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Thursday, September 10, 2026

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TransDigm is still in it for the money

TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from sole-manufacturer components.

TDG $61B
scuttleblurb 1 click

From X

@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

$CB with some pretty chilling, but not entirely commentary on pricing on commercial property lines as the market continues to soften: Pricing on new biz or renewals (-12%) Pricing on the biz they chose not to renew or rejected (-40%) YOY! Otherwise, $CB was brutally honest about the softening across the marketplace in casualty lines and E&S in general. With MGA's flooding the market, this isn't a dynamic that changes overnight. Probably not a great market environment for our friends at $KNSL. Do bulls understand what they own?
@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

Yeah, $CPB bulls trying to hold the line on the 2002 and 1995 lows. They have some solid brands for sure, but the management is moronic, the board even worse, they have no clue on capital management, and the balance sheet is a disaster. Everything but the last point is an argument for this business to be sold. However, that leverage.... I guess someone can come in and eliminate the dividend which frees up $450MM in FCF. From there you can probably delever this biz 2-3 turns in a few years. Tough sledding, but there's a lot of wasted advertising across this company, that's for sure.

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Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B
Hated Moats 6 clicks

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates…

CELH $7.1B
TSOH Investment Research 8 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.1B
TSOH Investment Research 5 clicks
FTAI · long

Ftai Aviation LTD

FTAI Aviation, valued near $23 billion at roughly $226 per share, is presented as a long investment.

FTAI $19B
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