Sunday, September 13, 2026

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Sep 13 BKNG $117B

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Capitalist Letters 4 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.5B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

From X

@natstewart5 Aug 14 2 clicks

Nat Stewart on X

Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC

@leevalueroach Aug 14

Lee Roach on X

I was lucky enough to get to pitch $BUKS at the MS Microcaps Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference. You can now watch the full video now. https://t.co/JZf2c2dTIS

@ClarkSquareCap Aug 14

Clark Square Capital on X

$LUXE keeps going no bid in this market, but I think the risk/reward here is excellent https://t.co/fCvW4k7PEI

@DeepSailCapital Aug 14

Deep Sail Capital on X

$CLBT - You can make a pretty compelling case that the guidance cut was to kitchen sink the expectations for the new CEO so he has a bottom base to build off of. From the call 4-5 major deals slipped out a quarter, and Genesis isn't ramping as fast as originally thought, but new products are growing +25% & they have tailwinds in terms of FedRamp & YoY US federal basically didn't grow last year. Next quarter they beat, and re-raise guidance and stock is back to $16. 50% return from here in a quarter. Clearly if they can't close deals in Q3 at a faster pace then the recovery takes longer, but seems like good risk-reward here. Full disclosure: I added some at $10.5

@TheBenSchmark Aug 14 2 clicks

JabroniCoin.USD on X

$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK

@DeepSailCapital Aug 14

Deep Sail Capital on X

Artemis is going to be a huge driver to $LUNR growth over the next 5 years. $2b market cap @ $13 / share kind of feels like early $RKLB at $2b @ $5/share. https://t.co/KaaQ7mFlSt

@mavix_leon Aug 14 2 clicks

mavix on X

Leatt $LEAT Q2 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +1% *Consumer Direct +68% *Dealer Direct -2% *Distributor -6% ▫️EBIT -17.7% ▫️Net income -20% ▫️Cash of $19.5 million (+48%) ▫️Temporary supply chain timing challenges (now resolved) ▫️Consumer demand remains strong https://t.co/z8aStbpiKa

@leevalueroach Aug 14

Lee Roach on X

My take from the $PUBM call is that TradeDesk disrupted their business and now other DSPs are taking share on their platform. If you dig through TradeDesk results, they really messed up. I think there is significant amount of white space for other DSPs to take share from there. https://t.co/5eYrLcwNft

Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead

Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…

NTDOY $61B

LL Insights Sep 13

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…

ORCL $437B

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange

USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…

USAC $3.7B

Ron Ferrie Sep 11 3 clicks

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $73B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $160M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Tsakos Energy Navigation: Watch Those Oil Prices

Tsakos Energy Navigation benefits from higher oil prices and stronger tanker sentiment, but faces long-term demand destruction and…

TEN $1.4B

Long Player Sep 11

HNRG · long

Hallador Energy CO

Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.

HNRG $685M

Value Investors Club Jun 15 3 clicks

Keurig Dr Pepper: Beverage Momentum And JDE Peet's Synergies Support A Buy

Keurig Dr Pepper’s U.S. beverage growth and JDE Peet’s acquisition support earnings growth as coffee-cost and tariff pressures ease.

KDP $43B

Value Capital Research Sep 12 1 click

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.4B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $337M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $359M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $643M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise

BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…

BBIO $13B

Atticus Analysis Sep 10

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Nat Stewart on X

Lee Roach on X

Clark Square Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

mavix on X

Lee Roach on X

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