Monday, October 12, 2026

Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings

Rubrik posted 38% Q2 revenue growth to $427.3 million, but Cloud ARR growth slowed to 39% and its enterprise value reached 15.7 times trailing revenue.

RBRK $25B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 12 3 clicks

Oct 12 ADBE $98B

Q3 2026 Jenga IP Quarterly Letter

Global Outperformers 3 clicks

Oct 12 FICO $17B

some thoughts on FICO

scuttleblurb 4 clicks

From X

@finphysnerd Oct 12 3 clicks

Myles on X

@stone_maison_ @SowingAlphaSeed Bulls compare $SNAP to social media apps like $META, $RDDT, $PINS and others. However, those all have content as a significant part of the app, which Snap (in spite of their claims) doesn't. It's a simple difference but is the key to 5 years of underperformance.

@finphysnerd Oct 12

Myles on X

@amootpoint Lmao, I've made more money shorting $SNAP over the last 4 years than any other short. What's the lesson? Short crappy, unprofitable shitcos. I see you've been holding for a while. https://t.co/zbmu85WArC

@BarbarianCap Oct 12

Barbarian Capital on X

A Credit-Score Shift at Fannie and Freddie Is Shaking Up the Mortgage Market $FICO https://t.co/lqXRQVDFAT

@finphysnerd Oct 12

Myles on X

@SowingAlphaSeed That's part of it, but my $SNAP thesis has always been that bulls don't understand the product or user base. There's very little ability to monetise the core product (picture messaging) and their user base ages out and is saturated in developed markets. NA MAU is declining.

@BarbarianCap Oct 12

Barbarian Capital on X

"A bench trial is slated to begin Oct. 19 and the proceeding is expected to last about two weeks." Albertsons Wants $8 Billion From Kroger After Failed Merger $KR $ACI https://t.co/r7M6LjLYY5

@finphysnerd Oct 12

Myles on X

$SNAP up 40% from the June lows and I'm seeing pitches popping up on fintwit. It may be time to reload the short. Reminder: $SNAP is a forever short. https://t.co/RawmZpUyLp

@StableBread Oct 12

Fajasy on X

BWX Technologies’ $BWXT commercial segment grew Q2 2026 revenue 72% to $302.5M, while its government segment grew just 2% to $601.3M. $BWXT reported Q2 2026 on August 3, and CEO Rex Geveden called it “another strong quarter characterized by excellent execution across the company”: → Revenue: $901.6M, up 18% y/y (9% organic). → Adjusted EBITDA: $155.5M, up 7%, a 17.2% margin vs. 19.1%. The government segment fell 5% to $126.5M, but grew 22.1% excluding a $29.4M one-time contract gain in Q2 2025, while the commercial segment more than doubled to $36.1M. → EPS: $0.97 GAAP (+14%) and $1.07 non-GAAP (+5%). → FCF: $115.0M, down 9%, as capex rose 27% to $41.4M. → Backlog: $8.4B, up 40% y/y, including $2.26B of government contracts not yet funded by Congress. Q2 bookings were $648.9M vs. $1,640.5M a year earlier, but over the past 12 months, new orders still ran 1.7x revenue. The 2026 guide now calls for $3.8B of revenue, $662-672M of adjusted EBITDA (a 17.5% margin), $4.70-4.80 of non-GAAP EPS, and $345-360M of FCF. In August, $BWXT also changed its guidance for both segments: 1) Government Operations: Lower revenue growth (high single digits, down from low teens) but a higher margin (20.5%, up from 19% at the start of 2026). CFO Mike Fitzgerald said on the Q2 call that high-purity depleted uranium (HPDU) costs are coming in under budget. Most of the segment’s contracts pay $BWXT its costs plus a fee, and the fee goes up when $BWXT spends less than the target cost, so lower HPDU costs mean less revenue but more profit. 2) Commercial Operations: Higher revenue growth (45%, up from 30%), with Precision Components Group (PCG), acquired July 1, adding slightly more than half of the increase, but a lower margin (13%, down from 14%) as $BWXT spends on U.S. capacity and new hires.

@stockgutter Oct 12

SG on X

$IONQ is down 48.66% over the past year. So its 2x inverse ETF must be up a lot, right? Nope. $IONZ is down a whopping 86%. The 2x bull ETF $IONX is even worse, down 91.79%. These instruments are toxic. https://t.co/oGxZrq6Xy1

“Is Ralph Lauren Still Relevant?”

Ralph Lauren’s 2017 CEO change put Patrice Louvet in charge of reversing nine quarters of same-store sales declines and restoring the…

RL $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 12 1 click

53 Quality Stock Pitches (5th-11th October) 🖨️

Dassault Aviation leads a 53-pitch roundup with a €45 billion order book against €7.4 billion of sales and a 26.6% Thales stake.

DUAVF $26B

Capital Employed Oct 12 4 clicks

Figma (NYSE: FIG) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Figma’s Q2 revenue rose 48% to $370.1 million as AI credit adoption lifted retention to 136%; FY2026 revenue guidance increased to $1.463…

FIG $12B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 11 2 clicks

Rocket Lab: The Biggest Test In Its History Is Coming

Rocket Lab’s $2.36 billion backlog and Iridium acquisition support growth, but delayed Neutron testing, dilution and losses leave RKLB…

RKLB $35B

Bohdan Kucheriavyi Oct 11 7 clicks

A temporary glitch?

Coupang’s November 2025 cybersecurity breach tests whether a selloff is temporary despite its 28% Korean e-commerce share, 14 million-plus…

CPNG $27B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 11 9 clicks

Bloom Energy: Oracle's Project Jupiter Is Not What Keeps Me Up At Night (Rating Downgrade)

Bloom Energy faces delay risk after AEP extended conditions on its $2.65 billion Wyoming hyperscaler fuel-cell project from June to…

BE $70B

Deep Value Investing Oct 10 3 clicks

Synopsys (NASDAQ: SNPS) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE Ahead Of Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Synopsys moved to Distribute after Q3 revenue rose 42% on Ansys, while organic growth was 7% and the stock traded at 11.1 times trailing…

SNPS $90B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 9 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/09/2026)

Paramount Skydance’s debt-heavy Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, streaming bundle pricing and alcohol-industry diversification anchor…

SKYD $10BWBD $78B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 9

Consumer agents: an ethics race, a prisoner’s dilemma, and the obvious OTA short

Consumer agents create an ethics race among AI labs and a prisoner’s dilemma for retailers, with online travel agencies framed as an…

EXPE $36B

Yet Another Value Blog Oct 9 4 clicks

AppLovin: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy Following The Recent Pullback

AppLovin's Ads Manager targets middle-market e-commerce advertisers as Q3 guidance calls for 47% sales growth, while legal and compute-cost…

APP $88B

Jack Elias Oct 9 3 clicks

GPC · long

Genuine Parts CO

Genuine Parts trades at roughly 9x EBITDA as cyclical weakness and elevated NAPA investment temporarily depress earnings.

GPC $19B

Value Investors Club May 6 2 clicks

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $16B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 1 click

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

RMD $33B

Bearhold Research Apr 8 1 click

Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026

Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.

OSCR $10B

Modern Value Investing Apr 8

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $52B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $26B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $52B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Notes On Next PLC FY26 Results

Next reported FY26 EPS growth of 17% and free-cash-flow growth of 11%, with international expansion, third-party commissions and online…

NXT $13B

Sector Stories Mar 30

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…

NKE $52B

First Strike Research Mar 29

Doubling Down on Iran and OXY

Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…

OXY $62B

Open Insights Mar 20

Monday, October 12, 2026

Myles on X

Myles on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Myles on X

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