Friday, September 18, 2026

Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.

FICO $21B

Steve Eisman Sep 18 2 clicks

Sep 18 NTDOY $62B

$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest

Yet Another Value Podcast 1 click

Sep 18 DASH $84B

Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@TidefallCapital Sep 18

Trevor Scott on X

After decades of showcasing the world's best, most inspiring athletes, Nike pivoted in the pandemic to lifestyle marketing with 2021's #OwnTheFloor. $NKE hit a 12 year low today. https://t.co/2nMGetU6Gd

@TidefallCapital Sep 18 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

After decades of showcasing the world's best, most inspiring athletes, Nike pivoted in the pandemic to lifestyle marketing with 2021's #OwnTheFloor. It shifted from elite performance to an inclusive message of authentic identity and self-expression. $NKE hit a 12 year low today. https://t.co/gITCp2QLZb

@natstewart5 Sep 18 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

$ROL could have used an ATM at high valuations in a way that benefited *all* long-term holders. Instead, they used corporate funds/new capital to cash out insiders for $2.4 billion (between 2023, 2025 sales). Great business, but deserves a hefty governance discount. IMO the board isn't working for *all* shareholders.

@negligible_cap Sep 18 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*WESTINGHOUSE SAID TO SEEK OVER $50 BILLION VALUATION IN US IPO $CCJ owns 49% of Westinghouse. $BEP owns the rest Nuclear has totally fallen off the radar this year. Shitco’s like OKLO and SMR flew the theme too close to the sun and rightfully tanked. Maybe Westinghouse IPO brings the nuclear / uranium trade back

@negligible_cap Sep 18 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*WESTINGHOUSE SAID TO SEEK OVER $50 BILLION VALUATION IN US IPO $CCJ owns 49% of Westinghouse Nuclear has totally fallen off the radar this year. Shitco’s like OKLO and SMR flew the theme too close to the sun and rightfully tanked. Maybe Westinghouse IPO brings the nuclear / uranium trade back

@KEDM_COM Sep 18 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Right Tail @JeremyKokemor bought $HCA at about 12x earnings on a local-density argument: hospitals compete neighborhood by neighborhood, and HCA holds #1 or #2 share — averaging 25-30% of each market in about 80% of its markets, primarily in Sunbelt states. Outpatient access points — 14 per hospital, heading toward 20 — feed the hospitals, and about 75% of admissions arrive through the ER. Margins held in the high teens through 2009, and half the shares have been retired since the 2011 re-IPO. Historically, HCA has compounded revenue at roughly 7% annually and EPS closer to 17%; Right Tail models mid-single-digit revenue growth and 10-15% EPS growth.

@Fierce__beast Sep 18 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

Here's the J-curve stock shape -- many examples of software stocks and high growth stocks, sometimes even large mature companies that release a new product. $MPWR was shaping up for this in November 2024 (I wrote about this and went long) when it dropped a lot after they "lost $NVDA" marketshare, but of course their custom AI accelerator business was growing something like 100% a year, and it was only a matter of time before it showed up in the earnings. It subsequently re-rated after troughing at 35x and had significant earnings growth. Today it goes for 35x again. Will there be another big bump in a few years, maybe robotics?

@ACapitalLP Sep 18

A Capital on X

Also correct. $BN https://t.co/8djMaMw6HF

Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility

Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…

GNRC $12B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Sep 18

Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)

Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…

GRAB $11B

Rebound Capital Sep 18 1 click

Wheaton Precious Metals: The Premium May Have Outrun The Fundamentals

Wheaton Precious Metals trades near $150, above its $99–$139 DCF range, despite 61% net margins and 88% year-over-year revenue growth from…

WPM $70B

Alexander Grover Sep 18

This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha

Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…

COO $10BGRAB $11B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 18 1 click

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

STM $47B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 1 click

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Memos Sep 17 3 clicks

Zoetis: New Competition Changes The Story, But Not Yet The Rating

Zoetis faces U.S. companion-animal competition and softer demand, pressuring key franchises despite strong cash flow and a nearly 50%…

ZTS $30B

PV Research Sep 17

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold's McIntosh drilling found 0.23 g/t gold over 65.5m, 370m southwest of the existing resource, and extended mineralization 86m…

KGC $34B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 16 2 clicks

Brad Jacobs and the QXO Thesis

QXO applies Brad Jacobs’s consolidation playbook to fragmented building materials, anchored by its TopBuild acquisition and a strategy of…

QXO $12BXPO $21B

Bearstone Sep 16

Revisiting Veeva #1

Veeva’s AI tools for pharmacovigilance case processing and trial-document management target more than $1 billion of potential revenue,…

VEEV $42B

Lewistown Capital Dec 11

Movie Theaters Risk and Opportunities; Netflix/WBD Deal; Is Disney Cheap?

Netflix’s Warner Bros. Discovery bid pushed Cinemark down 25% in two weeks, raising concerns that Warner Bros.

WBD $77B

Base Hit Investing Dec 8

Sector Story: Flavours & Fragrances Part V – IFF

IFF’s $7.1bn Frutarom acquisition and $26bn DuPont Nutrition & Biosciences merger failed to deliver expected synergies, contributing to…

IFF $21B

Sector Stories Dec 3

Portfolio Update November 2025

Portfolio gained 0.6% in November and 22.9% in 2025, adding Floor & Decor and Copart while exiting West Pharmaceutical, Kraft Heinz, Novo…

CPRT $27BROP $37B

D Invests Dec 2

Portfolio Update October 2025

DInvests portfolio gained 6.8% in October, buying Roper Technologies and B&M while adding to Kraft Heinz and Greggs and exiting…

ROP $37BKHC $29B

D Invests Nov 2

An Overlooked European Microcap With a Strategic Review Catalyst

Data Modul AG's strategic review could lead Arrow Electronics to sell its 69% stake in the German industrial-display maker after a cyclical…

ARW $11B

Easy Value Oct 28

Two Types of Bank Investments; Thoughts on Asset Sensitivity; FCNCA's Value

Community banks trading at 50-70% of book value can benefit from buybacks and consolidation, with recent targets MSVB and PMHG receiving…

FCNCA $24B

Base Hit Investing Oct 28

Biographies: Standing on the shoulders of Giants - Week 2 picks

Phil Knight, John D. Rockefeller and North Korean defectors anchor three recommended biographies of ambition, capitalism and survival.

NKE $54B

The Curious Compounder Oct 22

Shaping Dollar Tree into its new era.

Dollar Tree targets 12%-15% annual EPS growth through 2028 as it shifts to multi-price merchandise, refreshes stores and uses data-driven…

DLTR $21B

D Invests Oct 22

Sector Story: Flavours & Fragrances Part I - An Introduction

Flavour and fragrance suppliers control 67% of a $40 billion market, earning recurring, protected margins through deep FMCG R&D ties.

IFF $21BDSFIY $26B

Sector Stories Oct 15

Friday, September 18, 2026

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Nat Stewart on X

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

Fierce_beast on X

A Capital on X

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