Saturday, September 12, 2026

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's robotaxi setback.

ORCL $446B

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Hated Moats 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@partners_road Sep 12

RiverRoadPartners on X

Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@jawagner92 Sep 11

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

Bought some $CVV <$5. Seems likely to be liquidated. $23.4m cash, $25 to $30m >100k SF building in NY, $3.5 million total liabilities (incl. high end of restr. charges), $1 to $2m wind down. ~$6-7 NAV on hard assets, could be more if they find a buyer for the whole enchilada. https://t.co/55FU3Goi0e

@stockgutter Sep 11

SG on X

$EVTL Reducing the exercise price of options awards is so grifty. It eliminates the alignment with shareholders those grants were intended to create in the first place. In the end this dogshit, low-governance co is going to zero so it may not matter here but as a general proposition don't do this!

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications

Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…

IRT $3.8BCSR $935M

Dane Bowler Sep 11

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Tsakos Energy Navigation: Watch Those Oil Prices

Tsakos Energy Navigation benefits from higher oil prices and stronger tanker sentiment, but faces long-term demand destruction and…

TEN $1.6B

Long Player Sep 11

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $343M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

COCO · short

Vita Coco Company INC

Vita Coco, COCO, is pitched short after a 45% monthly rally, arguing investors are overextrapolating coconut water category growth.

COCO $3.5B

Value Investors Club Jun 2 1 click

DoorDash

DoorDash positions itself as infrastructure for local commerce.

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 28 2 clicks

CME's Stock Is Cheap for the Wrong Reason

CME Group trades at 21.7 times trailing earnings versus a 25.1 times 12-month average, despite near-record futures volume and 94%…

CME $99B

First Strike Research Jul 28

Quick Value #324 - Resideo + ADI Global

Resideo will spin off lower-margin ADI Global distribution after ending its $1.59 billion Honeywell indemnity, separating manufacturing and…

REZI $2.8BADIG $1.6B

Value Don't Lie Jul 27

Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)

Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…

ADBE $99B

Bearhold Research Jul 27 2 clicks

The Fleet Owners' Push for Aggregating Demand

Uber’s hybrid-network proposal would keep AVs and human drivers on its dispatch platform, while Waymo and Tesla pursue vertically…

UBER $145B

MBI Deep Dives Jul 27 2 clicks

Caris Life Sciences: The Quiet Founder Trying to Win the Holy Grail of Oncology

Caris Life Sciences, CAI, uses AI-trained molecular oncology data for therapy selection and multi-cancer early detection, with 97% of…

CAI $8.5B

Substack von Philipp Jul 27

Ally Financial: The Next Vintage

Ally Financial's Q2 FY26 consumer auto originations rose 21% to $13.3 billion as newer, 9%+ yield vintages replace troubled 2022 loans;…

ALLY $12B

TSOH Investment Research Jul 27

Weekend Digest 351: Market Volatility, TFSL, Roper, Booz Allen, TIPS Vs. Treasury Bonds

AI momentum trades are unwinding as leveraged products amplify volatility; TFS Financial offers a 7.5% yield on cost and potential upside…

TFSL $4.7BBAH $9.3B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jul 26

Hidden in Plane Sight

An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…

ASLE $266M

The Mikro Kap Jul 26 3 clicks

Saturday, September 12, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Fierce_beast on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

SG on X

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