Saturday, October 10, 2026

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

Brazil’s October 25 runoff puts Bolsonaro’s likely victory at the center of a bullish regional-stock case; Golar LNG (GLNG) also reports fresh news.

GLNG $4.9B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 9 3 clicks

Oct 9 AMD $959B

Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) Stock Rating: Hold Into Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 9 META $1.8T

BREAKING: Muse Growth Slows as Downloads Fall

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

From X

@ACapitalLP Sep 24

A Capital on X

@AncientSion Rates bro, rates. The irony is that $FSLR gets lumped into the generic “rates up = solar down” trade, even though $FSLR itself is not a levered solar-project owner/developer...

@blondesnmoney Sep 24 1 click

Cluseau Investments on X

The guy buying 500 $AKAM Friday 120 calls for 17 cents into the close should go to prison https://t.co/ByQ7FOuGH3

@ChrisCamillo Sep 24 3 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@RiduFly how do u follow me and not know i want $AMZN down, not up

@ActAccordingly Sep 24 2 clicks

PAA Research on X

All trading below their 200-day moving averages right now: - Dow transports ($DJT) - Industrials $XLI - Retail $XRT - $GS Right at the 200-day MA - $KRE. $RUT seems destined to test the 200-day. Normal late September action, but it doesn't feel good. I guess we're setting the state for some golden crosses come late October/November or we're going lower. $MAGS carrying the day like 2024 when we dreamed of lower deficits and lower rates....

@negligible_cap Sep 24 2 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

*BLUE ORIGIN RAISES $10B AT $140B VALUATION: WSJ Blue Origin’s first ever outside capital raise. Per WSJ they’re expecting to do $1.4B in revenue this year, and over $30B by 2030. That puts their valuation at 100x this year’s sales. $SPCX is valued at only around 45x FY26 sales estimate. SPCX looking like a steal

@leevalueroach Sep 24

Lee Roach on X

Disclosing a large short position in $META. Thesis: Muse is offered free of charge with no meaningful cap on inference consumption. Meta is absorbing the full cost of compute, memory, and power on every query in pursuit of user growth. We believe this subsidy is unsustainable under adversarial usage. Position: We have deployed 10,000 endpoints running maximally compute-intensive workloads on a continuous basis. Deployment is scaling at 10,000 units per day. Unit economics: Our marginal cost per endpoint is approximately $300, incurred once. Meta's cost per endpoint is recurring and uncapped. We view this as a highly asymmetric trade. Channel checks: Retail sources confirm unusual laptop demand in the region. We are the source of that demand. Risks: Rate limiting, supply constraints at our primary vendor, and rising operating expenses on our side. Outlook: We expect material margin compression, a miss on next quarter's earnings, and elevated data center thermal risk. This is called activist investing.

@negligible_cap Sep 24

Negligible Capital on X

*AKAMAI SHARES SURGE OVER 20% POSTMARKET ON ANTHROPIC PACT $AKAM reported an $11.6B multi-year pact with Anthropic – deal may expand upp to $20B total, and AKAM issues warrants to Anthropic for up to 5% of the company. $AKAM sees $5.5B in capex tied to the pact https://t.co/8a9xf4uJfX

@ChrisCamillo Sep 24 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

if u thought Zuck’s metaverse spending was insane, wait until we see $META’s $AMZN Bedrock and graviton bill to keep Muse running.

Deckers: A 9% Earnings Yield With Q2 Approaching

Deckers trades at 11x forward earnings with $1.6 billion cash, no debt and aggressive buybacks, as HOKA growth and UGG profitability…

DECK $11B

TQP Research Oct 9 5 clicks

Synopsys (NASDAQ: SNPS) Stock Rating: DISTRIBUTE Ahead Of Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Synopsys moved to Distribute after Q3 revenue rose 42% on Ansys, while organic growth was 7% and the stock traded at 11.1 times trailing…

SNPS $97B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 9 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/09/2026)

Paramount Skydance’s debt-heavy Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition, streaming bundle pricing and alcohol-industry diversification anchor…

WBD $78B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 9

Consumer agents: an ethics race, a prisoner’s dilemma, and the obvious OTA short

Consumer agents create an ethics race among AI labs and a prisoner’s dilemma for retailers, with online travel agencies framed as an…

EXPE $31BBKNG $119B

Yet Another Value Blog Oct 9 2 clicks

Alphabet: The Search Engine Everyone Wrote Off Is Now Building the AI Economy and takes the lead in LLM´s again?

