Friday, September 18, 2026

Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.

FICO $21B

Steve Eisman Sep 18 2 clicks

Sep 18 NTDOY $62B

$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest

Yet Another Value Podcast 1 click

Sep 18 DASH $84B

Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@TidefallCapital Sep 18

Trevor Scott on X

After decades of showcasing the world's best, most inspiring athletes, Nike pivoted in the pandemic to lifestyle marketing with 2021's #OwnTheFloor. $NKE hit a 12 year low today. https://t.co/2nMGetU6Gd

@TidefallCapital Sep 18 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

After decades of showcasing the world's best, most inspiring athletes, Nike pivoted in the pandemic to lifestyle marketing with 2021's #OwnTheFloor. It shifted from elite performance to an inclusive message of authentic identity and self-expression. $NKE hit a 12 year low today. https://t.co/gITCp2QLZb

@natstewart5 Sep 18 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

$ROL could have used an ATM at high valuations in a way that benefited *all* long-term holders. Instead, they used corporate funds/new capital to cash out insiders for $2.4 billion (between 2023, 2025 sales). Great business, but deserves a hefty governance discount. IMO the board isn't working for *all* shareholders.

@negligible_cap Sep 18 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*WESTINGHOUSE SAID TO SEEK OVER $50 BILLION VALUATION IN US IPO $CCJ owns 49% of Westinghouse. $BEP owns the rest Nuclear has totally fallen off the radar this year. Shitco’s like OKLO and SMR flew the theme too close to the sun and rightfully tanked. Maybe Westinghouse IPO brings the nuclear / uranium trade back

@negligible_cap Sep 18 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*WESTINGHOUSE SAID TO SEEK OVER $50 BILLION VALUATION IN US IPO $CCJ owns 49% of Westinghouse Nuclear has totally fallen off the radar this year. Shitco’s like OKLO and SMR flew the theme too close to the sun and rightfully tanked. Maybe Westinghouse IPO brings the nuclear / uranium trade back

@KEDM_COM Sep 18 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Right Tail @JeremyKokemor bought $HCA at about 12x earnings on a local-density argument: hospitals compete neighborhood by neighborhood, and HCA holds #1 or #2 share — averaging 25-30% of each market in about 80% of its markets, primarily in Sunbelt states. Outpatient access points — 14 per hospital, heading toward 20 — feed the hospitals, and about 75% of admissions arrive through the ER. Margins held in the high teens through 2009, and half the shares have been retired since the 2011 re-IPO. Historically, HCA has compounded revenue at roughly 7% annually and EPS closer to 17%; Right Tail models mid-single-digit revenue growth and 10-15% EPS growth.

@Fierce__beast Sep 18 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

Here's the J-curve stock shape -- many examples of software stocks and high growth stocks, sometimes even large mature companies that release a new product. $MPWR was shaping up for this in November 2024 (I wrote about this and went long) when it dropped a lot after they "lost $NVDA" marketshare, but of course their custom AI accelerator business was growing something like 100% a year, and it was only a matter of time before it showed up in the earnings. It subsequently re-rated after troughing at 35x and had significant earnings growth. Today it goes for 35x again. Will there be another big bump in a few years, maybe robotics?

@ACapitalLP Sep 18

A Capital on X

Also correct. $BN https://t.co/8djMaMw6HF

Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility

Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…

GNRC $12B

Fernanda Galvez Jalil Sep 18

Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)

Grab generates 53% of revenue from delivery, 36% from mobility and 10% from financial services, using its Southeast Asian marketplace to…

GRAB $11B

Rebound Capital Sep 18 1 click

Wheaton Precious Metals: The Premium May Have Outrun The Fundamentals

Wheaton Precious Metals trades near $150, above its $99–$139 DCF range, despite 61% net margins and 88% year-over-year revenue growth from…

WPM $70B

Alexander Grover Sep 18

This Week in Special Situations: Cooper Companies, Sturm Ruger, Grab Holdings, Boston Omaha

Special-situations survey flags Cooper’s $3 billion buyback, Grab’s $900 million repurchase, and Beretta’s $44.80 partial tender for Sturm…

COO $10BGRAB $11B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 18 1 click

Power Semiconductors: The Follow-Up

STMicroelectronics, Navitas and Wolfspeed offer contrasting power-semiconductor cases tied to NVIDIA’s 800V AI data-center architecture,…

STM $47B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 17 1 click

Copart 4Q26 Business Update

Copart's U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5% in 4Q26, largely from one customer loss, while international insurance units rose 11.2% and…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Memos Sep 17 3 clicks

Zoetis: New Competition Changes The Story, But Not Yet The Rating

Zoetis faces U.S. companion-animal competition and softer demand, pressuring key franchises despite strong cash flow and a nearly 50%…

ZTS $30B

PV Research Sep 17

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold's McIntosh drilling found 0.23 g/t gold over 65.5m, 370m southwest of the existing resource, and extended mineralization 86m…

KGC $34B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Sep 16 2 clicks

Brad Jacobs and the QXO Thesis

QXO applies Brad Jacobs’s consolidation playbook to fragmented building materials, anchored by its TopBuild acquisition and a strategy of…

QXO $12BXPO $21B

Bearstone Sep 16

ASTS · short

Ast Spacemobile INC

AST SpaceMobile is priced for a 2026 commercial launch despite no identified path to manufacture or launch its satellite deployment target.

ASTS $24B

Value Investors Club Apr 29 10 clicks

Grab Holdings ($GRAB) - Addressing the key risks to holding the stock

Grab’s main holding risks are competition, sustainable profitability and valuation, with entrenched ride-hailing and delivery positions…

GRAB $11B

Inglenook Growth Feb 20

The Skills AI Can’t Replace

Duolingo is presented as an AI-resilient opportunity after SaaS stocks sold off on fears that coding tools will compress software moats,…

TEAM $49B

Modern Value Investing Feb 15

Airbnb 4Q25: Business Update

Airbnb’s fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% to $2.8 billion and GBV 16%, while product improvements and AI spending target booking conversion…

ABNB $99B

Speedwell Memos Feb 14 2 clicks

Adobe Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Adobe trades at 14x free cash flow after a 60% decline despite growth, with AI, its business-model transition and creative-software…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Feb 12

Ferrari Exploratory Report

Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…

RACE $73B

Speedwell Memos Feb 10 1 click

Carvana, DriveTime, Hindenburg and Gotham City

Carvana’s DriveTime disclosures do not prove loan-loss shifting, but related-party dealings and gains on loan sales remain central concerns.

CVNA $47B

Brevarthan Research Feb 9

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

ADBE $99B

Bristlemoon Capital Feb 6

Portfolio Update January 2026

DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…

KHC $29B

D Invests Jan 31

Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg

Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…

RYAAY $28B

310 Value’s Newsletter Jan 28 4 clicks

Friday, September 18, 2026

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Nat Stewart on X

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

Fierce_beast on X

A Capital on X

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