

From X

@irbezek Oct 12

Ian Bezek on X

@finphysnerd Ackman's been on a real heater lately with his smallcap pumps. Remember $HTZ?

@AsifSuria Oct 12 1 click

Asif Suria on X

Here is what I wrote about Blackstone's $BX involvement with Bumble $BMBL, the potential deal situation and their recent debt refinancing: https://t.co/wVQYKuaBtx

@AsifSuria Oct 12

Asif Suria on X

We wrote about Bumble $BMBL as a potential deal situation we wanted to participate in for our August newsletter a few weeks ago and @compound248 has most of this right. Disclosure: I am long Bumble. Here is how the $1 billion acquisition value (if that number is correct) breaks down: Debt at the end of Q2 2026: $451 million Cash on the balance sheet: $154 million Net debt: $297 million Their recent debt refinancing required them to pay down $5 million of debt each month. The company generated over $50 million in free cash flow in Q2 2026, which was down from over $70 million in Q1 2026. Assuming they generated an additional $40 million in free cash flow in Q3 2026, net debt is probably closer to $260 million. This leaves $740 million for the equity portion of the deal. Common Class A shares outstanding: 131.86 million (as of June 30 from latest 10-Q) Common units (can be converted to class B shares): 21.25 million RSUs: 12.36 million I am not counting 1.42 million options because the vesting price is over $17. The 17 Class B shares are also a rounding error. Hence total diluted shares outstanding work out to approximately 165.47 million. The per share acquisition price works out to $4.47. Regarding the stock trading at a 8% discount to acquisition price, I will have to disagree because CEO Whitney Wolf Herd is supposed to roll over her equity and I don't see much antitrust risk. The average spread of the 79 active M&A transactions we are tracking is 3.96%. This includes deals like Western Union's $WU acquisition of International Money Express $IMXI that is trading at a spread of over 47% Normalized spreads excluding outliers are closer to 2%. I'll include parts of our August writeup about Bumble in the next tweet.

@finphysnerd Oct 12 3 clicks

Myles on X

@stone_maison_ @SowingAlphaSeed Bulls compare $SNAP to social media apps like $META, $RDDT, $PINS and others. However, those all have content as a significant part of the app, which Snap (in spite of their claims) doesn't. It's a simple difference but is the key to 5 years of underperformance.

@finphysnerd Oct 12

Myles on X

@amootpoint Lmao, I've made more money shorting $SNAP over the last 4 years than any other short. What's the lesson? Short crappy, unprofitable shitcos. I see you've been holding for a while. https://t.co/zbmu85WArC

@KEDM_COM Oct 12 4 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Palm Valley Capital Fund bought even more of their largest position, Rayonier $RYN, during the quarter. The Fund estimated that the timberland REIT is trading at a meaningful discount to its estimated value, driven mainly by weak lumber prices. Shares continue to derate even as the company generates strong free cash flow. It now has a 5.6% dividend yield.

@finphysnerd Oct 12

Myles on X

@SowingAlphaSeed That's part of it, but my $SNAP thesis has always been that bulls don't understand the product or user base. There's very little ability to monetise the core product (picture messaging) and their user base ages out and is saturated in developed markets. NA MAU is declining.

@BarbarianCap Oct 12

Barbarian Capital on X

"A bench trial is slated to begin Oct. 19 and the proceeding is expected to last about two weeks." Albertsons Wants $8 Billion From Kroger After Failed Merger $KR $ACI https://t.co/r7M6LjLYY5

The Final Phase of This Bull Market Will Be Massive | Charles Lemonides

Charles Lemonides argues the 18-year bull market has not reached its late-stage liftoff, pairing value-oriented semiconductor longs with…

LYFT $6.2B

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 12 6 clicks

Bristlemoon September 2026 Quarterly Letter

Bristlemoon Global Fund lost 8.4% in the September quarter and added shorts in Campbell’s, REA Group, MasterBrand and Polaris amid narrow…

CPB $5.7BMBC $1.3B

Bristlemoon Capital Oct 12 8 clicks

Quick Value #334 - Flowers Foods (FLO)

Flowers Foods trades at 7.5x earnings after an 80% decline, as a 50% dividend cut and potential asset sale aim to reduce leverage following…

FLO $1.3B

Value Don't Lie Oct 12 8 clicks

LQDA: finer powder, higher doses

Liquidia’s Yutrepia sales reached $170.4 million in Q2 2026, while a patent ruling threatens its PH-ILD label but leaves PAH sales and a…

LQDA $2.4B

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 12 4 clicks

Global-e: The Invisible Engine Behind the Brands You Buy From Directly Online! $GLBE

Global-e provides cross-border merchant-of-record, payments, tax and fulfillment services to more than 1,500 brands, including Shopify…

GLBE $6.4B

Substack von Philipp Oct 12 6 clicks

H&R REIT, an opportunity in a corrupt process

H&R REIT's proposed GO Residential transaction faces investor opposition over rejected $12.50 cash bids, insider benefits and tax…

GONYF $499M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Oct 12 2 clicks

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Hong Kong stocks Value Stocks late in a Bull Market, and Consolidating a Big Short

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common shareholders face at least 90% dilution if Treasury converts its growing senior preferred stakes into…

FNMA $4B

Cassandra Unchained Oct 11 5 clicks

Deep Dive: Inter & Co

Inter & Co, Brazil’s second-largest neobank, grew over 20% with controlled delinquencies and 15% book-value compounding while trading at…

INTR $3.3B

Capitalist Letters Oct 11 7 clicks

Glaukos: Steep Premium For New Therapies And Growth

Glaukos is expanding from glaucoma devices into sustained drug delivery and corneal cross-linking, but GKOS's premium valuation leaves…

GKOS $9.8B

Myriam Alvarez Oct 11 4 clicks

Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money

Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier…

HIPO $906M

Substack von Philipp Oct 10 8 clicks

PTRN · short

Pattern Group INC

Pattern Group is a fragile consumer business targeted on the short side.

PTRN $3B

Value Investors Club Jul 15 3 clicks

Penguin Solutions: Explosive AI Growth At A Surprisingly Low Valuation

Penguin Solutions grew FY2026 revenue 26% as AI data-center and memory demand expanded, while negative free cash flow and cyclical memory…

PENG $3.5B

Investor Overview Oct 12 4 clicks

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports…

GLNG $4.7B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 9 3 clicks

Blackstone Secured Lending: A Solid Balance Sheet But About To Cut Its Dividend - HOLD

Blackstone Secured Lending Fund faces a likely dividend cut after its first shortfall in 28 quarters, despite 1.8% non-accruals, $2.8…

BXSL $6.6B

Rubicon Associates Oct 9 1 click

Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model

Hyster-Yale trades at 0.16 times sales as lift-truck bookings rebound and restructuring targets $85 million to $100 million in annual…

HY $573M

Calvin Blissett Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 2 clicks

OceanaGold: A Debt-Free Gold Miner Priced Below Its Mines, With Its Best One Still Being Dug

OceanaGold trades below its mine value despite US$655 million of cash and no debt, with production set to dip before Wharekirauponga begins…

OGC $5.7B

The Bullionaire Oct 9 1 click

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.1B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 6 clicks

Namib Minerals: Research Note

Namib Minerals posted H1 adjusted EBITDA of $19.0 million, up 76%, as higher gold prices offset lower production.

NAMM $55M

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 8 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

GEO $4.1BUAA $2.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

Asif Suria on X

Asif Suria on X

Myles on X

Myles on X

KEDM.com on X

Myles on X

Barbarian Capital on X

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