One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale
AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.
Thursday, September 10, 2026
Back to today 
From X
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
@GoodHouseCap Yes and will almost purely be incremental profit. $PBI has all the fixed costs and plenty of capacity - the incremental variable costs to take on the volume will be miniscule.
Myles on X
@DeepSailCapital $ASAN has been caught up in the software bounce despite being a pretty obvious AI loser and having none of the qualities that make the other software companies good.
A Capital on X
$CORZ < $16 🤔
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
Huge overnight news for #E15 / $ALTO $GPRE in a vote that HAD to be approved before midnight and made it by seconds.... year-round E15 (from NO E15) will now begin in CA beginning 1/1/2027!! This is 600M+ gallons of ethanol demand that will lead to very strong 2027 crush margins while also significantly increasing the value of $ALTO's western ethanol plants. The bill approved E10 vapor recovery systems for E15 use: https://t.co/7gr7rtBX7t
SG on X
@Zerosumgame33 Manav calling $CLMT $DAR $ADM $BG "peers" is crazy to me. Other than all touching ag, they are very different businesses with very different drivers.
BDC on X
$GPRO acquired at $1.14. Was a $98. Founder lead with super voting rights. Woodman's hubris lost him billions. @evanspiegel don't make the same mistake. $snap
A Capital on X
Why isn’t $APTV extremely good (5:1x) R/R here? Post-spin, post-guide cut, stock @ $44.76 and sentiment completely washed… https://t.co/iTmXeDEoCA
DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X
$PBI is wasting no time to step-in and help PCI pre-sort customers: https://t.co/AnKDdbma4a
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 DR0 $469MALM $4.2B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $487B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $236B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $243BMCK $104B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 4549 $498M9301 $3.3B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 NEO $1.1BVNP $1.9B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.5B
Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)
Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…
BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise
BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…
Atticus Analysis 
TransDigm is still in it for the money
TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…
Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)
Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.
[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR
Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…
Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings
Dell’s Q2 revenue rose 57.7% to $47.0 billion and RPO tripled to $132 billion, but its stock trades at 32 times unlevered pretax free cash…
ContextLogic Acquires gChem (LOGC): Update and Valuation
ContextLogic will acquire specialty-solvent maker gChem for $850 million, funded by a $650 million rights offering and $250 million of…
Kodiak AI: The Stock Collapsed Just As The Business Started Working
Kodiak AI’s stock collapse coincides with a planned year-end long-haul driverless launch, while cash burn, customer concentration and…
High Alpha Professor 
Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis
Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…
Qualcomm: Data Center Revenue To Reach $15 Billion In 3 Years
Qualcomm targets $15 billion of data-center revenue by FY2029 through AI accelerators, custom ASICs, Arm server CPUs and hyperscaler wins.
Khaveen Investments 
PESI · long Perma-fix Environmental Svcs
Perma-Fix Environmental Services (PESI) is presented as a long investment idea.
P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74
Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…
Pinterest: Underlying Growth Remains Stronger Than The Market Thinks
Pinterest’s Q2 showed reaccelerating North American growth, while weaker international trends, AI-related engagement risks and elevated…
Richard Durant 2 clicks
WD #357: Tecnoglass/Tariffs, Colombia Mining Boom?, Airports & Airlines
Tecnoglass could recover tariff- and FX-hit margins as U.S. blanket tariffs on Colombian goods lift.
A quick update on Deep Dives
MBI Deep Dives will update prior company analyses through year-end, beginning with Uber, while deferring new work on Micron and S&P Global.
lululemon: An 18% Crash Is Not A Buy Signal
Lululemon’s Americas revenue fell 8% and comps dropped 12%, while a $134.5 million tariff refund masked weakening underlying margins after…
On the Pulse 1 click
Celsius: The Pepsi Put
Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…
On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock
On Holding $ONON combines a high-margin direct-to-consumer footwear model with replacement-driven demand, after Q2 2026 sales rose 21.6%…
National Vision Holdings: Higher Ticket Prices Can't Mask Falling Foot Traffic
National Vision Holdings' 2.2% same-store sales growth masked a 4.9% transaction decline, while inventory rose 37% and deferred marketing…
Number Cruncher 1 click
Titan Mining Q2 Update
Titan Mining reported Q2 revenue of $25.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $9.6 million as zinc output rose, while advancing its Kilbourne…
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