Sunday, September 13, 2026

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.5B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Hated Moats 2 clicks

From X

@majgeoinvesting Sep 13

Maj Soueidan on X

My Q&A with @mascarosergi is finally ready. “For now, I’ll be calling these chats: Investor Notebook… Over the last few weeks, I’ve been doing a good deal of communicating with Sergi. So many of his X posts talk about stocks I own, like $OCC & $SCIA.” https://t.co/OMLyMQTtQc https://t.co/aEKRUefiVm

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@stockgutter Sep 11

SG on X

$EVTL Reducing the exercise price of options awards is so grifty. It eliminates the alignment with shareholders those grants were intended to create in the first place. In the end this dogshit, low-governance co is going to zero so it may not matter here but as a general proposition don't do this!

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

I simply refuse to believe that $ADBE has over 1 billion monthly active users https://t.co/U7tgBRDhM2

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $73B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications

Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…

IRT $3.8BCSR $935M

Dane Bowler Sep 11

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $160M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Tsakos Energy Navigation: Watch Those Oil Prices

Tsakos Energy Navigation benefits from higher oil prices and stronger tanker sentiment, but faces long-term demand destruction and…

TEN $1.4B

Long Player Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.4B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $643M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

Imperial Petroleum: Buy On Strong Prospects And Substantial Share Repurchases

Imperial Petroleum's record Q2 cash generation, major share repurchases and a $32 million Suezmax sale gain set up another record quarter.

IMPP $240M

Henrik Alex Sep 10 3 clicks

STRL · short

Sterling Infrastructure INC

Sterling Infrastructure short pairs STRL against EME and FIX, arguing data-center sitework contractors lack the margin upside available to…

STRL $16B

Value Investors Club May 28

Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center

Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…

SNAP $9.5B

First Strike Research Feb 2

New REIT position: GO Residential (TSX: GO.U)

GO Residential, a TSX-listed Manhattan luxury-apartment REIT, raised about $400 million in Canada’s largest REIT IPO and trades at a wide…

GONYF $499M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Jan 31

Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg

Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…

RYAAY $28B

310 Value’s Newsletter Jan 28 4 clicks

Mitani Corporation (TYO: 8066): $1.2 bn Japanese Conglomerate at 2.6× EV/EBIT with 30+ Years of Profitability

Mitani Corporation trades at 2.6× EV/EBIT and 8.9× earnings, backed by net cash, a 24% lower share count since 2014, and dividends up more…

MITCF $1.9B

Altay Capital - Mostly Value Investing Jan 28 2 clicks

NLOP - I'm Buying Again

NLOP’s selloff after a weak KBR property sale has created a high-potential IRR entry point.

NLOP $157M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter Jan 27 1 click

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…

CNK $4.2BFCNCA $23B

Base Hit Investing Jan 25

Programmatic DSPs

Entravision’s Smadex AdTech unit generated 104% revenue growth and 378% EBIT growth, becoming the main upside driver after Meta ended its…

EVC $727M

The Mikro Kap Jan 25 1 click

Affirm (AFRM): Buy Now, Cry Later

Affirm, a $25 billion buy now, pay later lender, faces a short thesis comparing its model with failed subprime monoline finance companies.

AFRM $23B

Kerrisdale Capital Jan 21

Portfolio Update - January 2026

Portfolio update exits The Trade Desk, QXO and Park Hotels, then adds Tencent at a 35% discount, SoftBank for AI exposure and HelloFresh at…

TTD $6.2BQXO $13B

Modern Value Investing Jan 20

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Maj Soueidan on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Fierce_beast on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

SG on X

Negligible Capital on X

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