Friday, September 18, 2026

Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.

FICO $21B

Steve Eisman Sep 18 2 clicks

Sep 18 NTDOY $62B

$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest

Yet Another Value Podcast 1 click

Sep 18 DASH $84B

Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@TidefallCapital Sep 18

Trevor Scott on X

After decades of showcasing the world's best, most inspiring athletes, Nike pivoted in the pandemic to lifestyle marketing with 2021's #OwnTheFloor. $NKE hit a 12 year low today. https://t.co/2nMGetU6Gd

@TidefallCapital Sep 18 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

After decades of showcasing the world's best, most inspiring athletes, Nike pivoted in the pandemic to lifestyle marketing with 2021's #OwnTheFloor. It shifted from elite performance to an inclusive message of authentic identity and self-expression. $NKE hit a 12 year low today. https://t.co/gITCp2QLZb

@natstewart5 Sep 18 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

$ROL could have used an ATM at high valuations in a way that benefited *all* long-term holders. Instead, they used corporate funds/new capital to cash out insiders for $2.4 billion (between 2023, 2025 sales). Great business, but deserves a hefty governance discount. IMO the board isn't working for *all* shareholders.

@negligible_cap Sep 18 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*WESTINGHOUSE SAID TO SEEK OVER $50 BILLION VALUATION IN US IPO $CCJ owns 49% of Westinghouse. $BEP owns the rest Nuclear has totally fallen off the radar this year. Shitco’s like OKLO and SMR flew the theme too close to the sun and rightfully tanked. Maybe Westinghouse IPO brings the nuclear / uranium trade back

@negligible_cap Sep 18 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*WESTINGHOUSE SAID TO SEEK OVER $50 BILLION VALUATION IN US IPO $CCJ owns 49% of Westinghouse Nuclear has totally fallen off the radar this year. Shitco’s like OKLO and SMR flew the theme too close to the sun and rightfully tanked. Maybe Westinghouse IPO brings the nuclear / uranium trade back

@KEDM_COM Sep 18 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Right Tail @JeremyKokemor bought $HCA at about 12x earnings on a local-density argument: hospitals compete neighborhood by neighborhood, and HCA holds #1 or #2 share — averaging 25-30% of each market in about 80% of its markets, primarily in Sunbelt states. Outpatient access points — 14 per hospital, heading toward 20 — feed the hospitals, and about 75% of admissions arrive through the ER. Margins held in the high teens through 2009, and half the shares have been retired since the 2011 re-IPO. Historically, HCA has compounded revenue at roughly 7% annually and EPS closer to 17%; Right Tail models mid-single-digit revenue growth and 10-15% EPS growth.

@Fierce__beast Sep 18 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

Here's the J-curve stock shape -- many examples of software stocks and high growth stocks, sometimes even large mature companies that release a new product. $MPWR was shaping up for this in November 2024 (I wrote about this and went long) when it dropped a lot after they "lost $NVDA" marketshare, but of course their custom AI accelerator business was growing something like 100% a year, and it was only a matter of time before it showed up in the earnings. It subsequently re-rated after troughing at 35x and had significant earnings growth. Today it goes for 35x again. Will there be another big bump in a few years, maybe robotics?

@ACapitalLP Sep 18

A Capital on X

Also correct. $BN https://t.co/8djMaMw6HF

Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility

Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…

GNRC $12B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Sep 18

Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)

Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…

GRAB $11B

Rebound Capital Sep 18 1 click

Wheaton Precious Metals: The Premium May Have Outrun The Fundamentals

Wheaton Precious Metals trades near $150, above its $99–$139 DCF range, despite 61% net margins and 88% year-over-year revenue growth from…

WPM $70B

Alexander Grover Sep 18

This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha

Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…

COO $10BGRAB $11B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 18 1 click

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

STM $47B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 1 click

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Memos Sep 17 3 clicks

Zoetis: New Competition Changes The Story, But Not Yet The Rating

Zoetis faces U.S. companion-animal competition and softer demand, pressuring key franchises despite strong cash flow and a nearly 50%…

ZTS $30B

PV Research Sep 17

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold's McIntosh drilling found 0.23 g/t gold over 65.5m, 370m southwest of the existing resource, and extended mineralization 86m…

KGC $34B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 16 2 clicks

Brad Jacobs and the QXO Thesis

QXO applies Brad Jacobs’s consolidation playbook to fragmented building materials, anchored by its TopBuild acquisition and a strategy of…

QXO $12BXPO $21B

Bearstone Sep 16

APG · long

Api Group CORP

APi Group’s mix of specialty contracting segments complicates a conventional contractor valuation.

APG $16B

Value Investors Club Apr 28 10 clicks

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

EVVTY $16B

Speedwell Memos Feb 6 1 click

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…

FCNCA $24B

Base Hit Investing Jan 25

Can AI Read the Market?

Gemini’s chart-only analysis favors Nutrien, soybeans, nickel and sugar, while rating Constellation Software a sideline despite its 40%…

NTR $37B

AmsterdamStocks Jan 25

Affirm (AFRM): Buy Now, Cry Later

Affirm, a $25 billion buy now, pay later lender, faces a short thesis comparing its model with failed subprime monoline finance companies.

AFRM $24B

Kerrisdale Capital Jan 21

FTAI Power and QXO's next aquistion

FTAI Power plans to convert CFM56 jet engines into 25 MW gas turbines for data centers, targeting 100 annual units and $750 million to $1…

FTAI $20BQXO $12B

Kairos Research Jan 20 1 click

Coupang Expert Insight Interview (No Paywall)

Coupang’s former strategy VP discusses Taiwan expansion, 1P-versus-3P economics, margins and competitive risks as CPNG trades 35% below its…

CPNG $26B

Speedwell Memos Jan 20 1 click

Data Centers in the Permian Basin Part 3 - First Comes Power

Chevron’s proposed $6.5 billion, 2.5GW West Texas gas plant could support Permian AI data centers, with TPL, Oxy and WaterBridge land…

TPL $24B

310 Value’s Newsletter Dec 19 2 clicks

TransDigm (TDG) – The King of Aerospace Private Equity

TransDigm built a $72 billion aerospace-components consolidator through 90 acquisitions, delivering 23.1% annualized stock returns since…

TDG $61B

Bristlemoon Capital Dec 18

QXO

QXO, Brad Jacobs’ building-materials distributor roll-up, targets rapid acquisitions and a $50 billion revenue run rate by 2032.

QXO $12B

Kairos Research Dec 11

Friday, September 18, 2026

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Nat Stewart on X

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

Fierce_beast on X

A Capital on X

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