Wednesday, September 16, 2026

Copart 4Q26 Business Update: Thesis Shift?

Copart’s 4Q26 revenue grew 2.4% as U.S. insurance volumes fell 7.5%, while a customer loss and higher yard costs pressured profits despite international growth.

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Research Sep 16 1 click

Sep 14 NVDA $5.5T

The Big Short Partners Reunite: Rates, AI, Gold and Two Stock Picks | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 75

Steve Eisman 5 clicks

Sep 14 MDT $119B

No Cap? Currently Capped by Three Hundredths of a Percent: Medtronic’s MiniMed Split-Off Odd Lot

Rod’s Ruminations 4 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16 2 clicks

BDC on X

Maybe this earlier post is hyperbolic. But Specs potential is real and the applications are very real and the implied value to $snap is negative. Btw go back and look at all my snap tweets - been as big a bear as any of you. But the worm is turning. Sub business 85% yy $1b+ rr and ads stable and 16% HC reduction to cut $500mn opex and SBC offset by buyback. So there’s a lot to like here and if specs can get a minority investor which i think is much more likely after today then game on. Oh and by the way snap could still cut opex by 50% just to get in line with $rddt on cost/employee.

@finphysnerd Sep 16

Myles on X

Bought some $AMZN 2029 calls.

@BlueDuckCap Sep 16

BDC on X

Wow - kinda nailed the need for cellular partner except the partner is VZ, not $SPCX. Good, regardless. $SNAP https://t.co/SaiRhAUmRr

@P_Remarks Sep 16 2 clicks

Prepared Remarks on X

$orcl https://t.co/uBDWnot63D

@P_Remarks Sep 16 2 clicks

Prepared Remarks on X

$orcl https://t.co/t1ymp3aqRL

@ActAccordingly Sep 16 1 click

PAA Research on X

The trading action in $LEN should be pretty interesting following a disappointing print and underwhelming guidance (albeit not surprising). The stock trades at tangible book value with a 2.5% dividend yield (that used to mean something) and they look set to buyback 5-7% of the shares outstanding annually. They've moved their entire pricing and gross margin model down to meet the market so they can move volumes. They're moving units in Arkansas at $230,000. There's definitely a market at that price point. There's some controversy about their land bank accounting practices from the work of @hntrbrkmedia, but you still have a biz that's not impairing book and generating profits. Insiders own a fair amount, Berkshire bought last quarter. Is there enough bad news here? Is it finally washed out? https://t.co/j7W0oY1pY5

@ActAccordingly Sep 16

PAA Research on X

This is an absurdly large deal relative to the size of $GNRC. Candidly, I'm not sure why $AMZN just didn't buy the company. I can make a strong case that over the next few years they could do a lot with the residential biz on the backup generator and BESS side. That's just me. Maybe they get their eventually. We'll see.

@junkbondinvest Sep 16

junkbondinvestor on X

Blackstone? ✔️ Alphabet? ✔️ 10 banks salivating to provide $22bn in chip financing? ✔️ All for Crux AI, a company that launched THIS month (w/ $5bn equity from $BX). Crazy to remember this asset class barely EXISTED not too long ago https://t.co/hT0pjvDgKI

Dassault Aviation: Rafale Upside Makes This A Strong Buy

Dassault Aviation reported 46% first-half sales growth and a €45.4 billion backlog, with Rafale F5 demand offsetting Falcon 10X delays and…

DUAVF $26B

Dhierin Bechai Sep 14 1 click

Meta’s Trojan Horse for the Consumer Internet

Meta’s Muse strategy targets the consumer internet through a Trojan-horse product.

META $1.7T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 14 1 click

Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Sep 14 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition

Amazon’s refrigerated same-day network has lifted monthly perishable customers roughly 50%, using grocery frequency to deepen loyalty and…

AMZN $2.7TDE $187B

scuttleblurb Sep 14 1 click

Cestrian Rating Actions - Week Ending 11 September 2026

Cestrian initiated Joby Aviation at Accumulate and upgraded Applied Materials and Broadcom to Accumulate for the week ended 11 September…

AMAT $375BAVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

Oracle Corporation (NYSE: ORCL) - Q1 FY2027 Earnings: Record CDS Spreads, $88B Net Debt, And The OpenAI Question

Oracle’s $88.3 billion net debt and $90-95 billion capex plan pushed five-year CDS to 215 bps, despite 121% OCI growth and a $664 billion…

ORCL $446B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 14

MKS Instruments: Penang Expansion Boosts WFE Outlook Despite Margin Pressure

MKS Instruments posted $1.25 billion in Q2 revenue and is expanding Penang capacity for a $200 billion to $250 billion wafer-fab-equipment…

MKSI $16B

The Straits Strategist Sep 14

Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth was about 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Research Sep 14 1 click

The AI Trade Is Rotating From Memory To Interconnects, And Corning Is The Best Way To Play It

Corning targets AI data-center optical interconnect demand, backed by customer-funded supply agreements and operating margins above 20%.

GLW $137B

Alpha Mantra Sep 14

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 14, 2026

The week of September 14 features the FOMC decision, retail sales and housing data after the S&P 500 fell 0.8%.

GOOGL $4.3T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 13 3 clicks

ASTS · short

Ast Spacemobile INC

AST SpaceMobile is priced for a 2026 commercial launch despite no identified path to manufacture or launch its satellite deployment target.

ASTS $24B

Value Investors Club Apr 29 10 clicks

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance

AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.

AER $22B

Bristlemoon Capital Mar 2 1 click

APi Group: How the story has evolved and what's next

APi Group hit its 13/60/80 targets in 2025, reporting $7.9 billion revenue, 13.2% EBITDA margin and 80% free-cash-flow conversion, then set…

APG $16B

Kairos Research Feb 26

Copart: 2Q26 Business Recap

Copart’s fiscal Q2 2026 revenue fell 4% and U.S. insurance units dropped 11%, as underinsured drivers and carrier volumes weighed while IAA…

CPRT $27B

Speedwell Memos Feb 21

The Skills AI Can’t Replace

Duolingo is presented as an AI-resilient opportunity after SaaS stocks sold off on fears that coding tools will compress software moats,…

TEAM $49B

Modern Value Investing Feb 15

Airbnb 4Q25: Business Update

Airbnb’s fourth-quarter revenue rose 12% to $2.8 billion and GBV 16%, while product improvements and AI spending target booking conversion…

ABNB $90B

Speedwell Memos Feb 14 2 clicks

Adobe Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Adobe trades at 14x free cash flow after a 60% decline despite growth, with AI, its business-model transition and creative-software…

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Feb 12

FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game

FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…

NVO $175B

Modern Value Investing Feb 8

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

ADBE $99B

Bristlemoon Capital Feb 6

Wednesday, September 16, 2026

BDC on X

Myles on X

BDC on X

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junkbondinvestor on X

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