What I’ve Been Up To
Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.
Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.
$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.
$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.
$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses
$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s
$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
Idea Brunch with @Putzandshorts of ARR Investments Christian is one of the most impressive and untraditional investors we interviewed and share a great pitch on $EH https://t.co/5saQRvxrtU
Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…
Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in…
Group 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham’s Toyota ties, capital-allocation decisions, compensation and stock sales face scrutiny after the…
Solid Power reported a $0.11 Q2 loss and $419.3 million of cash, with its electrolyte pilot line and BMW and SK On validation central to…
Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.
Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…
Nyxoah's Genio implant could reach CCC patients after an FDA label expansion, targeting 30% of the obstructive sleep apnea device market by…
Latticework’s briefing questions AI capex returns while featuring Close Brothers, Green Landscaping and OMS Energy Technologies.
Old Market Capital, a delisted holding company owning a rural fiber network, trades below comparable network valuations after institutional…
Leslie’s and nine affiliates filed Chapter 11 in Texas on September 30, 2026, after 18 months of deteriorating performance.
ABG · long Asbury Automotive Group's changed setup and underperformance versus other public dealers form the basis for a renewed long thesis.
RLJ Lodging Trust trades below book value, with positive FY26 FFO guidance and property conversions offset by elevated leverage risk.
Leslie’s, the pool-supplies retailer, filed Chapter 11 after deteriorating operations, pricing and inventory missteps, and a burdensome…
Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…
Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…
Howard Hughes plans to raise nearly $4 billion by selling real estate assets and condos, accelerating Vantage’s insurance expansion while…
EVI Industries says its ERP and service-platform build is largely complete, testing whether 10.8% revenue growth can finally outpace…
Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…
Huckleberry.AI trades near $3.30 against $221 million of cash and $900 million-plus of NOLs after selling its operating business, creating…
Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…
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