Monday, October 5, 2026

Selling Cenovus: Up 78% in 10 Months

Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.

CVE $58B

Bison Insights Oct 5 2 clicks

Oct 5 GFL $15B

The Final Countdown: An Update on GFL’s Sale

310 Value’s Newsletter

Oct 5 CRWV $43B

The Thin Margin of Safety in Selling Compute

MBI Deep Dives 9 clicks

From X

@DevinLaSarre Jul 26

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out. Philip Morris International: Juggernaut $PM $BTI $MO $IMBBY $STG $HAYPP https://t.co/cVKgrcU86T

@irbezek Jul 25

Ian Bezek on X

@TidefallCapital I think macro beer is still deeply challenged, though I own a little bit of $TAP and $ABEV. I'm much more confident spirits will recover.

@TheBenSchmark Jul 24

JabroniCoin.USD on X

$THC smoked the hospital narrative and HCA, with a beat, raise and $2 Bn additional buyback. Bears might not be ambulatory for long… https://t.co/Jqp3snqr1l

@ActAccordingly Jul 23 1 click

PAA Research on X

I guess it's time to sharpen my pencil a bit on $TSCO. The stock has been a disaster to say the least and the chart could not look worse. However, the company lowered guidance and it's trading up modestly in a pretty tough tape. This was once a great growth story/compounder. Is it finally washed out? Watching.

@irbezek Jul 23

Ian Bezek on X

@InvestsCletus That's probably part of it. Day like today $CIB up $AVAL down would play toward that idea.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 23 1 click

BDC on X

$mRna shots don't work either but it has a $25B market cap. https://t.co/vvreFW1UpQ

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 23 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

$FCNCA $SBNC HT ⁦@bankinvesting⁩ https://t.co/3nOgjdlsG8

@irbezek Jul 23

Ian Bezek on X

@SowingAlphaSeed @orrdavid Number 3 is an excellent point. I own a bunch of zero duration bonds, rather than TIPS. Aiming for maximum price appreciation during the next recession/return to ZIRP. $EDV (or $TLT) was much more monetizable than long-term TIPS in March 2020 when you needed liquidity most. https://t.co/RHEWLObo4J

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

OTIS $25BCPRT $25B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Ciena, A Former Telecom Bust, Is Now In The Early Stages Of A Bona Fide Mega Boom

Ciena’s optical networking equipment sales to stronger telecom customers underpin a 2027 long thesis, unlike its 2000-era boom.

CIEN $57B

Marc Gerstein Oct 5 2 clicks

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

NU $74B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 3 clicks

W.P. Carey: Rising Rates, Rising Rents

W.P. Carey’s CPI-linked leases cushion inflation, but capped escalators, sub-7.5% acquisition cap rates and refinancing costs threaten AFFO…

WPC $15B

REITer's Digest Oct 4 2 clicks

Practical Parametric Yield

Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next…

CBRS $39B

Irrational Analysis Oct 4 3 clicks

M&T: Buy Reaffirmed, Despite Market Pullback, As Growth And Earnings Story Remain Strong

M&T Bank's 10.4% five-year revenue CAGR, improving net interest margin and commercial loan growth support its earnings resilience despite a…

MTB $31B

Albert Anthony Oct 3 2 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $18B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $51B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $40B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $42B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Regeneron And Sanofi Announce A Win-Win Collaboration Expansion

Regeneron and Sanofi expanded their antibody partnership, giving REGN $1 billion upfront, up to $7 billion in milestones and a 50:50 global…

REGN $79BSNY $94B

ONeil Trader Oct 1

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $84BABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $38B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $49B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $16B

scuttleblurb Oct 1 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1 1 click

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 2 clicks

Devin LaSarre on X

Ian Bezek on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

PAA Research on X

Ian Bezek on X

BDC on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Ian Bezek on X

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