Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Chris Camillo on X
@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.
Trevor Scott on X
@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $487B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $276B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.6BSUSRF $262M
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M8011 $231M
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
Southwest Airlines: Buy The Transformation Despite The Oil Shock
Southwest Airlines targets more than $2 billion of 2026 EBIT from assigned seating, extra legroom and bag fees despite higher fuel costs…
Dhierin Bechai 2 clicks
Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings
Palo Alto Networks posted 34% Q4 revenue growth to $3.41 billion, boosted by CyberArk and Chronosphere, while NGS ARR reached $9.1 billion…
Pacific Health Care Organization - OTC:PFHO
Pacific Health Care trades below its more than $1 per-share net cash despite profitable workers’ compensation claims services, California…
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
PERF · long Perfect CORP
Perfect Corp., a Taiwan-based beauty-tech microcap SPAC, trades below net cash despite sales growth after falling from a brief $2 billion…
TIC Solutions: Thesis Check
TIC Solutions' NV5 merger lifted consulting and geospatial growth and margins, while its 52%-of-revenue inspection unit stayed flat after…
NFE Bond Update
New Fortress Energy’s restructuring cancels its 12% 2029 notes for 94.3% of BrazilCo, $974 million of New NFE preferred and 25.8% of New…
Shift4 Payments: A Fintech Compounder Trading Like a Melting Ice Cube
Shift4 Payments earns 50 to 60 basis points on SkyTab volume while acquiring merchant networks, driving 39% annual GRLNF growth since 2021…
Pershing Square U.S. and Pershing Square Inc. Dual Listings
Pershing Square plans dual IPOs of PSUS and management company PSI, granting 20 PSI shares for every 100 PSUS shares to counter closed-end…
Lands’ End Into Next Week: A Re-Rate Catalyst Hiding Behind Tender Noise
Lands’ End’s March 19 results could clarify the WHP IP joint venture, debt paydown and retained stake, supporting a rerating beyond the…
Single Stock Spotlight #4: Global Payments (GPN)
Global Payments trades below 6 times adjusted earnings and about 7 times free cash flow amid Worldpay, competition and debt concerns.
MAPS: Fortifying the Record Before the Bid
MAPS reported $39.8 million of FY25 adjusted EBITDA and $62.4 million of cash as a holder builds a record around a possible affiliated bid.
✅ Buying AI Beneficiaries and Selling One AI-disrupted Business
Sleep Well Portfolio is selling SPS Commerce as AI-vulnerable and adding Veeva, Mercado Libre, Cellebrite and Sea, citing proprietary data,…
FactSet’s Take-Private Rumours
FactSet has drawn take-private interest from Thoma Bravo and Hellman & Friedman, with its recurring subscription revenue, 90% client…
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Seeking Alpha 31 of 170
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A Capital
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Convequity
David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
Evan Tindell
Farmer
Fierce_beast
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Ian Bezek
Idea Brunch
JabroniCoin.USD
John_Hempton
junkbondinvestor
kab60
KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
Little Owl Research
Maius
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marginofdanger
mavix
Mike
Mikro Kap David
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Myles
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Negligible Capital
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Sahil Khetpal
SG
Sheel Mohnot
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
Todd Wenning
ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
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- Hoisington Investment Management
- Horizon Kinetics
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- Kaydan Wealth Management
- Kernow Asset Management
- LVS Advisory
- Laughing Water Capital
- Lindsell Train Limited
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- Maran Capital Management
- Markel Group
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- Myrmikan Capital, LLC
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory
- Oakmark Funds
- Palm Harbour Capital
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- Patient Capital Management
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V.
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd.
- Pershing Square Holdings
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- Polen Capital 5Perspectives Growth Opportunities
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- Praetorian Capital
- Protean Funds
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- Royce Investment Partners
- Sequoia Fund
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Sectors
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