Alphabet pairs 17% Search growth, 82% Cloud growth and 500,000 weekly Waymo rides with a $195–205 billion AI capex plan.

GOOGL $4.3T

Substack von Philipp Oct 9 2 clicks

AppLovin: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy Following The Recent Pullback

AppLovin's Ads Manager targets middle-market e-commerce advertisers as Q3 guidance calls for 47% sales growth, while legal and compute-cost…

APP $93B

Jack Elias Oct 9 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $5.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 1 click

GoDaddy: The AI Transition Is Messy, But I'm Still Buying

GoDaddy’s Airo bookings run-rate rose from $10 million to $50 million in one quarter, but legacy Applications & Commerce declines still…

GDDY $13B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Oct 9 2 clicks

What If Pabrai Had Just Sat on His Ass? Every Idea He Ever Bought, Held Forever.

Mohnish Pabrai’s 69 quarterly filings are rebuilt into a never-sell portfolio, including Horsehead, Berkshire, Alphabet, Ferrari and…

MA $503B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 9 6 clicks

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.1B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 5 clicks

Boyz in the Hood

Robinhood’s AI agents, 24/7 equity trading and 10:1 crypto perpetual futures encourage higher retail trading velocity, leverage and…

HOOD $98B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 8

Lowe's: Patience Can Be Rewarded With Environment Unlikely To Worsen (Upgrade)

Lowe’s trades at 15x earnings after a 23% decline, with weak housing and high rates pressuring growth while inventory discipline supports…

LOW $106B

Seeking Profits Oct 8

The Uranium Cycle Is Turning Up: In Conversation with YCA & Cameco

Yellow Cake and Cameco say U.S. utilities have contracted only 40% of 2030 uranium needs, setting up a new contracting cycle as…

CCJ $38B

Aurelion Research Oct 8 2 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

STZ $21BGEO $4.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

LEN $18BMRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

"I've Never Seen a Demand Cycle Like This" | Top Semis Analyst Stacy Rasgon on AI Chips

Stacy Rasgon says AI chip demand is constrained by land, power and clean rooms, lifting memory, optics and wafer-fab equipment spending…

NVDA $5.5TAVGO $1.7T

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 8 4 clicks

Nike Taught Me A Dividend Lesson And A China Lesson (Rating Downgrade)

Nike's 4.8% dividend yield masks payout ratios above 100% of forward EPS and inadequate free cash flow coverage, while China sales declines…

NKE $51B

Sensor Unlimited Oct 8

Golar LNG q2’26 Operational Update

Golar LNG ordered a $2.45 billion fourth FLNG vessel, targeting 3.5MTPA of capacity and $400 million in annual EBITDA under a 20-year…

GLNG $4.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 8

Netflix Q3 Preview: Attractively Priced Streaming Giant, Shares A 'Buy'

Netflix trades near 52-week lows at roughly 19 times earnings, more than 40% below historical averages, ahead of its October 20 Q3 results.

NFLX $511B

Justin Purohit Oct 8

Ex-Goldman MD: "Credit Markets Move in Step Functions"

Geoffrey Williams explains CMBS underwriting, post-GFC securitized-credit risk transfer and why credit markets reprice in step functions.

GS $257B

Odds on Open Oct 8 2 clicks

Saturday, October 10, 2026

A Capital on X

Cluseau Investments on X

Chris Camillo on X

PAA Research on X

Negligible Capital on X

Lee Roach on X

Negligible Capital on X

Chris Camillo on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 93

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 46 of 222

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors