Sunday, September 13, 2026

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Sep 13 BKNG $126B

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Capitalist Letters 4 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.7B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Sep 2

Lee Roach on X

Timber companies are a hard asset and low risk way to play the datacenter boom. $RYN $WY https://t.co/YElT0VT8R9

@TimyanBankAlert Sep 1 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Community Corner: Active Indiana bank buyer heads to Illinois for latest deal $THFF | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/nrMSXAi9Vo

@BrokenMoats Sep 1 1 click

Broken Moats on X

Why is $GTLB up ah? Expense dollar growth far outstripped revenue dollar growth? and 117 NR at this valuation is not impressive, let alone the 50% increase in SBC yoy.....

@negligible_cap Sep 1

Negligible Capital on X

*DELL SEES FY ADJ EPS $25.25 TO $25.75, SAW $17.65 TO $18.15 The $DELL earnings / guide is absolutely wild FY27 EPS guided at $25.5 at the midpoint when the buyside expectations were at around $22 (street was only at $18.4). And to think Dell was at one point a consensus short on memory pricing exposure. Servers are booming. Holy DELL

@BrokenMoats Sep 1

Broken Moats on X

$QXO finally in my valuation zone, acquired shares this afternoon. Rates present a challenge, soft commodities surging and geopolitical could further stress inflation/yields but you usually do not get deal when everything is firing on all cylinders

@TidefallCapital Sep 1

Trevor Scott on X

$FFH.TO finally overtaking $MKL on P/B (M2M value not included) "Fairfax currently has roughly $5 billion of excess fair value over carrying value in its associate and market-traded consolidated holdings—about $250 per share pre-tax." - @VikingVan100 https://t.co/fjSNi41Xaj

@KEDM_COM Sep 1

KEDM.com on X

JDP Capital @Jeremy_Deal is quite bullish on Cerebras Systems $CBRS, which is currently trading 50% below its post IPO peak. According to the Fund, given its revenue under contract, the stock could be more than $1,000 per share within the next few years vs. today's $186. Another take from the Q2 letter: “Drug discovery may be one of the largest beneficiaries of AI of any industry on earth as the companies with the most proprietary data and the deepest clinical histories will widen their advantages”. JDP’s new position in this field was Eli Lilly $LLY.

@ACapitalLP Sep 1

A Capital on X

Par example, $NN is a lottery ticket, there is no way it doesn’t get “positioned” again into the high teens around the next major catalyst… https://t.co/cqKmEmBS31

Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead

Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…

NTDOY $62B

LL Insights Sep 13

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…

ORCL $446B

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange

USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…

USAC $3.8B

Ron Ferrie Sep 11 3 clicks

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $343M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

HNRG · long

Hallador Energy CO

Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.

HNRG $708M

Value Investors Club Jun 15 3 clicks

Keurig Dr Pepper: Beverage Momentum And JDE Peet's Synergies Support A Buy

Keurig Dr Pepper’s U.S. beverage growth and JDE Peet’s acquisition support earnings growth as coffee-cost and tariff pressures ease.

KDP $42B

Value Capital Research Sep 12 1 click

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $479M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

The Williams Companies: A Tough Competitor Tackles The Northeast

Williams Companies faces a revoked Northeast pipeline permit while pursuing growth through Momentum Midstream, Gulf export access and…

WMB $87B

Long Player Sep 10

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise

BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…

BBIO $13B

Atticus Analysis Sep 10

TransDigm is still in it for the money

TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…

TDG $61B

scuttleblurb Sep 10 1 click

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Lee Roach on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Broken Moats on X

Negligible Capital on X

Broken Moats on X

Trevor Scott on X

KEDM.com on X

A Capital on X

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