Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Chris Camillo on X
@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.
Trevor Scott on X
@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $458MALM $4B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $78BMA $496B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6BSUSRF $262M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $246BMCK $100B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $503M8011 $231M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.3B
Southwest Airlines: Buy The Transformation Despite The Oil Shock
Southwest Airlines targets more than $2 billion of 2026 EBIT from assigned seating, extra legroom and bag fees despite higher fuel costs…
Dhierin Bechai 2 clicks
Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Palo Alto Networks posted 34% Q4 revenue growth to $3.41 billion, boosted by CyberArk and Chronosphere, while NGS ARR reached $9.1 billion…
Pacific Health Care Organization - OTC:PFHO
Pacific Health Care trades below its more than $1 per-share net cash despite profitable workers’ compensation claims services, California…
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
BCO · long Brinks CO
Brink’s $6.6 billion cash-and-stock acquisition of NCR Atleos underpins the long case, citing strategic and financial rationale.
(I)nbound (M)igrants (X)panding (I)nternational Remittances
International Money Express trades at roughly 5x forward EV/EBITDA despite growth, modest leverage and excess cash available for…
(C)riminally (V)alued (S)caled Healthcare Services
CVS Health fell 20% after cutting 2024 adjusted EPS guidance to $7, but its Aetna insurance and Caremark PBM businesses support a…
Dramatically Undervalued SAAS Company Primed for Buyout ($AWRE)
Aware ($AWRE) trades near its net-cash value as recurring biometric SaaS revenue grows, supporting a buyout thesis backed by debt-free…
IOFNF- Iofina (buy)
Iofina’s IO10 iodine plant is due in Q3 2024, adding 100 to 150 metric tons of capacity while higher brine costs pressure earnings.
JVA- Coffee Holding Co (buy)
Coffee Holding trades near a $9 million market cap and $17 million net current asset value, while its proposed Delta merger values JVA…
A 4x in 4 Years Surfing the Data Center Tsunami? ($TSSI)
Total Site Solutions ($TSSI) depends on Dell for 96% of revenue; the 4x thesis rests on Dell expanding modular data centers amid AI-driven…
~9 EV/OCF AI Company Growing Revenue 75%+ YoY ($ALAR)
Alarum ($ALAR) trades near 9x operating cash flow as its NetNut proxy network supports web scraping and AI data collection, with revenue…
A Mexican Blue Chip Bargain
Grupo Herdez, a MXN 15.2 billion Mexican food company, pairs dominant grocery brands with McCormick, Barilla and Hormel joint ventures.
Nvidia, Nano-X and the interpretation of 13F filings
Nvidia’s $380,000 Nano-X stake came from Zebra Medical Vision’s acquisition and is managed by another reporting person, undermining the 50%…
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Timyan Bank Alert
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Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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