Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Chris Camillo on X
@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.
Trevor Scott on X
@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $487B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6BSUSRF $262M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M8011 $231M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
Southwest Airlines: Buy The Transformation Despite The Oil Shock
Southwest Airlines targets more than $2 billion of 2026 EBIT from assigned seating, extra legroom and bag fees despite higher fuel costs…
Dhierin Bechai 2 clicks
Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Palo Alto Networks posted 34% Q4 revenue growth to $3.41 billion, boosted by CyberArk and Chronosphere, while NGS ARR reached $9.1 billion…
Pacific Health Care Organization - OTC:PFHO
Pacific Health Care trades below its more than $1 per-share net cash despite profitable workers’ compensation claims services, California…
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
NXPI · long Nxp Semiconductors NV
NXP Semiconductors, the global automotive-chip leader, has delivered 12.5% compounded EPS growth and is presented as a long investment.
Uber Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)
Uber’s $50 billion revenue and $4.5 billion operating profit reflect a turnaround from years of subsidy-heavy growth, with autonomous…
Pool Corporation "Undisputed Industry Leader"
Pool Corporation derives 65% of sales from maintenance and repair, while scale and acquisitions support a 40-50% share of pool supplies.
Green Dot: Creating a Standalone BaaS Bank
Green Dot creates a standalone banking-as-a-service bank.
Obscure Stocks Annual Review
Obscure Stocks reviews 2025 positions, including ELMSQ’s illiquid bankruptcy stock and DallasNews’ Hearst buyout, while setting stricter…
Operating Leverage as a Source of Market Inefficiency
Mastercard added $2.6 billion of revenue from 2005 to 2010 while expenses rose only $0.3 billion, illustrating how extreme operating…
Telephone and Data Systems (TDS): The New TDS
Telephone and Data Systems, a $4.8 billion telecom holding company, is being reassessed after a decade of convoluted investor messaging.
Return of the Power King
China Yuchai (CYD) seeks a 2026 rerating as governance normalization, global expansion, AI data-center power demand, and green-powertrain…
Contrarian Low-Cost Producer at a 15% FCF Yield + Excess Real Estate
California Resources (CRC) trades at a 15% FCF yield, owns roughly $80 per share of proven reserves and acquired Berry Petroleum at a steep…
Data Centers in the Permian Basin Part 3 - First Comes Power
Chevron’s proposed $6.5 billion, 2.5GW West Texas gas plant could support Permian AI data centers, with TPL, Oxy and WaterBridge land…
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Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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Farmer
Fierce_beast
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Ian Bezek
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kab60
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
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SG
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Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
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Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
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- Ariel Investments
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Sectors
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